European Cloud Project Draws Backlash from U.S. Tech Giants
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I think these mercantilist plays we're seeing from the US are going to cause a lot of long term harm to the tech companies. For national security reasons alone you cannot rely on US cloud infrastructure if the man or woman in the white house is likely to pull the plug at any moment.
Are there specific examples you're referring to? Because this is how geopolitics and diplomacy has worked since the dawn of civilization. This isn't something unique to Big Bad USA.
And while it's true that this has been the state of affairs for most of civilisation, it wasn't for the last ~70 years. Up until recently, the US was willing to underpin global free-trade without using economic politics as leverage for short-term or one-sided political goals. Which is precisely why US tech companies have become the first choice in much of Europe and indeed around the world.
Now the question is being posed if that is still a good decision. Without this interference, Europe would not think about investing billions and billions into its own cloud infrastructure, and China would not be ditching Android. It could have been smooth sailing for US companies for a long time. If this continues I'll give it 10-20 years before there's a major decoupling even between the US and Europe.
I am originally from Germany and I think the main obstacle for this decoupling will be the reluctance of Europe to take defense into their own hands. When things get tough they so far always have relied on the US. I don’t see that changing anytime soon.
The majority of society has zero interest in doing military service, no respect for people serving in the military at best, to downright hostility at worst, as urban myths and clichés (like that the Bundeswehr is just for racist nutjobs) go largely unchallenged (it is by far and large more ethnically diverse than say most IT departments).
Don’t get me wrong, I think it’s a good thing that we aren’t a militarist country.
But the reason for us being able to afford this kind of luxury is US protection.
And thus it doesn’t matter how much some Germans are annoyed with the US, this social shunning of military service is not going anywhere.
You get what you pay for. Or not...
"We bombed the hell out of Vietnam while the surrounding countries did nothing!"
Is it really clichés when there's plenty of evidence for it? Remember that "neo-Nazi doomsday prepper group" from June [0]? Those guys turned out largely to be police and soldiers.
It's reached a point where the Bundeswehr considers discharging the soldiers who blow the whistle on the problem [1], instead of having to admit having one.
[0] https://www.dw.com/en/german-neo-nazi-doomsday-prepper-netwo...
[1] https://www.zeit.de/gesellschaft/zeitgeschehen/2019-05/recht...
The truth is, in a society like the German, where 50% of high school graduates want to go to university, it's usually just the lower classes to down-right underclass that even consider the military as a career-path.
Alas, apart from white-trash Germans it is a lot of immigrants that you'll find there.
That's a whole other category than people hoarding weapons for some "day X", or members of the police equating police having to identify themselves (not by name, with a number) to citizens with Jews having to wear a yellow star [0], and dozens of other things, is just not even remotely in the same ballpark than "members of the Left" saying racist things. If one belittles the issue of Nazi networks in Germany going back to the 1940s, still murdering, with all the weird stuff happening to witnesses, all the failures to investigate -- that's orders of magnitude worse than a racist slur, to anyone who knows and cares about the actual situation.
Back to the military though, remember Horst Köhler resigning for basically quoting from the manual of the Bundeswehr? [1]
> a country of our size needs to be aware that where called for or in an emergency, military deployment, too, is necessary if we are to protect our interests such as ensuring free trade routes or preventing regional instabilities which are also certain to negatively impact our ability to safeguard trade, jobs and income.
The relevant Bundeswehr document at that time, from 2006:
https://www.bundeswehr.de/resource/resource/MzEzNTM4MmUzMzMy...
> Deutschland, dessen wirtschaftlicher Wohlstand vom Zugang zu Rohstoffen, Waren und Ideen abhängt, hat ein elementares Interesse an einem friedlichen Wettbewerb der Gedanken, an einem offenen Welthandelssystem und freien Transportwegen.
which translates to
> Germany, whose economic prosperity depends on access to raw materials, goods and ideas, has a fundamental interest in a peaceful competition of ideas, an open world trade system and free transport routes.
So basically, the German president had to leave for openly stating what is official doctrine, and people pretended that it isn't. I wonder what would happen to a little grunt who saw or said the wrong things, or said too plainly what the naked emperor support crowd covers up in bloated, dishonest language.
[0] https://twitter.com/vonDobrowolski/status/117832343007413043...
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horst_K%C3%B6hler#Resignation
As to the Bundeswehr document and Horst Köhler that does seem insane. If German polite society makes the President reign for saying something that anodyne they might as well abolish the military and declare themselves a protectorate, whether of France or the US.
To this day neo-Nazis are vandalizing Holocaust memorials with slogans like "Hans Steinbrenner did nothing wrong!", the NSU [0] was murdering and bombing their way trough Germany for years, while being in close contact with the German Verfassungsschutz, who actually organized their murder weapon and has a long and nasty history of financing these kinds of networks.
The files about that particular case have either been shredded (which was freely admitted) or are now locked up for 150 years. Turns out the same VfS guy who was in contact with the NSU, was also responsible for the guy who recently went on a shooting spree in Halle.
The worst terrorist attack in post-WWII Germany? The Octoberfest bombing of 1980 [1], committed by a right-wing nutjob, they even shot cops when those dare to go after their guns [1]. We've reached a point where they are openly marching on their old Nürnberg parading grounds [2].
> This seems unlikely, if only because the Stasi would definitely have infiltrated them and exposed them at some point for a propaganda coup.
The Stasi was only a thing in the GDR when Germany was still split in two, the two halves only reunified in the 90s.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Socialist_Underground
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oktoberfest_bombing
[2] https://www.dw.com/en/germany-torch-wielding-neo-nazis-march...
Just like you are completely disregarding the possibility that Russia and Europe might end up on better terms out of sheer practicality.
Because that whole narrative about the Russian boogeyman, barely kept at bay due to US presence, is one that's mostly based on fiction, and not actual real politics.
Even Putin knows that a broke and war-torn Western Europe makes for bad customers for Russian gas, which is among the very few things still keeping the Russian economy alive.
Read Robert Kaplan’s book on this topic of decoupling (Marco polos world). In many ways it’s already happening.
Regards to the Gaia effort, I’ve worked with a number of Europe based tech companies in and I find no lack of skills or innovation relative to the US. In fact, I’d say when you combine London, Dublin, Amsterdam, Stockholm, Oslo, Paris, Frankfurt, Berlin and many other markets in Europe, the tech world is more widely distributed and as innovative if not more than the US market. A big part of this reason is that you have many small teams working across borders and cultures. Europe is not just the EU. For example, Norway, while it mirrors EU policy is still separate. Brexit could further diversify Europe from a regulatory landscape. What I see in the end is a place where cooperation, integration and small team competition is healthy and good for the overall marketplace. Could a Gaia effort make that better? I have my doubts... but why not give it a go? What’s wrong with having another approach added to the mix? That’s not to say there won’t be a reason for google, Microsoft and amazon in Europe... they’ve made massive investments there already and probably will continue to do so.
As for a decoupling, I think it is happening but I don’t think it’s for the worse. The worlds order is reshaping and I think while there always will be a friendly Atlantic partnership, it won’t necessarily need to be supported by traditional alliances like NATO.
> The entity list program against Chinese companies, the pressure on Europe to reject Huawei infrastructure (and accompanying threats in particular when it comes to natsec data sharing)
A couple points 1) political ends aren't necessarily bad ends, and 2) it's hard for me to view much of the Huawei stuff as pursuit of a "short-term or one sided" goal, given there are no American competitors for much of the Huawei equipment at issue.
I was going to comment about Trump and Brexit showing us how quickly things can change in a democracy. But I'm too ignorant to know if that's a fair analysis of the situation.
Historically, Europeans didn’t know North America even existed and the USA wasn’ta country
I wonder if such problems might not end up forcing us to reconsider our trading priorities to account more for geographical distance, instead of just taking that as a given.
This is important, some dude in White House can blackmail you or all your software will no longer work. You will say something military alias but we seen economic wars between US and Eu / Canada
I don't blame them. What a horribly short-sighted law.
I mean Hetzner for example is very competitive price-wise, but they are missing a lot of the platform functionality AWS and Azure provide.
Those complaining here that it is biased against USA and tariff free trade needs to comprehend the presence of US Cloud Act. If USA truly wants to compete fairly, it needs to obey the local laws and get that shit law out first.
Hetzner Cloud is more about IaaS than PaaS, and competes directly with DigitalOcean after the introduction of dedicated vCPU, block storage, and private networks. It's still missing object storage, though.
OVH Public Cloud, on the other hand, is trying to become the AWS / GCP / Azure of Europe – and with unmetered bandwidth is many times cheaper than they are – but at the moment it's still much better as IaaS rather than PaaS.
The right thing to campaign for is to move data AWAY from all kinds of clouds / hoarders and back into private silos, away from all kinds of grabby governments.
So consider, for most people, it's good enough protection. Because we're not worth the extra step.
In many countries, the easy backdoors are already baked in on a constitutional national level.
See the NSA pressuring the German government to modify its G-10 law, or FAD "legal guidance" operations in Sweden and the Netherlands [0].
Case in point: Merkel might have complained loudly about the NSA spying on her phone for the PR, but I'm pretty certain she was fully aware that this was completely legal to do for the NSA [1].
[0] http://www.europarl.europa.eu/document/activities/cont/20140...
[1] https://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/2013-10/nsa-uerberwa...
Do you mean without consent? because otherwise the governments themselves will share data if asked.
At the end of the day, most users in a few years won't have a choice of no country's government being able to access their cloud state; they may have a choice over which country.
There are no cloud monopolists; there are major players, but nobody has a monopoly.
But yeah, calling them monopolies is altogether incorrect.
http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/monopoly-power....
The sad bit is that, had these "giants" fought a bit more all those US legislative atrocities like the PATRIOT Act, maybe, just maybe, there would not have been a need for this.
Especially nowadays. I think it's fair to say that right now the world is going through a "realignment". That generates the proper ratio of insecurities and pragmatic realities necessary for the people of the world to reassess the methods by which they've traditionally solved their problems.
Europeans are competent and intelligent. Their universities are competitively amongst the best in the world.
But there is no entrepreneurial or innovative mindset when it comes to the web. I think the ones that have it move to North America. The ones that are left are disincentivized by a comfortable and productive social environment.
All this to say, I don't have much hope for this project's success, and unlike a private enterprise failing and disappearing, this will not fail quietly, but with billions of dollars, and the ones that will suffer are the European Union citizens who will be forced to use inept second tier technology.
What the creation leads to is different and I'd suggest two main reasons:
1) Europeans are less likely to make it a business - the safety net might play a role but also just different value sets. I'd suggest that on average Europeans are less focused on profit/getting rich and more on just living a decent life e.g. with work-life balance. So they might run things in their spare time but will be more likely to give their creation away than run a for-profit company with it. See e.g. PGP, Linux Kernel, LibreOffice, OpenCloud & Nextcloud, Raspberry Pi, Arduino, ... - many leading FOSS and even some hardware projects are European-lead.
2) Startup success is quite a bit more difficult in Europe due to lower investor/VC availability and a smaller market (burden of translation & different legislations, although EU legislation is slowly converging things). Nonetheless you had Skype, Spotify, TransferWise, etc. But those were all mostly bootstrapped - there's no money available that allows annual 8-or-9-digit losses like with the typical examples of Uber, Lyft, WeWork or Lime.
So its not that there's nothing creative going on, but fewer try to make it a business and of those fewer succeed - and indeed many of those are then bought by or on their own move to the other side of the Atlantic.
Tidbit: actually I've never seen comparison data on startup success rates between countries, just on overall startup numbers.
Technically, the last two decades can be summarized as "playing catch-up with mobile and the desktop".
The business plan of most web entrepreneurs is to collect then sell user's data while burning VC money and hoping they'll be bought soon.
American capitalism is efficient, but morally bankrupt.
TL;DR the "web" was invented in Europe. Amazing what happy people do when they can think about the future rather than how to pay for medical bills or college loans.
Reads like a typical German bureaucracy project: Lots of requirements but nothing that could even remotely be implemented in time.
and then it uses their cloud ;-)
https://ec.europa.eu/info/news/european-commission-adopts-ne...
https://bmg-group.com/germanys-gold-reserves-u-s-paper-claim...
https://www.rt.com/business/445133-germany-access-gold-us-fe...
https://www.kitco.com/news/2017-08-24/Germany-Gets-Its-Gold-...
Turns out everything is fine, but a couple of years ago, people were worried about this. It looks like only Germany was involved and no other countries.
> “Why would it take 7 years, unless there was a possible issue in getting it together, to return 300 tons? It could be done certainly in several weeks or even months – but 7 years?” Lanci questioned. “In my trading days, I’ve taken delivery of gold and silver and I’m aware of the physical logistical limitations. The time requested to deliver the 300 tonnes seems excessive – whether it be 5 or 7 years.”
What would be the business model?
Come on.
3 copies
2 different devices or medias
1 offsite
If your data isn't that important, then don't.
https://www.us-cert.gov/sites/default/files/publications/dat...
Unless Google/Dropbox/Amazon/Microsoft go out of business, you are not likely to lose data from your backup via act of god (aka data center fire)
B) The simple interface of web solutions is still ultimately that if you want redundancy, just pick 2 (or 3) different providers. Myself - I use Google Drive for backup of my most core files, and Backblaze for the whole shabang.
If you try it, you might find you can protect your data more easily than you can protect most other things in your house if it burns down.