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Especially given that launches become cheaper - even without SpaceX.

In USA there is obviously BlueOrigin (well, they have to get to orbit; will they in 5 years?), so no too much worries.

John Cusack in his podcast with Joe Rogan made an interesting point: that BlueOrigin's slow and steady approach might be counterintuitive to space flight. He said that you want to be fast and test out as many crazy ideas - moonshots - as you can, and that having essentially limitless money can actually slow your progress down.

Can I have a link to the podcast? I haven't seen that one and for some reason I can't find it through search.

I'm an idiot. I wrote John Cusack when I wanted to write John Carmack. I don't know how I could even confuse the two names.

Here's the Carmack podcast where he talks about it. Fantastic listen for anyone honestly. Carmack is a fascinating guy.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=udlMSe5-zP8

They promised New Glenn launches in 2021. They have a history of meeting promised dates.

http://spacenews.com/blue-origin-on-track-for-human-suborbit...

I'm not sure they have quite the history you're implying.

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