U.S. carried out secret cyber strike on Iran after Saudi oil attack: officials
reuters.com
reuters.com
Anonymous government sources, especially in cyber security, have a track record of persistent lying
Remember the China chip hacking story by Bloomberg built on anonymous government sources. The alleged fake news was never retracted - even though it was technically not a possible attack if you know how chips are made. (There are chips that had arguably deliberately installed flaws - the Intel chip with the OTP generator that was trivially crackable and the RSA keyfob with the default NSA backdoor).
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-10-04/the-big-h...
https://siliconangle.com/2018/10/22/apple-amazon-super-micro...
Relevant: U.S. Had Cyberattack Plan if Iran Nuclear Dispute Led to Conflict (2016) [https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/17/world/middleeast/us-had-c...]
"Nitro Zeus was part of an effort to assure President Obama that he had alternatives, short of a full-scale war, if Iran lashed out at the United States or its allies in the region."
Tens of millions of dollars, thousands of people... That's not secrecy, just plausible deniability.
Also carefully glossed over is that the Saudis started a war of aggression against Yemen, one of the poorest countries on earth, fully supported by US arms and military. The claims of Iranian support for Yemen are dwarfed by the overt support of Saudi Arabia by the USG.
So far I haven't seen any evidence from either side.
The Iran connection was immediately seized by both the USG and SA for their own purposes before the incident was even investigated. Both sides have motives that encourage fingering Iran. They promised to reveal the findings, but as of today, nothing further has been made public. This, despite the fact that the USG should have readily available sensor data that would show if the attack were to have originated in Iran, and if it were so, then that would be a causus belli for direct war on Iran, yet that dog never barked.
When Nakasone and Cyber Command looked at what their digital weapons could contribute to the battle plan, they focused on the Iranian targets that they could reach by boring into the country's networks: Iran's air defense, its communications systems, and its power grid. Nitro Zeus would be the opening act of the war plan: turning off an entire country so fast that retaliation would have been extremely difficult. It was also, in the minds of some of its creators, a glimpse of the future. The idea was to plunge the target country into blackness and confusion from the very beginning of a conflict. That would give Israel and the United States time to bomb the many suspected nuclear sites, take pictures of how much damage was done, and if necessary bomb them again. But the hope was that Nitro Zeus would avert an all-out war, because the Iranians would, in theory, not be able to strike back. As part of the plan, Iran's missile capability would also have been targeted.
So, even as President Obama was worried about the vulnerability of America's electric grid, the United States was tunneling inside Iran's grid - along with its cell-phone network and even the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps' command-and-control systems.
"This was pretty mind blowing to me," one former official said. "Here we were, going to work every day behind sealed doors, essentially trying to figure out if it was possible to cripple an entire nation's infrastructure without ever firing a shot or dropping a bomb. So we littered Iran's networks with malware," he said, a reference to the process of placing implants in key strategic systems that could, later on, be used to inject destructive code or simply turn the networks off.
"The hard part was keeping track of all of it," he said. Keeping track was tricky business because networks always change - and because there was no way to test Iran's vulnerabilities in field conditions. So Nakasone and the thousands of people at work on Nitro Zeus resorted to tabletop exercises, simulations of an attack. They tested and retested on a virtual model of Iran's networks to make sure that the implants were not visible to the Iranians and that collateral damage was limited. And they created answers from scratch to a series of questions: How do you take down the grid and keep it down? How about the air defenses? If the Iranians try to retaliate, how do you make sure they never get off the ground? "This was an enormous, and enormously complex, program," the former official said. "Before it was developed, the US had never assembled a combined cyber and kinetic attack plan on this scale."
Source: David E. Sanger, "The Perfect Weapon: War, Sabotage, and Fear in the Cyber Age", Crown, NY, 2018, pp.39-44
You may want to read articles by this guy for an alternative view on Iran's capabilities.
https://oilprice.com/contributors/Yossef-Bodansky
as a sidenote, some people even believed the US claims that their air defence systems are the best in the world, until a few days ago.
On the other side, from the Iranian perspective, it means that systems are secured by different people from different organizations with different degrees of training. That's a recipe for a number of attackable systems.
Would it ever be the case that war is politics with cyber strikes?
As the article points out, the strikes were politically motivated (against Iran's regime), but were they an act of war?
Under what circumstances should the American people tolerate an act of war being carried out on their "behalf"?
In my view, the democratic process should be used to prevent the US from doing "warmaking" that is not broadly supported by the public.
In fact, as it is well known, the framers required congress to declare war.
So what is the purpose of the US conducting such a strike done without democratic consent?
My guess is that it was conducted to help nudge the American people into accepting acts of war by executive fiat against Iran, when the legal justification for them is at risk of being removed via the democratic process (1). The house passed a bill requiring congressional authorization, but the senate did not.
So we can view the cyber strike as the executive branch asserting its power to make war against Iran without the sort of missiles and bombs that make Americans easily think of it as war.
1. https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/6/19/18691936/h...
I would agree with you on principle. In practice, I'm not sure that the general public is capable of really understanding or digesting the concepts of cyber-warfare. At least, not in a way that would lend itself well to the democratic process. Unfortunately.
Your concern has been raised by politicians for hundreds of years.
All it would take (in the US) for the the representative congress to pass a new law which makes foreign cyber interference only permissible when passed by the the house and senate, similar to declarations of war.
Never heard that phrase before, but I wouldn't agree with it. Politics is all about compromise: the art of the possible. It's negotiation. War often happens when politicians fail to negotiate.
When this orderly approach isn't sufficient, additional coercive force is added to the mix. At some point it starts to look like war.
To people on the wrong side of the political hierarchy, every day looks like war as armed troops (police) occupy neighborhoods seeking to enforce an externally imposed code that criminalizes normal, consensual behavior, confiscates wealth and property, and destroys civil society.
> when politicians fail to negotiate
In a sense, yes. If one politician demands that a foreign leader step down or face a US invasion, one can interpret the foreign leader's failure to step down as a breakdown in negotiations, but I think that is quite a stretch.
Like, if everyone including yourself is knee deep and slinging mud, don't accuse other people for being dirty.
Until you realise that every large entity, be it governmental or private, practices realpolitik quite consistently.
Do you mean US meddling in Iran in 1953 or the other way around today?
It wasn’t until 2017 that Britain released documents on their part in Operation Boot.
You think that if the American and British publics were told in 1953 "We're gonna go overthrow another country's government and install a brutal dictatorship because their democratic government is threatening BP's profit margins", the public would've given them a thumbs up?
I just wasn’t able to get what OP meant without that clarification.
'The secret outside influence' on usa is negligible scarecrow used to put fear in people, so they pay attention to scary putin instead of focusing on who really runs the country. Honestly how much influance do you think russia had on last election?
The interest of a Russian dictator is untied to the interests of any Americans.
As for how much influence Russia had, read the Mueller report. Volume One is full of examples.
Corporate influence is bad, sure, but corporations have nowhere near the amount of resources to bear on influence operations as states have. Avengers: Endgame, the most expensive movie ever made, cost about as much as one F35 fighter jet, of which the USAF has purchased 1,783 units. When a state decides to use popular media for public influence, they can wield multiple orders of magnitude more influence than any of the world's great media monopolies can.
>The interest of an American corporation is definitionally beneficial to at least some Americans
Benefit of few at cost of majority of the nation, thats good???
>The interest of a Russian dictator is untied to the interests of any Americans. It is as you say "beneficial to at least some Americans".
>corporations have nowhere near the amount of resources to bear on influence operations as states have.
And that's why they pay even lower corporate taxes now, the biggest players skip paying taxes altogether through loophole that somehow no one wants to ever fix. Its common knowledge that Apples, Googles, Facebooks and other Amazons pay laughable amounts. And with tax breaks and incentives the are getting more money then they pay[1] in its nature its beyond grotesque.
Lockheed martin selling jets to Saudis so they can claim a new better jets need to be developed. Directly working against interest of the state so they can milk the middle case even more. That is literally selling arms to both sides so neither will win so you can stuff your pockets with blood money indefinitely.
Correct me if I am wrong but it seems that what you are saying is that state is this big monolithic structure that holds vast amounts of power. It has power over corporation as it can pass laws, and it controls the biggest army in the world. True, but in reality all of it controlled through 'handful' of politicians elected via popularity contest ergo if you have enough money you will buy yourself a ticket in. And who provides the money? Interest groups, lobbyists via more or less opaque means (superPACs or dark money pools).
So you can claim that the puppet is the biggest and strongest but its on strings and groups that holds those strings are in control. And no matter what puppet will dance as its told to no matter what.
[1] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/2018-taxes-some-of-americas-big...
Can almost trace a line from that to the 1979 embassy hostage crisis, and the problems we have with Iran today.
Question is, in Iran, is it a part of pre-existing war?
There's still no doubt in my mind that the US was the one that bombed their refineries.
The crying about Russia has become party politics. There's no putting that cat back in the bag
This is a rather naive notion.
It bothers me a lot that so many foreign policy experts can look at the unrelieved mess of things that they have made over the past generation, and think that this time, doing what has failed spectacularly so many times before is going to work out.
Time to invent some new wheels.
If a cyber attack leads to war, it seems to lead to cyber war like this article. Not physical war.
I think it's more that the US applies these rules unequally. You execute a cyber attack on us, we'll overthrow your government and laugh as the rabble beheads you in the streets. If we execute a cyber attack on you, what are you going to do? We have nukes.
The framework he laid out is actually pretty interesting because it made it very clear that espionage is totally on the table, which is as far as the countries that do have nukes are willing to go here.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/29/china-russia-could-disrupt-u...
The Iranian and North Korean "attacks" here are just laundered transfers on the swift network.
Journalists should really dig their heels in and start resisting this, but that will never happen. It's just bad journalism and they keep letting themselves get manipulated.
I don't even care about the classified information aspect of this, the classification system in the US is a complete farce and will be reformed soon, clearly nobody respects it all anymore at any level of the intel community.
It is not their fault that they parrot whatever talking points politicians and their staff members. It's only on those rare occasions where sources are cultivated through long periods of time and building trust through publishing meticulously what information has been shared with them via interviews and documents, most of them being talking points of course, that they can get to the meat of the subjects. Lifting the veil of the real news stories requires years and years of trudging through just simply formatting interview transcripts into something readable and of interest.
I don't blame them one bit. It's a tough job and you're at the mercy of everyone you attempt to gather information from. It doesn't help that you're viewed as de-facto suspicious due to journalistic freedoms.
Except those who don't support such a strike (e.g Iran).