Can ecological models explain global financial markets?
scientificamerican.com
scientificamerican.com
Unfortunately, the Nature article is paywalled and eager though I am to read it, there is no way I am going to spend $32 when I could buy 2 or 3 books for the same price. (Why don't they just sell individual articles for $1.99 and split with Amazon or Google? They'd probably generate thousands of dollars on every paper, and many times that on pathbreaking ones. Extinction looms for the publishing industry as well as the banks if they don't adapt!)
Instead, here are slides from a 2010 oral presentation on the subject by May, which will probably be sufficient for most HN readers: http://www-thphys.physics.ox.ac.uk/colleges/merton/notes/may...
More by May: http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v451/n7181/full/451893a... (overview) http://rsif.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/7/46/823.full... (technical paper referenced in slides, lots of meat)
And the study referenced by May: http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/epr/07v13n2/0711part3.pdf from http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/epr/2007n1.html
Transcript of related speech by Haldane: http://www.bis.org/review/r100406d.pdf
Loosely related (network/system theory): http://fic.wharton.upenn.edu/fic/policy%20page/EP_HammondNet... http://www.ewp.rpi.edu/hartford/~stoddj/MacroPrinc/Journal%2...
And a few unrelated economic modeling papers that might however be useful in this context, on bank runs: http://mfi.uchicago.edu/publications/papers/a-model-of-a-sys... model validation: http://mfi.uchicago.edu/publications/papers/correct-specific... and DSGE modelling: http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/epr/10v16n2/1010sbor.pdf