Bioreactor Captures as Much Carbon as an Acre of Trees
futurism.com
futurism.com
We are at or close to the point where we need negative emissions to stave off catastrophic climate change.
Can you point us at some non-politicised sources which can refute these findings, which prove that anthropogenic climate change is such a strong force that it counteracts the natural glacial cycle?
For those who wonder why I ask this question please note that this is a serious request. The debate around climate change has been so polluted by politics that it is nigh impossible to find objective sources. Those objective sources which I know off fail to show the climate catastrophe which we're all being warned about.
[1] https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Holocene_Temperature...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Ice_Age_Temperature.png
For the canonical report on climate change impacts in the anthropocene, I would recommend the IPCC reports, e.g. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WGIIAR5-Chap... on synergistic risks to food security and low-lying coastal regions.
Where does it go after the soil? The carbon that makes up a plant is definitely sourced from the air not the soil.
If the carbon was still in the soil I'd imagine fossil fuels wouldn't need to mostly come from the Carboniferous period, right?
"Until recently it was believed only young forests sequestered atmospheric carbon in early growth and that old-growth forests were only sinks in which the carbon was stored. Recent studies, however, have identified that intact old-growth forests continue to take up carbon from the atmosphere even past the point at which they reach maturity. By measuring growth rates, researchers have identified that carbon sequestration in trees increases continuously because the overall leaf area increases as they grow, enabling bigger trees to absorb more carbon from the atmosphere. Older, larger deciduous trees reproduce more new leaves, thus capturing the most carbon from the atmosphere."
http://www.futuredirections.org.au/publication/role-old-grow...
The whole company Hypergiant looks like a joke too.
From A.I. to Space faring, they cover everything..
I can't tell what it is they generally do either.
Edit: Found the product page: https://www.hypergiant.com/green/
...that still don't exist. Those that we know how to make have still so serious problems that they aren't being made for anything but the research:
"Basically, MSRs are underdeveloped and require a lot more research (especially in corrosion) before they can surely take off as the world’s fleet of power plants."
https://whatisnuclear.com/msr.html
Also:
"The problem with MSRs, then, is that the fuel is already completely cut open and melted. You’re halfway to a bomb already"
By the same state of availability, it can be said "the advanced fusion reactors will provide cheap electricity."
EDIT: in reply to the argument below (as I can't answer there, the moderators like it that way):
> Thorium is ... also closer than wind and solar.
How? Both wind and solar are already available and usable today to every individual who has the property to install them, everywhere in the world. Who can buy and install his own thorium reactor on his property, and where?
But yeah we are still not even close to having it ready and it might take decades. So we are going to be stuck with fossil fuels for a very long time.
This means Solar is down to 3.3c/kWh at night. That’s vastly cheaper than any Nuclear power plant.
You can't just isolate the cost of solar or wind as they are only viable because they sit on top of a fossil or nuclear infrastructure.
Solar and wind is always depending on backup energy, those backup energies are not depending on wind and solar.
Wind and solar haven't factored in the cost of decommision and maintanance in their prices which is going to be much more given the huge areas they have to be spread out on.
There is plenty speculation about how to solve the intermittency problem of wind and solar but we are not even close to a solution for that.
So, let’s hypothetically say you need 2x redundancy with solar generation to hit 100% grid demand 99.99% of the time. 2x 2c + 1.3c only bumps you up to 5.3c/kWh. And note this is with vast overkill wasting 50% of electrify generation. Except that’s not a comparison to coal or Nuclear that’s a comparison with the grid including peaking power plants.
Run the economics of 100% Nuclear and you need both excess capacity seasonally and vast amounts of grid storage daily. Thus vastly increasing the already high prices.
PS: Remember if the sun goes out we all die anyway, it’s at worst local clouds we care about. Further, demand for AC is lower on cloudy days.
Wind and solar is currently less than 1% of the worlds energy and not expected to be more than 3-4% in 2040.
There is no realistic version I know of (and believe me I have looked) where solar or wind become the base of societies energy needs.
No one is talking about 100% nuclear. But currently nuclear already cover much more of our energy needs than wind and solar.
Nuclear’s problem actually gets worse when operating alongside solar and wind which are dramatically cheaper and drive the spot price close to 0 regularly. Meaning Nuclear is unneeded for long periods. Thus the long term trend is ~0% Nuclear power due to economic issues.
As to photovoltaic capacity factor, nobody expects it to run at night that’s what batteries are for. The only meaningful capacity factor is the delta between average and minimum daily output vs seasonal demand.
PS: Solar thermal on the other hand is simply a boondoggle waste of money.
I am not sure where you are getting your information but it's simply factually wrong.
Batteries can't solve this issue as it doesn't solve seasonality. And it would be extremely extremely huge batteries needed. The cost alone would make it impossible as peak demand only happens once in a while. And then you are back to backups.
Granted, you can operate nuclear when the spot price is below your true cost to produce assuming it stays above your marginal price, but you now need to make up the difference.
As to seasonality, demand is also seasonal, which again is bad for nuclear. Further, when sourcing wind you can locate it based on seasonal considerations. The high correlation between solar production and AC usage ends up being a useful feature not a bug.
https://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/Publications/PDF/P1756_web.pdf
Away, from the IAEA which is very pro nuclear “Some Member States, such as France and Germany, have already needed to design or convert the majority of their nuclear power plants for flexible operation. Plants in those Member States have been designed or modified and have operated flexibly, and many reactor-years of experience and knowledge of flexible operation have been collected.” Page 18 adds a host of reasons why Nuclear is bad at load following. Page 25 shows just how low weekend loads get vs peak demand. Fig 13 on page 33 shows “Nuclear Load following” and that’s a direct quote.
PS: Of note France also exports significantly more than it imports in part because they are so bad at load following. But even with that they still need curtailment of Nuclear power which is made worse by the large shifts in seasonal electricity demand.
https://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-pr...
PS: “have already needed to design or convert the majority of their nuclear power plants for flexible operation”
This directly says nuclear power plants designed around high capacity factors where a problem which they spent money to fix.
Wasting significantly more than 20% of all money spent on nuclear in France is a problem. This is a country that can export almost a 1/3 of production and they still end up paying a premium.
Run the numbers for Nuclear without exports and France would be paying for ~500+GWh of Nuclear generating capacity could only use ~300GWh per year, in other words to reach 70% of electrical need from Nuclear alone the price goes up by ~67%.
Thus large scale nuclear needs grid storage to be cost competitive just as much if not more than solar, except it also costs several times as much. This is why it’s a dead end.
France doesn't pay a premium, Germany on the other hand does and so does Denmark for their Solar and Wind effection.
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php...
So again you are simply factually incorrect and are just making up claims right now.
High capacity factor (Nuclear) means you can trust the stability and in this case the scaleability of the source.
Low capacity factor (Wind & Solar) means you can't trust the satbility of the source and it doesn't scale. Instead it needs backup from oil, coal, gas or nuclear.
No energy source is without its problems but you've seen to miss the point of this discussion which is what is the best source for stable energy supply. To claim that high capacity factor of nuclear is a problem is simply flat out wrong and you won't find anyone back that claim up.
“In 2014 the rate is €42/MWh, but CRE proposed an increase to €44 in 2015, €46 in 2016 and €48 in 2017 to allow EdF to recover costs of plant upgrades, which it put at €55 billion to extend all 58 reactor lifetimes by ten years. In November 2014 the government froze the price at €42 to mid-2015. This Arenh re-sale price has represented a long-term floor price for EdF’s power, and is nominally based on the cost of production. The industrial group Uniden said that the proposed 2015 wholesale price of €44/MWh would be €14 higher than Germany’s.” Of note these prices are mostly arbitrary as France’s Nuclear is operating on huge subsidies, but even with that their prices are higher.
Thus despite massive economies of scale, Frances Nuclear costs went up. The numbers are even worse when you consider how much debt they have for aging Nuclear reactors which still need to be decommissioned which is going to cost insane amounts of money.
Furthermore you keep ignoring that wind and solar can't provide without coal, oil, gas or nuclear, the reverse is not true.
And thus if you want to compare the cost of nuclear with the cost of wind or solar you of course need to factor in the cost of the backup energy needed which among others include nuclear!
So no wind and solar are still much more expensive and doesn't provide stable energy.
If you want to talk about prices. Germany has already subsided past installations of wind and solar at high cost, that says nothing about installing new wind and solar at current prices.
Further, Germany is a very poor location for Solar. It has about the same solar potential as Alaska, but you can install it in other locations and move cheaply move electricity long distances. I mean we are talking about a country who’s southern tip is 48 degrees north. Mane is like 43 degrees north.
The fact is that wind and solar can't be the base of any countries energy as it's intermittency and low capacity factor makes it dependent on oil, gas, coal and nuclear.
We don't need wind and solar, we couldnt' do without the others.
Denmark is amazing for wind. That doesn't help since electricity is only 20% of the energy distribution.
I support nuclear power but it's very very expensive, even in meteorologically inactive places such as UK. Maybe India and China can make it work, but in the west you can forget it. Hinkley Point C is a failure and it hasn't even been constructed yet.
Nuclear is expensive in the short run but much better in the long run. It's capacity factor is almost 100 compare that to wind and solar which is between 20-40 depending on season etc.
Furthermore nuclear is expensive because we compare it with the non-true cost of ex. wind and solar which both need backup energy to be useful (not calculated), the decommission (not calculated).
It's completely backwards that we are investing in making wind and solar cheaper not nuclear. Wind and solar are linear solutions to the exponential problem of energy. They don't point to the future but to the past. They are great for some things but never as a foundation for a modern society energy needs.
I don't think it's necessary to replace fossil fuels as such but many people seem to think so and they have the problem I tried to outline in my previous post.
"Just" in order to avoid the uncontrolled warming up of the Earth's atmosphere. As long as we use them, there will be more CO2 in the atmosphere, more warming and the destruction of the environment in which the humanity grew up (the climate was extraordinary stable since the civilizations appeared... until the last 100 years). We still don't exactly know how fast that difference can hit us, and how big issue for us it can get (i.e. the worst case) but what we know already is enough to know that the resolute action is needed even if the worst case doesn't happen, "business as usual" will be a serious, long-time problem:
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/365/6459/eaaw6974
"The human imperative of stabilizing global climate change at 1.5°C"
"increasing GMST to 3°C above the pre-industrial period substantially increases the risk of tipping points such as permafrost collapse, Arctic sea ice habitat loss, major reductions in crop production in Africa as well as globally, and persistent heat stress that is driving sharp increases in human morbidity and mortality"
"Our preliminary estimates suggest that the benefits of avoided damage by the year 2200 may greatly exceed energy sector investment costs to 2050. Current national voluntary emission reduction pledges for 2030 are insufficient to drive this even if followed by “very challenging increases in the scale and ambition of mitigation after 2030”"
"The majority of pathways for achieving 1.5°C also require carbon dioxide removal from the atmosphere. Delays in bringing CO2 emissions to net zero over the next 20 to 30 years will also increase the likelihood of pathways that exceed 1.5°C (i.e., overshoot scenarios) and hence a greater reliance on net negative emissions after mid-century if GMST is to return to 1.5°C"
Simply put, it's safer to not the let the CO2 in the atmosphere at all than to try to remove it later and fail. But eventually we will have to remove more than we let. And the amounts in question are immense, and removal costs a lot of energy too. So we do need all the energy to be produced without fossil fuels. Wherever some fossil fuels are burned, we'll need even more energy to remove that.
So if anything it's inconclusive and I don't see any scientifically demonstrated consequence of the climate-changing that we don't know how to deal with.
"But that isn’t cause to celebrate. It’s a bit like hearing that your chemotherapy is slowing the growth of your tumor by 25 percent.
Despite global greening, carbon dioxide levels have climbed over the past two centuries to levels not seen on Earth for millions of years. And the carbon dioxide we’ve injected into the atmosphere is already having major impacts across the planet."
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/30/science/climate-change-pl...
The climate is always changing. I am celebrating every day that fossil fuels have made life better and safer for us in the west. What I am fearing is that well meaning but fundamentally ignorant climate catastrophism will make it harder for the worlds poorest to get access to the very energy they need to fight any change in climate.
That’s not technically true. While unrelated, humans have been burning coal for at least 5500 years where the current Sahara desert is only around 4,500-8,000 years olds. Considering how long we have been using fires, coal use could actually vastly predate this event, though again the impact of such usage would have been minimal.
Again, several vastly more likely causes exist from livestock grazing to purely natural climate shifts.
The underlying causes of this drying and desertification has previously been attributed to subtle changes in the Earth’s orbit, which in turn influenced atmospheric weather patterns and led to a reduction of the amount of rainfall in northern Africa. But Wright, whose scientific research has led him to exploring Neolithic-age archaeological sites all over the world, suggests that this is not the full picture. “In East Asia there are long established theories of how Neolithic populations changed the landscape so profoundly that monsoons stopped penetrating so far inland”, explains Wright, also noting in his paper that evidence of human-driven ecological and climatic change has been documented in Europe, North America and New Zealand. Wright believed that similar scenarios could also apply to the Sahara.
https://blog.frontiersin.org/2017/03/14/did-humans-create-th...
And the amount of greening that is possible is also a part of the models: we know that it can't save us from the increase in CO2 which is pushed to the atmosphere orders of magnitude faster. Even if in some areas some plants will appear, the climatic changes in the whole world will be seriously problematic for most of human population and most of the rest of the nature.
It's a classical red herring: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_herring
You have no proof for your claim, it's a non-testable hypothesis and the only thing you are relying on is computer climate models notorious for fitting and underappreciating negative feedback loops which have resulted in less than stellar predictability.
1. https://projects.ncsu.edu/project/treesofstrength/treefact.h... 2. https://www.quora.com/How-many-towns-and-cities-are-there-in...
10 tons is in the region of what the global per capita emissions are so you're looking then at about 3+ billion needed.
I decided I will not criticize any attempt at carbon sequestration, because whatever the initiatives are, doing something is better than doing nothing, which is what we are currently busying ourselves with.