Does this move mean that the fed is trying to keep its benchmark rate too low and absent market forces it would be much higher?
Does this move mean that the fed is trying to keep its benchmark rate too low and absent market forces it would be much higher?
How close are we to a failed auction where the dealers won't or can't purchase the difference? How close are we to the Fed having to buy them directly?
Fed used to maintain a corridor system, in that they would intervene if effective fed funds went higher or lower than their target. They moved to a floor system, in which they attempted to set a single rate by paying banks interest on reserves (IOER) held at the Fed. For roughly a decade, this worked (a certain arbitrage helped convert this rate from a floor into a ceiling). Recently, effective fed funds has risen above IOER, but Fed was not conducting reverse repo operations to push this down.
In theory this affects all equally but in practice and in agreement with recent memory, losing X% of a small amount to inflation or wage stagnation (i.e. what you or I experience) is more negatively impactful than a large player losing that same relative amount.