Too Many Video Streaming Choices May Drive Users Back To Piracy
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This has already happened in my circles..
People who had cut the cord but all but walked away from casual piracy and signed up for Netflix and HBO (and probably Prime Video because they had Amazon Prime already) are openly talking about the fact they're definitely not signing up for more streaming services, and are seeking out torrenting again for the stuff that's being pulled from Netflix (especially Disney shows).
I feel like there's a business opportunity for a meta-service that automatically manages monthly subscriptions for you on different services. You queue up a catalog of shows you want to watch, and it creates an optimized schedule for you and helps sign up for the individual streaming service on a given month in order to watch the show you want.
As long as you don't care about the zeitgeist, this would probably be fine for a lot of people.
In 2003, people said that the iTunes music store was going to be a disaster. Who would pay to download music when they could get it for free. That worked out pretty well.
Depending on the country, you'd be surprised.
I'm not sure why Disney has the hold it has in the US, but in most of Europe I know it's nothing special (to the point of being a "must have" brand). Kids can just sit in front of regular kids TV channels. And normal middle class families can and do pirate all the time...
Groups like hardcore Disney fans, R. Kelly fans, and Evangelical Christians all share a very similar devotion and loyalty to their idols.
Your comment is a poorly disguised insult.
In either case, they're both almost a Cult of personality. The fans are so adorant of their object that they often overlook glaringly evil deeds. At the same time, the level of manipulation exhibited and the devotion demanded by the personality is extreme to the point that outsiders see it as absurd.
Idk, maybe it's just me but I find fanaticism to be very off putting in general. When the idol asks fans to make sacrifices to stay it in their favor, that's when it crosses a line into creepy.
Disney walks a fine line where it expertly cultivates that culture while simultaneously pretending it doesn't exist and remaining open and accessible to everyone.
Disney has been accused of gross labor and environmental violations across the globe. So while R. Kelly has caused severe damage to a few, Disney has caused minor to moderate damage to a great number.
I'm not stating that a fan of a franchise, like Marvel Comics, specifically is accepting of Disney's scope of misdeeds or even considering them a Disney fan in this case. I'm speaking directly to the Disney fan, those people who specifically travel to Disney parks multiple times a year, go on the cruises repeated, and consume the Disney branded merchandise in volume.
Then maybe companies and enterprises shouldn't do all they can to be treated like men...
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/corporations-are-people-a_b_5...
This verges on the tautological though, given that "fan" is short for "fanatic"; you're complaining that fanatics are fanatics. Well... yeah, but so? I don't think you can directly impute the behavior of the fans on to the target of their fandom. (You can draw some indirect conclusions, but it involves at least a few steps of lower reliability and propositions people will find debatable.)
Eh, that's its (probable) origin, but I'd say the two have diverged in meaning; "fan" nowadays doesn't have the same connotation of extreme and uncritical zeal of "fanatic."
We don't even watch regular TV anymore at my home. It's either Netflix or Youtube.
(Not to mention that only maybe a quarter of these movies are worth seeking out, the rest are something I’d only ever watch for free on an airplane or something. But that’s just personal taste).
Yes, but the overall market also doesn't jibe with taste, as Zappa would say...
Also, I may have to wait until my smart TV supports it. We never had these kind of problems when we just had cable. (Or did we?)
The Muppet Show seems to be missing, though there's lots of other muppet stuff. Labyrinth and The Dark Crystal are also missing, perhaps because Netflix made a new Dark Crystal show.
But what I’m talking about is if you scroll down this list, 8 of the top 100 are from Disney unless I’m missing a studio name, I’m counting BV and MGM. So those 5 are pretty much all the 2019 blockbusters you’ll get from the service in a few months.
If you're also the sort of person that considers popcorn an integral part of the movie watching experience then the streaming services is almost certainly cheaper even if you only watch those two movies a year.
Also: tons of Pixar movies. And I still haven't seen The Lion King and Aladdin. Or pretty much any Disney movie other than Brave.
If it's not your thing, that's fine, but I've got two kids, and Netflix is a bit short on movies for the whole family that are fun for both kids as well as parents. They're great at stuff for just the kids or just the parents, but for the whole family is what Pixar and Disney are good at.
There are many options here. That's one of the upsides of pirating non-DRM media. Storage is stupid cheap and anybody on HN should be able to figure out how to get an arbitrary mp4 file onto an arbitrary screen.
HN users seem to be way out of touch with the average user.
Not to mention it greatly simplifies other matters. If you drop a bunch of movies onto your kids tablet, you no longer have to worry about being away from a cell tower or wifi AP. Furthermore, concerning this very article, there is the matter of too many streaming platforms existing. Maybe you only need Disney because you don't let your kids consume any other brand. But probably more likely, there are numerous desirable movies that are on one streaming platform but not another, or on none at all. And a movie that might be on a platform one year could be gone the next. A harddrive full of movies avoids all of this mess. Subscribe to two or three services a year and you'll be spending a lot more than $8 a month. Maybe it still seems trivial to you with an inflated tech salary, but I know a lot of people who think a single netflix subscription is too expensive so they share an account with other friends/family. This is pretty common.
> HN users seem to be way out of touch with the average user.
I am certainly not out of touch with my own friends and family!
Roku is the most popular streaming device and it only supports H.264 for attached storage and its very picky on what it will support.
The obscure edge-cases are things that HN users might be aware of, but simply aren't a practical concern in practice. DLNA is generally the case where you might run into issues, but a transcoding DLNA server solves that problem.
So now you've added even more complexity and a regular DLNA server/client has what is far from a user friendly interface like Plex.
If you drop a bunch of movies onto your kids tablet, you no longer have to worry about being away from a cell tower or wifi AP. Furthermore,
So now we have a streaming DLNA server, transcoding, bit torrenting, and copying the movie to the device as opposed to paying $8 a month and just click "download" to put it on the device?
A harddrive full of movies avoids all of this mess. Subscribe to two or three services a year and you'll be spending a lot more than $8 a month. Maybe it still seems trivial to you with an inflated tech salary,
And the people not in tech are going to jump through all of the hoops you are suggesting?
How poor do you think the average household in the US is that close to 50% are paying for iOS devices and not going to pay $25 a month for a few streaming services? Do you realize what they are already paying for cable?
I am certainly not out of touch with my own friends and family!
Your friends and family are not a representative sample....
And if my family can do it, I am quite sure your family can too. I think the attitude you're demonstrating here exemplifies a problem with the industry in general these days; giving non-technical people too little credit.
None of this stuff is complicated, but when a technical person such as yourself tells a non-technical person that they're incapable of wrapping their mind around something, it becomes a self-fullfilling prophecy as they're now scared of even trying. And without trying, neither of you will ever learn what their true capabilities are.
Running your own server, finding good torrents, risk getting emails from your ISP or paying for a VPN service, dealing with networking and making sure the correct port is open and then dealing with the crappy upload bandwidth that most Americans have....
If you prefer keeping everything on a thumb drive or your phone's SD card, do that instead.
Most people don't have phones with SD cards and the majority of middle class to upper middle class households in the US have iOS devices...
And if my family can do it, I am quite sure your family can too. I think the attitude you're demonstrating here exemplifies a problem with the industry in general these days; giving non-technical people too little credit.
There are plenty of people that can cook but that doesn't prevent them from eating out. Convenience beats cheap.
None of this stuff is complicated, but when a technical person such as yourself tells a non-technical person that they're incapable of wrapping their mind around something, it becomes a self-fullfilling prophecy as they're now scared of even trying. And without trying, neither of you will ever learn what their true capabilities are
It's not about what people can't do -- it's about what people don't want to do. My wife and I both have cars but when we want to spend a night out and go to downtown from the suburbs we take Uber for the convenience.
And if you define the “middle class to upper class”, by definition you get 50% to 60% (3-5 quintile) of the US - the exact population that streaming products are targeting.
The first 3 star wars films where important for their era, but most of the later ones are just forgettable sci-fi (for non-discerning fans). Not to mention letting down parts of the canon (e.g. the Solo movie, or "Kylo Ren", a hipster/teenage goth abomination that took Darth Vader's iconic status and pissed all over it).
Marvel too has movie diarrhea, with 1 in 10 movies being anything to write home about (eg. Logan).
I'd vote for less superhero movies and less Star Wars reboots and sequels/prequels, and more original stories. Plus, where's that Foundation series?
For the Legends storyline, I loved the X-Wings series of books (basically how the Rebels defeated the major parts of the Empire): https://www.amazon.com/dp/B01BJST00W . My favorite book in the series is The Bacta War, there's a lot of small ship action instead of the movies where huge fleets are the norm.
Also in Legends, try the Thrawn trilogy starting with Heir To The Empire https://www.amazon.com/dp/B004WBXM80/ . It's a good set of books with a real threat to the Rebellion.
As for Disney canon, frankly a lot of the books are very meh at best - many of them are just to set up Disney World/Land Black Spire Outpost land. The only one I would recommend is perhaps the new Thrawn trilogy: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1101967021/ - be warned that the second book in the trilogy (Thrawn: Alliances) gets rather slow at times, but the third book (Thrawn: Treason) is actually pretty fun.
Another X-Wings fan! Bacta War was awesome, I must've re-read it like 10 times :-D
There are at least a few of us out there who think the same as you. The one difference is I haven't watched one in the theater in years.
That stuff takes balls, and I'm enjoying it a lot.
It's true that superheroes do dominate the current movie landscape maybe a bit too much. Nerds won and now everything has to be SciFi, Fantasy, Horror or Superheroes. I wouldn't object to dialing that back a bit, but only a bit.
I really like the Star Wars universe, but the only good new movie was Rogue One. It worked because it was a completely separate story only loosely tied to the original films.
Personally I love both anthologies, and I love them a lot more than the new trilogy (I love Luke's role, but I have doubts about where the trilogy as a whole is going). I know Solo bombed, but for me it was the movie I'd been waiting 30 years for, and I wasn't disappointed.
Short videos maybe, but I don't think I know anybody, young or old, who cares of streaming full movies on mobile. Maybe some outliers who watch their series on their commute...
The vast majority watch movies when they are at home...
Still, I don't see your problem. Given how good browsers are on mobile, a pirate streaming site isn't that much worse or less convenient on a phone than Netflix or YouTube app. You select the video you want to watch, tap Play, tap "full screen", and enjoy the show.
Also, it takes some amount of extra work to create an iPad app than an iPhone app. Once again, is the entire media industry delusional or should they be taking advice from HN users?
Just like I said....
- I type "fili.cc" in my Firefox on Android
- I don't like anything currently in suggestions, so I tap on the search box, type in "Avengers", and press Search
- I tap the first result, as it is the movie I'm looking for
- On the move page, I tap on one of the players listed
- A video box loads, I press its Play button, then Full Screen button, and watch the movie
It's literally one tap more than Netflix; since this is a site curating pirated streaming sources, I have to pick one of the "players" (each representing a movie source with a bundled JS player).
fili.cc is one of many of such sites; different people I know have their own favorites.
So do none of the "people you know" use iOS devices?
Anyway, I'm not sure what's your point here.
Or more relevant see Disney. Disney makes a killing with its resorts where the price per ticket is $100+ per day and most people pay for more than one day, but souvenirs, and stay at one of their hotels.
The US is like 4% of the planet. The world is much bigger than New York, North Platte, Dallas, and Des Moines combined, and there are many countries where what the parent said is common place...
To put it in perspective, Netflix has something like 151 subscribers worldwide. The other 7.3 billion people use something else, and it's not Hulu or Disney...
Do you really think the total addressable market for people who might buy a streaming service is 7.3 billion?
You make it sound like they waste some fortune on those, so it necessarily has to have a huge market to justify building one.
On the contrary, regardless of whether they have a big mobile watching userbase (and I'm wrong) or not (and I'm right), it still makes sense to have a mobile app.
First, the mobile app budget is a drop in the bucket compared to their operating costs (bandwidth, marketing, offices, license deals, etc). So there's not much of a waste even if nobody uses it, which makes making a mobile app available a no-brainer.
Second, it would bad (competition wise) not having one anyway, even if few really use it...
Third, even if it's just e.g. 10% that watches movies on mobile, why not get them too?
Fourth, it's note that they actually invest specially in their mobile apps to begin with. Usually they use some cross platform framework they use for their web and/or desktop version.
Fifth, do you have better numbers, or some other empirical observations from people you know? Do you see rampant movie watching on the go?
As far as the direction that video viewing is going.
https://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-ct-people-spend-more-...
The difference in time was even more pronounced for younger Americans, with people 18 to 34 spending 1 hour and 51 minutes on live and time-shifted TV and 3 hours and 25 minutes on the web or apps on smartphone and tablets in the third quarter of last year, Nielsen said.
In some ways it's better than Netflix/Amazon offline mode since I know my files will always work in VLC whereas I don't know ahead of time which streaming content allows offline mode or not.
Most people just buy a "fully loaded" android box which lists thumbnails for all the latest movies and TV shows on various file storage sites. They select a thumbnail and the movie plays. Nothing local at all, all streamed.
As hendersoon noted, nowadays, piracy is extremely low-friction.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/toddhixon/2014/04/10/what-kind-...
https://gizmodo.com/want-to-appear-rich-buy-an-iphone-182743...
https://buildfire.com/ios-android-users/
Kodi is not available for non jailbroken ios devices.
It’s the same with video now. If I plan ahead, I will still pick up movies that fall off the back of a truck and put them on my Plex server, but often, we don’t even bother. We just rent from Amazon Prime or iTunes.
That’s even considering that I can just go to http://remote.vuze.com from anywhere on my phone and start a download on my home server.
I have never had a failure but I once had an issue with a purchase porting to Movies Anywhere from Google Play. Google was beyond useless in helping me out, I actually spoke with someone on the phone and it was as if they had never even seen the Play Store before. I emailed the seller about it and got an immediate email response with a couple suggestions to try before refund, the first suggestion worked.
- 5Movies4Free -- which then redirects me
- mobilevpn.download -- and then when I click on "Install and Register Now". It redirects me to
-"app.appsflyer.com" which then
- redirects me to the app store
- and then it just hangs
Is that really the user experience that people want as opposed to just paying $8 a month and they can stream movies to 4 devices, download on mobile so they don't have to worry about poor connectivity and they can stream to almost any device?
Not to mention your solution not only requires them to wade through shady sites, but they also would have to have a computer connected to their TV.
In the US, Apple has close to half the mobile phone market and a much larger share of the market of middle and upper income households. Do you think that people who are willing to pay Apple prices for hardware will even blink at signing up for Disney+ and Netflix instead of going through all of these contortions?
Edit: I forgot to mention that every major cellular carrier and MetroPCS (a sub brand of T-mobile) is bundling at least one streaming option as part of their family plan - except for Verizon.
Edit 2: I would have never gone through the entire process on my computer, too much of a risk of drive by downloads. I knew that it probably wouldn't do too much damage on iOS.
This is somehow more convenient than just paying $8 a month?
Even then, I would still need to pay for a VPN and no VPN provider provides the bandwidth to keep up with my gigabit internet.
Actually adding on to that, the timing of this piracy boom is really unfortunate, as the cryptoboom made it advantagous again to target home computers with malware for cryptominers. It's frustrating having to go setup shit like sandboxie for pirated software again like it's the early 2000s
But they probably have a friend who has a friend who put in the effort and is willing to share.
"Do not expect five 9's from my Plex Server" (https://player.fm/series/accidental-tech-podcast/ep-309-do-n...)
And you still have the abysmal state of upload bandwidth in the US and what are the chances that they will have all of the Disney movies?
Not everyone in the US is starved for upstream. Not everyone is going to lose their mind if their friend's Plex doesn't have Five 9s availability -- and let's be real, with all the things that can and do go wrong between a user and a service on the Internet, Three 9s is optimistic for anything.
And whose subscription service has Fresh Prince of Bel-Air? Saved by the Bell? Countless other shows and movies that aren't available with any of them?
Disney movies? Add a Trakt list to Radarr, done.
People want a reliable service and will pay for it. I have no idea why this concept is forum. Hulu and Netflix publish their numbers every quarter and about 60% of households have Amazon Prime Video (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-prime-members-59-perce...)
76% percent of households use Netflix (https://www.bestappletv.com/news/more-u-s-households-now-hav...)
It’s also estimated that 40% of households will get Disney+ by 2022 (https://www.fiercevideo.com/video/a-lot-people-are-planning-...)
It doesn’t take too much to understand that enough of the American public values convenience over price to make paying for a service over the hassle of piracy worthwhile.
That's the thing. Needing more subscriptions to access the content everyone in a household wants to view is going to lower convenience and raise the (collective) price. Disney+, next is Peacock, and who knows what's next after that.
Nobody's suggesting a mass piracy uprising. But more people will look in that direction and decide that piracy can substitute for another subscription or replace all of them.
Running my own Plex server costs substantially more than subscribing to the major streaming services. I'm paying for the convenience -- it pretty much runs itself, new content appears "by magic" (Radarr/Sonarr/Trakt lists), content never goes away, I have content that no streaming subscription offers, and there's only one place to look for content.
Do people really need to do a significant amount of movie watching outside their own LAN/home?
Asking this question is close to the old Slashdot meme “I haven’t owned a TV in 20 years, do people still watch TV?” Of course people watch video on mobile devices and they have for over a decade.
I’ve settled on buying physical media and ripping. The physical media serves as your backup in case of HD failure.
> Of course people watch video on mobile devices and they have for over a decade.
I suppose there are people out there who want to watch a full length movie on their 5 inch phone on a bus, but is that really a mainstream use case? I’d bet the vast majority of movie/show watching takes place in one’s home sitting in the sofa. More than willing to consider that I’m just an out of touch old guy though!
EDIT (rather than replying because apparently HN doesn’t let you post more than 5 replies a day ¯\_(ツ)_/¯)
Your points are taken and I guess I’m just out of touch! :-)
Do you think most people are going to do that?
I’d bet the vast majority of movie/show watching takes place in one’s home sitting in the sofa. More than willing to consider that I’m just an out of touch old guy though!
Yes, you are an old out of touch guy -- no offense the 74 in my name is the year I was born.
But kids especially watch a lot of movies on mobile. Most middle class adults prefer convenience over cheap and a combination of Disney+, Apple Arcade, and a $329 10.2 inch iPad in a ruggedized case or hand me down phone is a great babysitting device.
Fun fact. Disney, ilm and other studio animators used to pirate the shit out of 3d software in the past. They couldn't afford a 30k license for personal learning and use.
For example, I learned about PopcornTime from a single parent who ran it on a laptop connected to their TV. The guy is bus dispatcher.
When I need a recommendation for a streaming site or tracker, I ask my old neighbor who works as a lab tech.
I've found that I'm generally ignorant of such things because everyone in my IT circle just pays for streaming services.
Ask all of the money losing Android OEMs about how profitable it is in a commodity market trying to serve people who aren’t willing/able to spend money.
No need to worry about your home network speed or configuring your router, it's about the price of 1 or 2 subscription services, and I get to curate my collection of TV shows I watch so I just log in and see which new ones are available.
I suppose the setup could be onerous of you find technology intimidating, but once it's working it's an absolute breeze to use.
I do agree, however, that Disney's target audience is the 'I need a faux baby-sitter' type.
Yes that’s a grand total of 6 TVs. I have a Plex server setup.
But I know none of this is normal.
Just change provider every 3 months to a different one, then binge it all.
Maybe a service that automatically deactivates your account at the best point in the billing-cycle? If you could do it without too much overlap you could actually do it on a monthly basis:
Jan - Netflix
Feb - Disney+
.
.
1) Create virtual card
2) Switch payment method to new card
3) Delete virtual card
4) Cha ching !
Then the model simply shifts: 1. Get credit card numbers illegally 2. Create Netflix accounts with those credit cards 3. Sell those accounts on EBay, even after the user reports the card as stolen it will continue to work.
Alternatively, they can do the same as the ISPs around here: jack up the sticker price, then give a large discount - conditional on your permanence as a client for X months. If you decide to cancel, you have to pay them back the discount accrued.
It's a hassle, but this makes companies not willing to go after the debt.
If you never again plan on taking part in the economy, it may be a convenient solution, though.
That’s not going to happen with a virtual card you canceled.
The user would go to a central place where all streaming options are available to be browsed and watched. The point of differentiation would be at payment, as the cost to the user, for whatever they just selected, would go to those who own the rights. No walled gardens, everyone wins. The user pays one monthly price, or within a fixed range. How to figure that all out, well, that's where complexities arise.
My personal soltuion, thus far, is to pay for the service I'm using the most (currently, MhZ Choice), then find other solutions for that which I don't pay for.
The problem is with the exclusive deals, with the IP holders ruining the space for everyone in an attempt to maximize short-term revenue (it will kill their long-term revenue), perhaps thinking this is battle royale, and they obviously will be a platform that wins in the end.
I don't think it's the Highlander end-game they are envisioning, rather there seems to be a drive towards a new (imagined) equilibrium with specific streaming services servicing specific demographics — like Disney is aiming straight for the 'wholesome and family-friendly'-niche.
Of course we all lose as consumers (until you hoist the Jolly Roger in despair).
You know that hip, edgy Vice News, the one with stories about doing drugs in war torn Africa? Yeah Disney owns like ~16-20% of that.
Disney is EVERYWHERE; be afraid of The Mouse.
All the edgier material goes on Hulu apparently.
I'm from the Netherlands. I live in Sweden. In both countries the banks have been able to set up a shared service to make digital payments easy for consumers, despite them being competitors[0][1]. In the Netherlands we also have one national transport chip-card used by all public transport providers[2].
Based on that I would say that what this may need is just the right amount of (and type of) government regulation to force the different competitors to play nice enough to create a better end-product for consumers and to compete healthily with each other. I won't pretend to know what that regulation would look like though.
The core selling point of streaming movies and shows is the "on demand" part. It removes an entire dimension from the problem of planning movie nights or your personal entertainment. If a show is available on the service you're subscribing to, you can watch it any time you want. With enough shows available, this boiled down to "any time I want to watch something, there's something interesting to me available".
Now with the balkanization of streaming space and people already doing provider rotation manually, the experience becomes more like this: "sorry hon, we won't be watching X tonight because it's on HBO, and we're switching to it next month, and Y we wanted to check out just got pulled from Netflix and is on CBS now, which is not worth paying for, and Z is geolocked everywhere, so I guess we have to find something else...".
... which can be quickly followed by: "you know what, I saw a streaming site that's not exactly official, but it costs like $4/month for ad-free experience, has every show you can name available - even ones nobody streams anymore - and guess what, it's perfectly legal to use; so screw the official platforms, and let's watch X tonight".
It's greed that's dooming the streaming services.
This already happens now if you're only subbed to Netflix.
They are constantly removing titles.
It definitely starts to feel like a schedule because now it's like "I have to watch this before October 1st otherwise it'll be pulled".
The worst is when you deal with series too. Like casually watching a 6 season series and you get to the end of season 1, give it a break for a bit but then when you want to resume it a month or 2 later the entire thing is gone.
Combined with a horrible browsing ability for your watch list and you end up adding these great shows to your list but then 2 months later you have no idea how many of them are gone since you can only browse like 6 titles at a time on your watch list that might have hundreds of titles.
Once you feel pressured into watching things due to a fear of missing out you've entered a dangerous place and this is when people will begin looking for alternatives.
Edit: I don't think this is a positive thing for Netflix. And trying to keep up with it probably would just give customers anxiety. But it's a constant reminder that you don't really get to watch what you want with Netflix, which I think is useful to be reminded of now and then.
If you can barely remember what you ate for dinner 6 nights ago, how are you going to remember the ~50 titles they are removing at varying days in September?
Plus, sites and patterns like this just further fuel the "better watch what Netflix says to watch" motto. Your viewing selections are shaped by what's coming and going instead of what you want to watch.
Or at least I did, until they put the price up and I noticed they had bundled in another service without me realising and I was actually paying 3 times more than I thought. Had been meaning to cancel for a while, but that made me pull the trigger
Yeah until they spread out releases of a program over long periods to force you to keep a subscription. Eg Hulu and Disney (1).
The reason people pirate is they want to watch WHAT they want, WHEN they want, in the REGION they want and on the DEVICE they want. The content makers want to control all those things.
https://thestreamable.com/news/disney-is-saying-no-to-binge-...
I will stop short of saying they will "fail" because we all know they won't, they have too much money, but I think they will certainly discourage people from giving them money if they try to enforce some drip-feed delivery model just to squeeze more money out of their customers.
I mean they could just host their stuff on Netflix/iTunes/Amazon but no let's build an entire new server farm doing the exact same work, likely on the exact same hardware and the exact same software, because some executive somewhere got a bug in his ass about Apple taking 30% for providing merely a marketplace, userbase, advertising, delivery model, customer support...
Idk. From a non-industry person this seems like common sense, but I also don't understand how VC backed companies burning billions of dollars to schedule McDonalds deliveries is a long-term business model so maybe this is just some galaxy brain business head stuff.
IMO I prefer to buy a game from the developer and get it cheaper or give the money to the creator but this days most games are on stores and not on the dev website, a good example is Minecraft ,it would probably be more expensive if it would have been on Steam and I would have to install the Steam client to play the game, and I could not play game A on my PC and my son to play game B on his PC, I am forced to use the trick of getting into offline mode.
My point is that in some cases Steam or Apple taking 30% is too much, now that Steam has some competition they made some deals with big publisher but this big percentage are to large for some products.
In this debate though many people ignore the creators and feel entitled that the app,game or movie be on his preferred store and using his preferred payment method.
I am sure there are cases where the store works great too.
There is a version of Minecraft on the Microsoft Store but it's not nearly as popular.
Considering the actual compression quality of HBO is much worse than Netflix or Amazon and the app sucks to use, it seems like they don't have the resources at HBO to actually do streaming well.
Overall, it doesn't really seem like an efficient way to buy content for either them or me. It's like if a studio made their own DVD player.
To be fair, just searching for "plex" does return Reddit results, though not on the first page (for me anyway, Google personalizes search results). It's no longer the Wild West of Internet, and it turns out information doesn't want to be free, it wants to live in invite-only areas who's members are vetted before invitation. DMCA take-downs can't be sent if the material can't be found.
Anyone with a tiny bit of Internet knowledge is going to know how big a site Reddit is (#6 on Alexa for the US).
To be clear, I'm willing to pay for content, and have a small library of shows and movies sprawled across Google, Amazon, and Apple's offerings that I "own", it's just far more convenient to have all my media in one place: Plex.
Everyone does a bit of pirating here and there, and I think the media companies realize it's a cost of doing business. But something tells me they wouldn't look too fondly on an organised, multi-user pirated content distribution platform...
Here in Canada there are some big chains (Best Buy, Staples) being sued for telling people at point-of-purchase that they can watch free content on an Android box.
This is why they are "peer to peer". The bittorrent protocol for example downloads files in fragments, and every fragment that you have downloaded becomes available for other clients (i.e. you start becoming a server as soon as you have downloaded one fragment)
I don't think there is a fundamental moral right to a particular pattern of bits in the first place to defend.
Edit: I think iris was something I did more recently, I don't remember what it was using originally. I just wanted to play with go a little bit. The "front end" itself is a single page with an upload button and a box to paste a magnet link, it's not like it's doing much. Plex does all the real work here.
btw if anybody wants to add some goodies to plex, i created browser extensions that add trailers and random sorting. check them out!
Still, might work for some, but you would also get back to a point where a lack of accessibility increases piracy.
Another thing I’m planning on doing for movies is rotating subscriptions. Use Apple TV channels to subscribe to a different one every month or so and watch the movies that’s there
What we need is a universal platform for all of these streaming services, one app that streams Netflix, Hulu, et cetera - and, ideally - the ability to 'rent' movies or shows from the services without having to pay for a whole month.
That's not really what it's about. You have no idea how utterly janky Plex and torrenting is. People on Hacker News find IT stimulating, so their experience is basically moot. It's like trying to predict trends based on a nerd's hot take of the iPod.
It has always been about enforcement. Seen in this lens, the hassle of pirating movies is itself a form of enforcement of copyright protections, even if the IT is not a legal instrument.
Enforcement has definitely weakened. Why though? It wasn't limited to bad PR, although again the Hacker News crowd is wildly incomparable to the population at large when it comes to issues like this.
What has changed is that TV makers are also now Internet providers. They are recouping the costs of piracy by raising your Internet prices. They don't make content you consume in the rest of the world, so naturally in the rest of the world fast Internet is dirt cheap.
Calling this a consequence of consolidation is accurate! It's just not about consolidation among ISPs, but between producers and ISPs.
And on top of that, all the people who held onto the cord were subsidizing your television. Now that they finally cut the cord, who's going to pay for it?
I don't know anything about Plex, but torrenting is pretty effortless compared to figuring out which streaming service what you want to watch is on, figuring out how to get that, evaluating other content it has trying to justify the price, figuring out how to get it to your tv, and figuring out how to use it. The only thing I've seen that confuses people about torrenting is having to open a port.
I think the thing that limits torrenting is the ISP emails, not any of this "nobody cares about your nerd stuff" know-nothing pseudo folk wisdom. People figure it out in five minutes, it looks too easy so it feels criminal, then they get an email from their ISP, so they retreat back to the difficult stuff out of paranoia because they vaguely remember stories about people getting in absurdly disproportionate trouble for it.
For your conspiracy to be valid, I'd have to see significant evidence that internet costs have gone up in the US. Mine have gone down. Evidence that it's cheaper in other parts of the world is utterly irrelevant.
Damn. You just nailed this. In fact, hearing it this way makes me confused as to why anyone would ever use a streaming service to start.
I live in Canada - which is just an awful country to be in for seeing the message 'this video is not available in your country'. For years, I exclaimed 'this is dumb and just makes me visit the Pirate Bay next, it won't be long before other people do, too'.
You know what I wish was still open? Blockbuster. I miss walking out to a store, picking out a movie, pretty much any movie I wanted (new releases might be picky/choosy) - and renting it for a couple days for $2-3. That...honestly seemed like the best all-around deal for movie producers and consumers.
You can do this now with Netflix - but they will ship you DVD's.
This is ridiculously often the usual experience outside the US, if the content is legally available at all... Or I can just torrent the same content with my desired subs/dubs or buy a game on steam an play it in my desired language...
Replace the "unskippable 'you criminal' you" DVD previews with the descriptions of determining where, what, when, etc.
https://boingboing.net/2010/02/18/infographic-buying-d.html
The 300 separate streaming services need to understand that they need a friction level very close to the "if you are a pirate" box at the top in order to prevent their customers from returning to the pirate route. And having 300 separate services, with disjoint content, is not at all near the friction level of the "if you are a pirate" box at the top of the infographic.
I don't think this is an option anymore. There was never a time when a Blockbuster store's collection could match Netflix/Hulu/Prime. In particular, there's so much more media being created now, that there's no way a physical shelf space could keep up. If you consider just TV, think about how many more channels there are compared to the heyday of Blockbuster. I just checked Fandango, there's over 20 movies opening this week alone. How could a Blockbuster keep up with that? I think the reason it felt that way might be related to the paradox of choice. There were fewer options, we got the "lottery win"/dopamine hit from finding that new movie when there was only one copy left to rent, etc. I think our brains artificially limited the set of things we "wanted" to watch to what was on the shelf, which was surely never that robust of a collection compared to what you get from something like Netflix today.
Try your local library
They often have a significant DVD section.
I bought an Xbox One instead of a PS4 even though I like the anime games on the PS4 because the Xbox One has a perfect Plex client and the PS4 client is known to be "janky"
I struggled with cheap Android TV devices and broke down and bought a NVIDIA Shield TV because it has a perfect Plex client too with adequate hardware.
Pending you don't want to watch something in Dolby Vision.
I can either have Dolby Atmos come from the shield and a HDR video, or Dolby Vision through the TV and compressed AC3 audio of some kind from the TV.
Asking for both is apparently too much...
I go paid services first but many times it's so janky i say fuck it and launch the add-on and it works.
You can find the good ones, but if my parents were going to torrent stuff they'd either be scared away or end up with crap on their computer.
There is also no technical barrier to streaming torrented video on the web. Peertube etc demonstrate distributed video effectively.
Compare these experiences:
1. Search Netflix. Discover it's not there.
2. Search Amazon. Discover they have it, but it's not available for free as part of your subscription.
3. Search Hulu. Leave Hulu, because it's not there.
4. Finally go back to Amazon and rent the movie, not sure why you're paying for Prime if you still have to pay on top of that for half the stuff you watch.
5. Watch your content, with network interruptions if you're new popular releases (i.e. recent Game of Thrones).
6. Pay three monthly bills every month, a large percentage of which gets you overlapping content, but only pays to the content creators for the service you watch it on.
Versus:
1. Search a torrent site.
2. Select a save location in your torrent client.
3. Go make popcorn.
4. Watch your content uninterrupted by network issues or ads, for free, even if you're not connected to the internet.
Which is the janky experience?
And this is if you remove regions and internet connection reliability from the equation.
I'm not arguing you should torrent, incidentally. My preferred experience is to purchase content directly from the content creators when possible.
[1] https://help.hulu.com/s/article/how-much-does-hulu-cost?lang...
EDIT: Okay, sure, there are some use paths where streaming services are easier. But my point here isn't to say that streaming is worse, it's to say that torrenting is absolutely comparable and not some highly technical, difficult thing to do.
Otherwise if you're downloading stuff off the pirate bay it's either going to get you nailed pretty quickly for IP infringement, or you'll end up with fake files and a virus thats labeled as a codec you need to install.
Running a VPN or seedbox or any of the other numerous things to get around this (usenet is my own weapon of choice) results in what may be for you and I an easy or even fun activity, but not for my sisters kid or whatever.
I don't know much about private trackers because I don't actually torrent illegally (I pretty much only use torrents to seed Linux distros). But I'm skeptical "getting nailed" is actually much of a concern. I had a roommate not long ago who torrented illegally quite frequently. The only reason we know it was happening is we'd receive love letters from the ISP every few weeks, and while I suspect I know who was doing it, I'm not 100% sure. As far as I know there were never any consequences beyond that.
> you'll end up with fake files and a virus thats labeled as a codec you need to install
I am pretty skeptical that this is as common as you think it is. Certainly the kind of naive person who is installing codecs that unexpectedly were packaged with their files is not going to have an easy time on any part of the internet. And if you're using a site like EZTV the chances of this approach negligible.
> Running a VPN or seedbox or any of the other numerous things to get around this (usenet is my own weapon of choice) results in what may be for you and I an easy or even fun activity, but not for my sisters kid or whatever.
I use NordVPN (again, not for illegally torrenting--I originally got it for testing internationalization, but nowadays mostly use it because it's a middle ground between the privacy of Tor and the speed of un-proxied internet). The toolbar icon makes it pretty easy. I suspect the main barrier here would be even knowing that VPNs exist and wanting to pay for it, not actually using a VPN service once you have it.
Peer blacklists aren't perfect, but they can cut your chances of getting busted by known IP cops quite a bit.
1. Search Google for movie you want to watch.
2. Google shows a handy "Available on" frame at the top of the page, with prices (if applicable) and services that it's on.
3. Click the link.
4. Watch.
And you can rest easy knowing that you're not breaking the law because you're cheap and for some reason feel entitled to getting things for free.
Does it, though? https://imgur.com/Yxac3mL
I turned off my ad blocker and all other Chrome extensions and tried again before taking this screenshot, and really have no idea what you're talking about.
Still, the fact that Google has a workaround for this issue shows that it is an issue.
I've seen plenty of sites that also combine all the streaming service lists and let you search for specific movies or just browse based on genre.
Could it maybe be easier? Sure. But I'd argue it's still a lot easier than pirating...
It is sad to me that this is how you consider your fellow human beings.
Putting aside how disrespectful this assumption is to your users, I don't think it's true for all your users. It may be true for enough of your users that it looks like a good idea in A/B testing, but I'd guess there are enough users who don't want to be treated like a child being told what to watch, that some significant number of them are going to go elsewhere. Some of those who leave will go pirate the content they want.
Ultimately, I think bundling content with your platform and trying to force users to buy one to have the other is anticompetitive, and harmful to users, so it shouldn't be surprising that some users are looking outside platforms for their content.
>It may be true for enough of your users that it looks like a good idea in A/B testing
It's really impossible to say since everyone's numbers are biased and no one shares them. But what I was getting at originally was that the use case highlighted by OP was not the common case. Users don't search various services looking for a specific piece of content, they usually pull up to follow what they were watching previously or to browse a catalog, where the twisted incentives come into play is when a user finishes the content and the platform tries to keep them hooked.
>I'd guess there are enough users who don't want to be treated like a child being told what to watch
I mean that's fair, but also a bad characterization. There are certainly bad incentives at play when you want to do everything to keep content discovery in a feedback loop, but there's not exactly an alternative when the people you need to license content from are your streaming competitors.
>Ultimately, I think bundling content with your platform and trying to force users to buy one to have the other is anticompetitive
I get the arguments for that, and I agree with some of them. But right now services compete on the merits of content itself, and as a result we have more content being created that's more diverse and at lower prices. When HBO Max and Disney+ go up we'll see how massive back catalogs affect the space, but right now the prevailing wisdom is to throw money at content creators - and I appreciate that as a content consumer.
If you want the opposite of streaming, look at movie theaters. They don't compete on content availability - yet the diversity of content is down, barrier to entry is high, and prices have been rising for years.
This is a very black and white statement, and as such I can directly say it is wrong because I do this.
If you meant "most users", I'd like to see what the breakdown is. Even if "most" is true, if a significant portion don't, then a significant portion has an incentive to pirate because streaming services don't fit their use case.
> they usually pull up to follow what they were watching previously or to browse a catalog,
Following what they were watching previously is looking for a specific piece of content...
It's a fairly simple case to solve, but it also breaks when the streaming service you're subscribed to no longer licenses the show you were watching--again, going back to the problem of needing multiple streaming services to gain access to all content.
> If you want the opposite of streaming, look at movie theaters. They don't compete on content availability
Huh? Yes they do. Maybe at one time people went to the movies and just saw whatever was playing, but now people look up what's showing online, and if there isn't anything they want to see, they don't go. It would be inconvenient not to, because you might show up at a time when no movies are starting and have to wait.
> - yet the diversity of content is down, barrier to entry is high, and prices have been rising for years.
There are a lot of confounding factors here.
I have no idea how many people know someone who's dedicated enough to setup such as system, but there are many such systems, so I don't think it's moot. Nor is this a prediction of the future, this exists, with many users already.
Who's going to pay for it? Netflix. Despite not needing to pay them to watch their shows, Netflix still gets my money. Netflix pays producers for shows that are on Netflix, so those producers still get my money. It's going to be a hard sell to pay for additional services, as the post we're commenting point out.
The non-Netflix services that will survive, regardless, is anything that must be watched in real-time, aka sports. Those add up quick! NFL, NBA, MLB, and UFC all charge a pretty penny to watch their events live. There are pirate streams though, but for dedicated fans, on the real thing is good enough.
Yeah I think this is what people mean when they say they want "one service". An actual single service would mean a monopoly and extravagant prices. That being said the other streaming options are being offered up by large telecoms that dwarf Netflix in what they control.
My ps4 menu already lazily sort of implements this in it's video section with a highlight menu of available shows on various platforms.
The better model would be to have all video providers make streaming available thru a common standard API, and let other companies compete on front-end/store and features instead of having ever single provider re-inventing the wheel behind walled gardens over and over again.
Look, I want a convenient way to watch movies. I would even be ready to pay more than I do right now to Netflix to have a library of ALL the movies I want to watch.
1 library, not 10, especially if they may or may not contain the movie I want to see.
My honeymoon period with Netflix and co is over.
- I feel that their original content has dried out : there is even more of it, but it rarely interest me these days and I feel like the quality has dropped in favor of quantity.
- Let's say I want to watch Blade Runner. I want the "final cut" (IMO the best version, it is the director's cut, unlike the "director's cut" which isn't one in this case). Well, I have just checked, this movie is not on Netflix. If it was, I would not have the choice of the cut. I would not be able to e.g. listen to the team commentary either. That's the first movie that sprung to my mind, but that's a good example of my experience with Netflix.
A rolling library of content like what Netflix and co have is not what I want. At all. I want an ever growing one.
I like to be able to get my content "legitimely" (quotes because if you watch old movies, chances are you are not paying the artists but the mega corporation who bought the rights to it but that's OT), and I am not looking for solutions to "cheat the system". However, right now torrenting sites are becoming again the most efficient (and in some cases only) solution to access the content I would like to watch.
Pick one, they’ve had all the movies / TV shows I wanted to watch, which are not all mainstream.
If there’s an exception and there’s something you don’t find it there - well, do you, but I really don’t understand how piracy is the default answer to convenience with people claiming they have the willingness to pay.
Someone else commented about the local video store - also an option, if not something I’d do myself (does redbox count?)
I wonder why that is, and I'm assuming it is because of some cumbersome contractual relations.
On a DVD I'm pretty certain I could have gotten English subtitles.
So now I'm paying, but I still get sub-par content?
I ended up using a plugin to add the subtitles back in, but that plugin works on pirate streams too. Could've pirated it in the first place.
Why is that even necessary? Youtube offers you the full list to choose from and I don't see users writhing on the ground clutching their skulls in agonizing confusion. Users can handle a list of languages just fine.
This industry thinks too little of users.
For some reason I also get different subtitle options on my phone than I do my television despite both being on the same network (no vpn).
I also hate that they offer a show with audio in the original language, but no subtitles for the same language. So you have to be either mostly fluent or forced to watch the dubbed version.
For the same inscrutable reasons that the film industry insists on schemes like DVD region locking, they are also generally against making a single version of a movie with all subtitles available.
Not true. I'm pretty sure it's licensing cost. In Germany most movies have subtitles only in German, while a handful also in English -- all Netflix originals and maybe some others. Meanwhile, basically all series have English subtitles for some arcane reason.
For me Netflix is a series-only service, I've given up on finding any movie worth watching that would have English subtitles.
Video store is not an option - there are none. Sometimes I've resorted to ordering, but it's gotten to the point where it feels like enough of a pain compared to streaming that I have on occasion bought things on Prime that I have sitting in one of my DVD boxes rather than spend the time to find the DVD.
The local ones start selling vape pens and CBD oil and then they closed up shrug
I expect this wouldn't be in much demand since, at least for me, one viewing is usually plenty. Which is why the rolling updates don't bother me much. For those few that warrant repeat viewings I can get a physical copy.
The tough thing to find even with rental would be some foreign movies, e.g. Korean.
Back to torrenting I went.
For whatever reason, it seems that certain eras of film from various countries are just missing from streaming catalogs. Not only are the films missing, but they can be incredibly hard to find on services due to naming and translated names. Recently, I was trying to watch Cure aka Kyua (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cure_(film)), good luck asking Siri to find this movie. The name "Cure" brings up nothing related, and "Kyua" is essentially not recognized. I found 1 or 2 films by the director, by searching his name directly. It's a cluster, and it's frankly a shame that I have to resort to piracy when I'd absolutely be willing to pay for such movies.
Subscription services fees can quickly add if not managed properly, so the convenience they offer completely evaporates if you force customers to juggle their subscriptions between different services to cover all their needs.
To customers that "services juggling" is pretty much the exact opposite of "convenience", but signing up for everything, all the time, is not an option for many as that would cost some serious money.
So what will most likely end up happening is that people stick to one, maybe two, services covering most of their needs, and just get whatever else they want trough means that don't require them to manage a subscription, like piracy.
It should also be mentioned that even piracy does offer paid subscriptions, where users pay money to get more convenient and reliable access to content, that's pretty much what Usenet and all debrid are.
But unlike legal streaming services, their libraries are not compartmentalized and limited by publishing rights.
Forget about streaming services, you can rent nearly every big screen movie ever from iTunes, Google Play, or Amazon, instantly for $3-6 dollars. Adjusting for inflation, these prices are very much comparable with what video rental stores used to offer. iTunes alone has more than 100k movies (for perspective Netflix doesn't even have 10k).
Many in this thread (and to a lesser extent the article) are acting like movie watchers want to pay money, but it's just too complicated to do so. Renting a movie on iTunes/Play/Amazon is at least as easy as torrenting something, and the selection is massive.
"If I can watch any movie ever for $10/month, I'll do it, but otherwise I'll just pirate them" is a very strange viewpoint IMHO. I would like unlimited groceries for $10/month, but I'm not going to just to stealing them because that's not an option.
For heavy consumers, the renting fees will add up quickly and the selection on those stores is not as flawless as you make it out to be.
To this day Amazon still demands more money for anything better than SD quality, information about supplied subs/dubs is spotty at best, if they are even supplied at all. Bonus content? Completely missing.
Why deal with that when for nearly the same amount of money you can often order a complete Bluray and own the movie in a physical format? Not just a "temporary license to stream"?
> "If I can watch any movie ever for $10/month, I'll do it, but otherwise I'll just pirate them" is a very strange viewpoint IMHO.
Then it's good nobody here claimed anything like that. But you are still stuck in this "all pirates are cheap freeloaders" mode, when in reality piracy usually happens in addition to the user already being a heavily paying fan of the medium [0]. Piracy supplements that when it's more convenient/not legally available/past the monthly budget.
[0] https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/evkmz7/study-again-shows-...
All of it is about convenience to access content. Netflix had it at first when its library was "fresh". But since it is a rolling library instead of an ever growing one, it almost never has the movie I want to watch.
Blade Runner is the first example that came to mind and I believe that it is a good one. it is an acclaimed movie that should be very easy to find online.
I would be ready to pay more for a Netflix like service with "everything". Actually I used to pay for multiple services at once.
Would I pay 10 times ? I don't think so, personally I don't value such a service that highly but that's a subjective opinion (just like somebody could rightfully say that for them Netflix or Spotify are too costly) and a bit of a straw-man IMO.
Have you heard of a thing called cable?
True, after Netflix anchored it's price at a reasonable level for it's offerings, I probably would not pay 10x more. But a service that made it easy to watch everything under one interface could get more money out of me than Netflix.
By one interface I mean search and/or browse in one place, click a video, optionally pay or subscribe with one click if needed, rinse, repeat. No switching between different catalogs, launching different apps, anything like that. Launching a different app for viewing is acceptable if it's super slick.
Amazon Prime has most of this (and x-ray is cool), so it tends to get my money more than other services, but it still doesn't have anywhere near every title I want to watch, and it's sometimes expensive enough that I will switch to a different service for a significant discount.
If you're looking for an ever growing library of specific movies you want to watch, with the special features you want to consume, it sounds like you just want to buy movies. Netflix and co. were never that and were never advertised as that.
Additionally, I am in 6 countries for 9 months of this year. It is inconvenient that YouTube TV tells me the $35 I am paying them buys me absolutely nothing, despite the app saying "some content and local channels" will not be available, Netflix forces me to stop halfway through a series because I crossed a border. That's not convenient.
Piracy just works.
They are the only ones allowed to license the work in a region, so providibg a movie or selection requires separate licensing agreements for every country or region it is served in.
Businesses that manage to take fees for nothing due historic reasons need to be eliminated.
My gut prediction is that if a service has a strong correlation to the desired content, E.G. Disney+ for "kids", it MIGHT work out, at least in the short term. HOWEVER, for wider culture, and particularly with different "tv networks" and studios with content libraries split among many services, the friction of not having a single place with everything, of not having a 'streaming store', will drive many to routing around the insanity and accessing the culture they want on terms they're willing to agree to.
Short version:
* have everything, I mean it.
* cost less than basic cable (total)
* completely ad free (probably)
* offline caching is a must (road trips)
* capable of playing on anything I want (DRM free)Interesting way of saying "corporate exclusivity agreements", which is what this ends up being in 99 out of 100 cases.
It took me one year to transfer my google account to another country.
I am not doing it again.
It's more like: check sites 1-5 looking for the movie, can't find it (or it a PPV download, OR the app/site doesn't support 5.1 DDS, its quality is bad) get frustrated go onto $torrentsite, sort by size, download one with most seeders & a larger file size wait 30-60 min and done.
Netflix used to make it easier as their app UX and quality are high so it was a one stop shop. Now i just find torrenting easier to make sure its high quality with 5.1.. however i may not be the norm.
I understand that many displays have decent interpolation features these days, which hide the issues, but they are still a solution to an unnecessary problem.
A bluray or a good rip of it delivers the film in proper fashion. It's a non-issue with pirated content.
It's a stupid and frustrating experience and every time it happens is a reminder that my interests as a customer rank dead last after all of these companies slice and dice their cultural fiefdoms into separate packages to squeeze a little extra revenue. Calling it a few finger budges is reductive, it's an insulting and tiresome rigmarole of hoops that I have to jump through just because they wanted to squeeze some more money.
1. BluRay
2. MakeMKV
3. Kodi
This is relatively future proof because unless I either get a bigger living room wall or sit uncomfortably closer to the screen 1080p is indistinguishable from 4k. I get whichever cut I want all the commentaries &c. I have all the discs in 3-ring binders with disc holders just in case there is a cut or featurette or whatever I'd like to watch at some point in the future.
Note that Disney has announced they are no longer going to re-release their back-catalog on physical media, so if you are a fan of their stuff, get the used BD now before it goes way up in price. I expect other studios will follow suit as well.
I chose not to get cable when I first moved in on my own in 2004 and allowed myself to buy TV shows and movies I wanted budgeted to the monthly cost of cable (I rarely actually ran up against that budget; at one point craigslist loaded with TV shows and movies for pennies on the dollar). I now have enough movies and TV shows to last me a very long time.
Only downside: I won't get to see GoT season 8 until December.
I used to pirate music because that was the easiest and most straight forward way to get what I wanted. Now I buy it from Amazon because with one click I can pay for it and get a direct download link to the DRM-free mp3s.
What this has driven me to do instead is to rotate subscription services and binge seasons in a month or less. So HBO is now a 1-2 month a year subscription. Showtime, Starz, etc... one month each.
"We think there is a fundamental misconception about piracy. Piracy is almost always a service problem and not a pricing problem. If a pirate offers a product anywhere in the world, 24 x 7, purchasable from the convenience of your personal computer, and the legal provider says the product is region-locked, will come to your country 3 months after the US release, and can only be purchased at a brick and mortar store, then the pirate's service is more valuable."
People pirate media more for convenience than to save money.
however, in my mind paying any more than that approximate monthly total is unreasonable, and not an option.
And to the article's credit, I think about booting my Plex setup back up pretty frequently now.
However, what you're describing is not the financial limit. We once paid quite a bit more for cable tv than streaming services. Paying for the big streaming services combined comes to about the same or less than previous cable subscriptions. In this case it's not about cost but convenience.
These companies need to provide an api that allows for services like plex (or similar) to pipe all of the streaming services into one platform, with one auto buy if you watch and stop paying if you haven't watched anything from that network within x months.
Apple TV, I know this is where you are going. Netflix, I know you tried and failed.
You nailed it. Sadly, it's also falling apart for games. I like Steam because I'm lazy - no other reason. 3rd party launchers were tolerable, but so obviously anti-consumer and wholly unnecessary. Just big publishers trying to screw us, and I'm not exactly sure why - greed or analytics?
Then Epic comes along with the exclusives. Again, not trying to make the argument Steam/Epic = Bad/Good or Good/Bad. Just that I'm lazy. I'm not a teenagers with endless time, and I can't be bothered dealing with this.
Now, it's possible I'm not the target market any more. But making it easy for lazy but financially stable adults to actually buy games seems like a decent strategy.
Piracy, in many cases, offers a superior product to streaming. If I go to ThePirateBay, I'm virtually guaranteed to find whatever movie I'm looking for, in 1080p (or even 4k nowadays) quality, without any DRM, which can then be easily streamed from Plex or Emby on any of my devices with no regards to regions, often with more options for subtitles and audio tracks (if you're watching anime).
I have Netflix, Hulu, and Amazon Prime, and frankly I already hate having to search all three for a movie, just to find that they don't have it anyway; I already pay enough for these services, I really have no interest in signing up for yet another just to make my search for a movie even longer.
Spotify (and nowadays Apple Music for me) has made it so that I've completely stopped torrenting music, since they offer a superior product to ThePirateBay. It has nearly any song I'm looking for, in decent quality, and there aren't banner ads for "Hot MILFs in my area!" all over the place in a convenient app that works well on my phone. They made the legal option superior, and as a result I don't mind paying the ten bucks a month for it.
For TV series/movies it's very different, lots of shows, series and movies are exclusive to one streaming service and lots of shows, series and movies can't be found on any of them.
But still I don't think a majority of potential customers will be enough annoyed by the current content fragmentation to go back to piracy. Also because the piracy tools have become less and because it's still hard to find what you really want, even when using some simple as popcorn time. I just think customers will start to own more than just one subscription and will probably switch from time to time from one subscription to another to get access to the content that is exclusive to one of the streaming services that are available. The loser here is clearly the customer that will pay more for less, but it won't hurt enough to make piracy popular again.
Why has Spotify/Apple Music been able to accomplish this while TV/movie services can't?
I haven't wrapped my head around how this could influence the creators and services enough to work together, though.
People are happy to pay for Netflix and/or Amazon Prime, with a model of "you pay a streaming service provider and get shows from many media companies." But the new model is "media companies all want their own subscription service."
I, for instance, pay for streaming packages from both the NFL and Formula 1, but more often than not the best way to watch the actual events is to download a torrent that some random guy recorded, edited, and posted. The video quality is just plain better. It's not missing the pre-event buildup coverage. And it doesn't randomly cut out and drop down to 160p all the time.
Now I say I pay for these services, but actually as of a couple months ago I can't even convince Formula 1 to take my money anymore. I live in France and first signed up using a US credit card. Now they won't let me put my card back in to renew, because it's not to a French address. And they won't let me buy the US or UK version of the service (as I have cards and mailing addresses in both), because my history shows I previously bought the French one.
But then really, it's not that much of a pain, since even for the couple years I paid for it I don't think I actually streamed more than a couple races. The product itself was just that awful, but still it'd be nice to be able to give them some money...
Turns out complaining about free things is actually an effective strategy for improving quality
Two reasons:
1. People only have so much money.
2. When people compare it to what they used to payit seems unfair. People complain when gas prices increases by a few percent, no wonder they complain when they suddenly have to pay twice or even three times for the same content they used to pay one low monthly fee from.
Oh, and they probably also compare to Spotify.
I see three ways this market can work that immediately feels fair to me:
- all you can eat/listen/watch (Spotify model)
- pay per view but a lot lower than today. (Can work even with multiple streaming sites.)
- a hybrid approach where you pay for a number of monthly credits that works (should be somewhat cheaper than the Spotify model)
Subscribing to a service for $20/mo is a one time decision, whereas figuring out if the show you're about to watch is worth $0.30 gets tiring really quickly.
Monthly credits works a bit better, but the all you can eat model completely avoids this.
On the other hand I don't mind buying music, since I basically know the entire song ahead of time, and I don't think I ever buy more than $10 worth of music a month.
I'm the opposite. It's easier to spend money on something I'll probably like vs. spending time on something that's likely mediocre. What normally happens is I browse around Netflix watching previews for an hour, get bored, and go do something else.
"figuring out if the show you're about to watch is worth $0.30 gets tiring really quickly." This is the biggest problem in the industry that no one wants to talk about. Valuing content aka how much is x show worth. The monthly premiums actually kill or put as strong fixed upper bound on what the content is actually worth.
It also brings up another argument on whether or not valuing content ( how much is x show worth) is even worth talking about and talking about how you got your show on x platform because that means 100x more people will see your stuff vs if you are not on x platform.
There must have been a brief “monopoly period” when Netflix had all of the content, but I don’t remember it.
Then, the shows and movies started disappearing. This is what annoyed me most - I wanted to rewatch something I've seen few months earlier, or to show it to my SO, and suddenly it isn't there. This became a regular occurence, and I think this is where people started noticing something is wrong.
I think it's important to segment the content into movies and TV shows. At one point Netflix did have a lot of popular TV shows, and new seasons seem to show up pretty quickly. Netflix never really had a huge selection of popular movies. Some here and there, but never a deep catalog.
It literally never happened except in the collective desperation of certain HN posters to justify piracy to themselves.
We can call this the Audible model if you like
Did you need to predict anything? Why would you think that Netflix would get to be a monopoly for all content delivery?
Missing the point hard here. To the degree that "consumers want choice", I would expect the choice they want is the choice of media, not the choice of subscription services. People don't subscribe to Netflix for its own sake, they subscribe because it lets them watch something they want to see.
Also know as... not wanting to spend three times as much? lol.
I don't want to keep track of what's on what platform, or pay $12-15/month for 5 different services. I would much rather pay ~$50/month for one service that had everything I wanted to watch on it, alongside some kind of good mechanism for content discovery (both recommendations, and search).
Your account is an email combined with a 4-digit NUMERIC-ONLY (!) "password" and once you are hyper-securely logged in the amount of usability pain a single piece of software can cause will immediately become apparent.
How can anything paid by a big corporation be anywhere near as bad as the Sky apps is completely beyond me.
Their iOS app is somewhat usable and I was happy I could just cast GoT using my Google Chrome until I noticed that casting can only be done in German. The English original version wasn't available for casting but perfectly accessible on PS4 app, Mac app and web app.
You have to "reset" the content in you iOS app and can then watch it on your other devices. Sky is cancer.
It's almost unwatchable. Unfortuantely it's a requirement if you're into german soccer.
Anyway, when it comes to content spanish La Liga as well as other top european soccer leagues make up for the loss of the Premier League. However as someone who enjoys watching soccer I still need both, DAZN and Sky, since there's hardly any overlap in their content and rights.
It's even worse because most providers geo lock their content. So the movie might be available on Netflix US but isn't on Netflix Spain, or it's available on prime but only in _foreign language_. When the movie is available the service is slow, you get intermittent disconnections, the subtitles aren't available, &c. It's a running joke for us now, we have an hassle free movie night once every three month I'd say.
It's basically cable TV 2.0, it's such a pain in the ass.
or it's only available in a dub.
I watched One Punch man on Netflix and can also watch on Hulu. Season Two was released on Hulu. Well that works for me but what about people who had Netflix, Like OPM and now want to watch season 2?
I've been binging Star Trek. I'd also like to watch the new series on CBS. Of course CBS had the bright odea of starting their own streaming service. The cost is $5.99/mo with commercials or 9.99/mo without commercials. No.
So all the idiots taking their toys home and starting their own streaming biz are driving piracy. I used to download TV shows all the time but streaming made that unnecessary as I could pay a little money to have legal access to plenty of things I want to watch. No one wants to juggle multiple streaming services just to watch a few shows. People don't want to go back to spending $200 on TV and internet. I'd rather spend no more than $25/mo on tv and $50 for >=100mbit internet. Thats an ideal number considering I spend less on electricity each month.
Agreed. Other countries are able to do it, but cable companies and ISPs have monopolies in different regions of the US.
IMHO the increasing coupling of video producers and streaming services isn't a good idea at all as it again produces (quasi)monopoles for certain brands/shows (e.g. Disney).
Through then IMHO the trend of tech companies increasingly expanding in a way which couples different kind products together is a worrisome trend (e.g. hardware producer couples with os producer coupled with application producer, or content producer coupled with content delivery services, or "shared" online marked places coupled with them starting to sell their own "featured" products, or coupling of ebook store with ebook reader, etc.).
My guess is that this will lead to increasingly large companies with increasingly less chances for real competition giving this companies more and more (mainly implicit) power over people and economy and with this also influence in politic.
Sure currently for streaming services it looks like it will lead to better competition, but my guess is that this won't be long term and in a view years we will be left with a oligopol of a small number of companies now dominating both production and distribution of high quality video entertainment content, without there being any real chance for any new competition (except if there is some form of interactive video revolution (I don't mean video games) coming from outside the video industry.
Plex is one of the best pieces of software I've ever used. It Just Works™. You need a decent internet pipeline to support remote streaming, but LAN is a breeze to setup. It's so feature-rich I don't know where to begin. I honestly prefer it to any other streaming service. Apps on just about every platform you can think of (they had yet to release apps for Nintendo consoles last I checked).
I have my whole family set up on my server, and it doesn't cost them a dime. The primary drawbacks from their perspective are that they need to request shows and movies to be added, and I naturally don't have Netflix-level availability, but hey. Shit's free.
So when a cord-cutter with enough savvy to pirate video can actually replicate the services rendered by Netflix et al. on their own, why would they pay five times for something centralized that they can get for free[1]?
[1] Plex has $7 month premium features, with the option for a lifetime pass equal to about 2.5 years of subscription.
Have you heard of Ombi? I've never tried it, but sounds like it could help with this issue.
Sure looks like it would work better than them just texting me what they'd like added to the server, heh.
Theft is a property crime. These are different things.
Those heavily invested in intellectual property rights laws would like to conflate them, but they are--and always will be--fundamentally different offenses.
And the industry propaganda is frankly ridiculous. Hell yes, I would download a car. But not if it came loaded up with malware, spyware, region-locking, force-fed content, and DRM schemes.
The propaganda likewise portrays piracy as stealing from the creators and artists, when, in fact, this has already occurred by reassigning the copyrights to a corporate entity that routinely employs "Hollywood accounting" and other assorted dirty accounting tricks to avoid paying the creative drivers behind a cultural artifact in a manner the public would consider reasonable.
Duplicating bits is in no way comparable to depriving someone of physical property and excluding them from their use of it. At worst, piracy undermines someone's economic profits, derived from the enjoyment of government-granted monopoly, which is supposed to promote the useful arts by securing to authors and inventors exclusive rights for a limited time.
It is natural for opinions to vary on whether a schema that routinely re-assigns those rights to an entity separate from the author or inventor, for a period extending well beyond their lifespan, is still conformant with the intent of the law, but no matter how hard you try to force it, copying is not stealing. Forcing that for PR purposes further undermines what little respect remains for copyright infringement as its own offense. You can't inflate respect for one law by poaching it from another.
From https://www.lexico.com/en/definition/piracy
piracy (noun) The unauthorized use or reproduction of another's work.
Synonymns: illegal reproduction, plagiarism, illegal copying, copyright infringement, bootlegging, stealing, theft
Call things by the wrong name to make yourself feel better all you want, but it's still stealing.
If I were to "pirate" an entertainment file, I would not alter my self-image to believe that I am now "a thief", just because you're quoting dictionary definitions at me. I may still feel vaguely guilty about it, but nowhere near the level of guilt I might feel by walking over to my neighbor's driveway and stealing their car, even though the open-market value of the car may be only $5k, and the open-market value of the recording may be $5M.
This difference arises because when I copy something, I do not deprive the person in possession of the use of it. If I steal, I do. The concept of dispossession is fundamental to the concept of theft. When I take your thing, you no longer have it. When I copy your thing, we both have it. If you are then put out because I am no longer motivated to rent your thing, that's the result of your improper assumption that the idea of the thing belonged to you exclusively.
When "theft" moves from the physical to the intangible, it becomes plagiarism or counterfeiting. It is a greater sin to cut out the credit scroll from the end of a movie than to copy it without paying. It is a greater sin to copy the maker's mark than to copy the design it marks.
I am not the sort to lie to myself to influence my own state of mind. Things are what they are, and if that state cannot be conveyed effectively with words, then the language is at fault. The words must change, rather than my mental model of reality. If you cannot separate in your mind the definition of "piracy" that concerns intangible property from the definition of "stealing" that concerns tangible objects, I would suggest using instead a term that is more descriptive, and not quite so ambiguous, such as "copyright infringement". If one cannot be a "pirate" without being a thief, then copyright infringers will simply cease to be "pirates".
You can't change reality by altering the description of reality. If you perfectly duplicate a copyright-protected file in a manner not allowed by fair use or by an implicit or explicit license granted by the privileged holder of the copyright, the holder is neither dispossessed of their file, nor deprived of any reputation benefit which may be associated with their control of the copyright. Copyright infringement is therefore not theft. If we cannot agree on what words mean, we cannot meaningfully communicate. And if someone is changing the meanings of their words mid-conversation, that might be perceived as dishonest communication.
I am not the one re-defining words here.
> When "theft" moves from the physical to the intangible, it becomes plagiarism or counterfeiting
I see. Please explain how counterfeiting is not stealing.
I got a Netflix subscription. I watch almost all of the Netflix content through Plex, because the user experience is infinitely better.
When streaming services no longer offer a superior user experience, there's not much reason to use them. Maybe we'll see a new round of "You wouldn't download a car" ads.
I would happily pay for a service that let me download content to my personal machine, without DRM, and without restrictions. The price paid for that right now is breaking the law, and current enforcement of that law hardly a price to pay.
This is true for some people. For others, it IS because they want to follow the law, and also for those other reasons.
- The interface was painful to use. If I watched 2 eps of a show one night, and returned the next night, the box didn't remember where I was, so I would have to search up the show using the remote without a keyboard, scroll through an extremely slow UI of giant show posters that looked exactly the same and didn't show the episode number until I selected it. And that list would lead to another list, and every time I selected something, it took approximately 5-10 seconds to load the next page.
- It was "HD" meaning it was outputting 1080p to my TV, but there was a ton of color banding, dark scenes had really obvious compression squares, etc.
- Newly aired shows would usually not appear until the next day, and sometimes they would appear, then disappear for a few hours, then reappear. The stated goal was to have the shows available right away, but something about the infra prevented them from reliably doing it.
- Once in a while I would be going through an old season, and some random episode, like the second episode of the season, would simply disappear from the list for a day or two.
- Maybe this is a Canada-only/CTV problem, but there were several CTV shows I tried to watch that had rewind/fastforward COMPLETELY DISABLED, presumably to prevent commercial skipping (because they had commercials in their OnDemand shows). If you watched a show halfway, and decided to come back and watch from that point, CTV said "f* you, watch the whole thing again."
In cable company's defense, the interface to all this was very pretty. They were iteratively updating it too and very slowly making the OnDemand menus just a little more easy to use, so it wasn't some old garbage that never changed.
But the sheer number of actions I had to take to watch a single episode made me join a private TV tracker, where I reliably got extremely high quality video immediately after airings, and entire seasons neatly packaged in folders.
I am strongly suspecting they saw the proliferation of streaming services (and here also "cable" services) as a opportunity, but are creating their services illegally, for example I know a person that got "IPTV" and I couldn't find anything about the company, and their PC "client" is actually just a modified VLC (that also for some reason only works on Windows).
Each could still have its own promotions, bundles, etc (e.g. pay X more to watch new movies from Disney), but at least the base proposition can have a single subscription price and some pay as you consume more scheme, single analytics, etc.
In my ideal autocratic regime, they'd be forced to work under such a scheme, like power companies are forced to ultimately connect to the same grid (at least in some countries).
It's interesting that we've come full circle. This seems like an opportunity for the tv streaming services to add streaming content from different providers and eventually we end up with a 150/mo for streaming TV with premium channels like HBO, NETFLIX, DISNEY, ESPN, etc.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cable_television_in_the_United...
It's only a matter of time before some clever MBA comes up with Cable2.0, which bundles up all the streaming services under one roof (or series of roofs (cable packages!)) for 60% of the what it would cost to maintain subscriptions to all of them.
...Then the ads will come back
And we'll have gone full circle.
I would much rather pick and choose which entertainment I actually want to pay for than pay a large monthly fee for everything. It saves me money.
Ironically, some of the cable companies have figured out how to stream live sports for cheap. I pay my cable company $25 a month for live streaming of ABC, Fox, NBC, CBS, ESPN, ESPN2, NFL Network, Fox Sports, NBC Sports, TBS, Food Network, National Geographic, and CNN.
1) wasn't on demand 2) there were competing cable networks not a single one sharing profits based on which production network's shows people watched
Streaming services are slowly but surely becoming cable "Channels"/"Packages" now, and of course that's going to increase piracy - we've seen it happen before. If you make something people want, but make it overly expensive or inconvenient to consume, piracy is an attractive (albeit morally grey) alternative for many.
Sure you can buy the disk set for whatever shows you like and skip out on the streaming services, but that in itself comes with a level of inconvenience (and cost) - why use physical disks when you can just download the content, share on a NAS/Plex server, and have it on any device? Once you've made it more inconvenient than people are used to, you've again made piracy an option.
I wonder when we'll start seeing bundles of streaming services for a single price!
[0]: https://www.itproportal.com/features/is-streaming-in-danger-...
[1]: https://help.hulu.com/s/article/how-much-does-hulu-cost?lang...
[2]: https://www.techdirt.com/articles/20190627/11202942488/strea...
More precisely, I would say it's the balkanization of streaming services that's the real problem. If I could sign up for one service that offered everything I wanted to watch, on demand, for $50, I'd consider that. Now, Disney stuff is on the Disney service, some shows are on Netflix, others on Hulu, and a few on Amazon. On top of that, you have to consider that all the major TV streaming services also produce their own content, which is exclusive to their services and not licensed elsewhere. Even keeping track of what's on what service is a chore.
My personal compromise has been to use Prime Video and Netflix, because I already subscribe to Amazon Prime, anyway, and Netflix is a good incremental add. But, I don't want 5 subscription services and to have to keep track of what's on what service. It's bad enough with 2.
If someone finds themselves chasing whatever streaming service has The Office, maybe it's worth dropping the $300 or whatever for everything on iTunes.
The choice people have now is to pay $200/month at the big box store for a pre-loaded shopping cart of channels, with maximum ads, or to pay $10/month, a dozen different times, to go all over town picking up one channel at a time from little niche stores that only sell that channel, some that come with ads, and some that don't.
Multiple streaming marketplaces that all have the capability to connect all the same vendors to the marketplace customers would satisfy the consumer demand. But right now, everybody is taking their content back to put in their factory-direct exclusive content stores.
In the physical goods world, someone could buy at the factory store, ship at their own expense to the common marketplace, and resell at their own risk with a markup. Consumers would pay the markup as the cost of convenience. But in the digital world, you can't necessarily resell anything, even if you bought the right to use it yourself.
So we have still never received what we have repeatedly asked for. Netflix-by-shipped-disks approached it, because it could buy the disks at retail, and mail them around at its own expense, without getting any further permission. Netflix-by-download cannot, because the streaming rights are revocable, time-limited, and subject to constant haggling and renegotiation by the sellers every time the contracts expire.
Fragmentation is not ordering from the a la carte menu; it's getting fries from McDonald's, a shake from Wendys, sandwich bread from Panera, meat from Arbys, lettuce from Taco Bell, tomato from Subway, and spending three hours in the car just to get your lunch. A la carte means you can order your whole lunch at one place, getting just what you want, and not getting something that you don't want means you pay less overall for your meal.
Content needs F/RAND licensing, possibly with a temporary block on creators self-distributing to try and right the market and get some competition going.
If you think it's getting bad, just wait until Disney starts flexing.
They will savage or at least sue everyone alive until no other service will remain in the internet of the Western world, all these while hired actresses making cute faces will be throwing pink glitter at everyone involved.
Rights-holders absolutely deserve to get paid. But weaponizing that? Sorry, they lost me.
I don't think OP is making the argument piracy = free = good. Just that if everything else is worse or broken, people will prefer piracy (and argument put forward in many other comments on this post)
Again, just because you don't feel like paying for something doesn't mean you're entitled to it for free.
I've tried to keep up with the Marvel universe but it's next to impossible at this point. All my favorite shows (Mad Men, Breaking Bad, Sopranos, Game of Thrones) are completed now too. I go to the movies once or twice a year now, at most.
I think that pattern might hurt these services more than piracy.
The bigger losers are going to be parents that have a harder time convincing theirs kids that they don't need, e.g., Disney+.
Also recently for whatever reason they started to drop my login session on a pretty regular basis (~twice a week for the last month).
After a long day sometimes you just want to flip Netflix on and watch that movie you added to your list a few nights ago.
But getting greeted with the login screen on your non-smart TV (I use a smart DVD player) is sometimes enough to avoid Netflix completely because it's so annoying having to type a 20+ character email address and a 20+ character password on a TV remote.
… if you remember to unsubscribe. I wonder how many of these monthly streaming services rely on the gym model where they hope that it’s more trouble to unsubscribe than it is to just pay for the service month after month.
Could work with the rest of the internet too. Instead of relying on advertisements for revenue, you would pay a monthly fee which would get distributed among the websites you used. Aaaand we reinvented the Brave browser model...
For animes: 1. Crunchyroll 2. Animelab 3. Funimation
For movies: 1. Netflix 2. YouTube movies
5 streaming sites and even than not all movies and animes are available to me because of geoblocking. Then when I go back to my home country only Netflix works, and for some weird reason in my country only the first 3 season of Race to the Edge is available, even though it claimed to be Netflix Originals. No wonder piracy is everywhere
People still want the same thing: to have all they want to watch available in a single place, through a single interface, and for a flat price. Without ads, market segmentation, or other exploitative trickery.
Truth is, because of greed of the IP holders, the existing legal avenues of getting media are garbage and, on top of that, subscribing to several services costs more money than reasonable - all that starts to outweigh the aforementioned risk. And the risk is going down now that pirates run streaming sites too, which shield viewers from liability.
See also Steam, and how game piracy dwindled down thanks to cutting out the bullshit. And wrt. mental overhead, just look at how unhappy gamers are now that more companies are trying to compete with Steam by launching exclusives, making it necessary to install additional game launchers (which are almost universally garbage).
People are not lying in their complaints.
We have the technology to make the content of those 300+ channels available to me in a piecemeal a la carte fashion, but cable companies say if I want to watch ESPN I have to pay for 100 other channels. If I only want to watch Game of Thrones, I have to pay a bit under $20 a month to get a whole bunch of other stuff from HBO I will never watch.
I want to pay for only what I watch, but the cable and streaming services want me to pay for whats available to me. That is the big disconnect IMHO. There is no technical reason we can't have one service (like netflix) that has the world's digital content on it, and I can search and pick what I want to watch on it and pay for it and have the content owners get a cut of it. Netflix was kinda close for awhile, but then due to their licensing deals started pushing and pulling titles at random, and then different studios are now trying to put up Chinese walls to ensure that they have exclusive rights to content. I feel everyone loses here, and I myself can't imagine ever paying for a separate service just to watch star wars or Disney movies. There seems to be a real network effect here of just making everything available.
It seems perfectly rational to me. Streaming platforms' competitive advantage vs piracy is convenience (being legal and easier to use). As their convenience declines, users who are not averse to piracy will naturally gravitate back towards it.
Currently, I have an RPi 4 running Sonarr/Radarr, NZBGet, Transmission, and Emby, with a reverse proxy on top so I can access it all remotely[1]. But an RPi is not enough when it comes to transcoding and larger storage, so I'll be upgrading to a custom-built microATX server. The estimated total cost for parts is ~$600, including 6TB of storage. Monthly recurring cost is about $7, not counting energy consumption.
I'm also starting to use Kodi + RD to make it easier to stream stuff without downloading it.
[1]: My config is available on my GH profile.
Piracy is not a fitting name. There's no rape, murder, malintent or even direct physical, psykological or directly provable damages made by sharing information. The argument that one album downloaded automatically equals the loss of one sell. That is similar to comparing bank-robbers to successful hedge fund managers because they aspire to collect currency or assets in large numbers. Wait.. That actually is comparable.. Well, I digress.
I did not watched any episode of GoT and I don't feel like I missed something in my life. Occasionally I don't get some reference. I also don't run into people who are "omg you really did not watched any of it? so great series", even if I would run into this kind, I could not care less about it anyway.
A lot of people seemed to enjoy GoT in the earlier years, and the barriers to watching it are ridiculous. It's cheaper to shell out $100+ for the dvd set even for a single watch. There's a reason it's the most pirated show of all time.
There aren't _many_ choices at all, because we don't hire the service for the service itself, instead, for the content, and content here is exclusive.
For instance, you have competition on the PC market: you can buy Dell, you can buy Lenovo, and while the outside may differ, inside, you have the same thing. You also have choices of Burger joints, because although we may prefer one to the other, whenever we want a burger, we can choose from anyplace.
This kind of content, TV shows and movies, however, is different. There's more uniqueness to each piece than a burger or a PC have. You can't interchange Game Of Thrones with Vikings and be really satisfied, worse, you'll probably want both.
So, right now, what we have is little choice - recent shows and movies are on a single platform, and just a few are on two or three different ones. So to have all content you want, you might need to subscribe to many different platforms.
So yeah. I like that. But what's the endgame? Is this high profile Battlestar reboot supposed to generate enough subscriptions to cover the cost or is it just getting people involved in the NBC / Peacock ecosystem? Like, this is the same company that routinely cancels (nearly) every good show on SyFy (where, you know, I would kind of expect a Battlestar reboot to actually be) because they aren't getting enough viewers.
Now that it's a streaming service and their collecting the money directly from the viewer rather than going through Comcast does it make that much of a difference?
They need to have a bundled app like $60 gets you Amazon, Netflix, Disney, Apple, HBO, and Sling/Philo ...
Make it so each provider can sell the bundle and they get 30% more of the total sale...
If I had money and connections I'd love to start this startup... If you only took 6% to make it lucrative for the companies involved, then split it x ways with the bundled providers
Better yet philo or sling should do this since they already have the live tv parts, it would be a natural replacement for Cable. Or they could all just join forces and create a unified platform.
Added bonus is there's only one bill.
I subscribe to HBO. A subscription service that I have to pay for. Now they're going to introduce another subscription service called HBO Max which is going to cost more and may overlap with, but may not entirely include, content from HBO Go/NOW. Does this mean I have to buy into another subscription from the same company to access their 'new'/'original' content?
Honestly, I'm maintaining the services I currently have but not adding anything new. I have subscription fatigue. A cable subscription, HBO, Showtime, Netflix, and Prime are enough to fulfill my moral quota. Plex/Radarr/Sonarr will manage the rest of my television entertainment needs.
I'd bet on Netflix (incumbency), Prime (bundling), Apple (integration with iPhone) and Disney (best back catalog) being the leaders in this space for the next 5 years. Despite major networks getting into the game its hard to see them going all in and cannablizing their TV business just yet
It seems like everyone here thinks torrenting is as easy and simple as using streaming services actually is, and that streaming is as complicated as torrenting actually is.
I used to torrent stuff all the time. Constantly. I have several HDs laying around filled with torrented movies and tv shows. Why? Because I was in college and couldn’t afford them.
The day I started making enough money to just sign up to services and buy copies of the movies I wanted I stopped torrenting forever. It’s easy and I’m not stealing.
Would be weird if people here didn't find torrenting easy and simple. And depending where you get your torrents from, it could be significantly easier than streaming.
And it definitely is never easier than opening an app on your smart tv/console/etc and clicking play.
It is. For everyone who cares about privacy, security implications of using an app on a smart tv, for everyone who doesn't want to own a smart tv or a console, for everyone who already knows how to do it with torrents. And so on.
Easiness is subjective. Simplicity isn't, but streaming apps are not simpler in any way.
1. Availability of any movie or TV show ever made from one service
2. Quality/resolution comparable to what was available when it originally aired (I’m not demanding 4K Seinfeld)
3. No DRM
4. No restriction on downloading/timeshifting
5. Playable on all my devices including Linux and iOS, using my choice of playback software
6. Playable no matter what “region” I happen to be in
7. Original language audio + subs. Dubs are a nice bonus
8. Streaming not an important or necessary feature
9. Slick UI not important or necessary
Provide that and let’s talk price. Note none of the above are technical challenges or areas of active research. They are already all solved by the pirates.
This lesson seems utterly forgotten.
The fatigue is real, and more often than not I’m not finding anything I’m looking for on any of the subscription-based streaming services I’m paying for.
So I’m cancelling all of them.
My fallback: iTunes on my AppleTV has good choice in movies I can buy, and I usually find what I’m looking for there.
What’s not quickly meets the Plex.
?
>Even 5-6 people, I doubt my Netflix account is used for more than 10-15 hours a week in total.
Err, you seem to be under the impression that 2 hours/person/week is the norm for someone with a streaming service.. Narrator: It's not.
Instead of (all numbers illustrative):
Group A: 100%
group B gets jealous and does:
Group A: 25%, Group B: 25%, Piracy: 50%
As long as B's shareholders are happy (0->25%) then "who cares".
I don't want to think in terms of channels (streaming choices like Amazon Prime, Netflix, Google Play, CBS, Disney+, etc.)
I'd like to think in terms of content and suggestions.
I want the Roku to completely hide the channel (streaming provider) from me.
In addition to paying membership to Netflix, I want to be able to purchase content, too. I really appreciate Movies Anywhere. I hope more content can fall under umbrellas like that.
When I was a teenager and Napster was huge, casual piracy was a thing. Now that I make digital things that I ask people to pay me for, I think differently.
nothing, people who pirate stuff will always have an excuse to do so. don't kid yourself into believing they are paying for content out of the goodness of their heart. they are paying only because they don't have a consistent free means to get the same content.
so the next big fight will probably be someone trying to sell a service combining/bundling feeds and running into copy right issues and such. it might lead to an association of services but that depends on how fragmented the industry becomes.
if anything with many players it should drive sub costs down especially for players who have little to offer themselves. if not there will be a lot of industry suffering until they sort it out. consumers will likely stick with one or two providers at most
When I was studying in college in Canada in 2010-2012, I never ever saw a single student using a paid download site.
This has made me stop purchasing movies, stopped subscriptions and instead invest in a smaller fee for a good VPN connection.
Eg.
The Last of the Mohicans.
Wanted to watch it last night. Had to do some tricks...
In terms of video streaming choices ... yeah, it's going to be the case there will be a few of those. What's the alternative? Netflix gets a monopoly?
Simpsons is a prime example. As a european i can't watch it anywhere
I mean - Netflix knows that they have a lot of shit content that no one in their right mind wants to watch. They also won't allow you to hide that stuff in any real way. Their search is also rather hostile and definitely not aimed at helping you find what you want.
And HBO - I literally subscribed just for John Oliver. And now I can watch it within minutes of it airing on YT, but have to wait days for it to show up in their service. Used to be the same with GoT. Thanks, but no thanks.
.onion tpb is easier to use and much clearner than ever
TPB (mirror) here we come
share a netflix account with friends for kids while the adults watch movies and tv shhows on popocorn time.
When there are too many options it's becoming too much of an hassle to actually choose something
Just think on yourself getting into a restaurant with a massive menu, choosing a dish will be hard
on the other hand, a pop up restaurant with 3 dishes will make the dinner much more fun for everyone (that's from my expirience at least)
The next approach is probably VPNs, although they won't last forever. Governments could always just pass a law outlawing encryption (China has banned VPNs) or compelling services to allow them to man-in-the-middle for any connection. Once it becomes illegal to hide your online activities, there's very little you can do and remain legal.
That said, tricks also exit for hiding data in plain sight (see steganography [1]). Then you end up in this weird territory of illegal numbers and representations of them [2].
For the amount of content you could get in a traditional cable package, you should expect to pay about as much as a traditional cable package.
Crazy
Pirating has costs: financial, legal (chances of getting caught times expected fine), and personal (hassle of hunting down the right torrent). Netflix managed to strike a balance point: you had a higher monetary price, but the legal and personal costs were now gone from the equation.
With all the new competitors, both the price and the personal cost of watching the content you like has risen. The return of people to piracy is then a previsible result of this imbalance.
The legality aspect does mean the piracy as a competitor has a weakness that can be exploited by other competitors — e.g., by lobbying for stricter laws or suing individuals, or by appealing to morality — but it is a competitor nonetheless, and acts as one.
a) That literally never, ever happened. b) Netflix has to take out billions in debt bonds every year.
A subscription to Netflix already grants me access to way more than I can reasonably watch. If my tastes were perfectly aligned with what Netflix offers (or Disney, or Amazon Prime, et cetera), I could live this exact scenario of everything I could want for less than $10 a month (and some people do).
But if my interests are even slightly more eclectic, I get to pay for each service separately, which is silly if we assume that the production costs are equal for the sake of argument. And even then I would miss out on lots of content because it is being kept in a vault until copyright expires, or because it is geoblocked because the content owner is fishing for exclusive deals, or some-such nonsense.
So economically, $10 a month seems perfectly feasible.
Also, keep in mind that the outrageous costs of the US traditional cable package are very US-specific. In many countries cable television never got that expensive and broad. For those consumers the notion of paying more than $30 a month just for television (no internet included) is absurd.
Your primary issue here is referring to volume. Netflix has their own content, then pays for a small handful of extremely popular/valuable titles (see the recent Seinfeld and Big Bang Theory streaming deals, as an example), and then the rest of their content library is cheap trash they got for pennies on the dollar. Entire markets now exist for making cheap movies just to fill out streaming catalogs. (Check out the business model of a company called The Asylum[1].)
Most of the value you're getting is in a very small portion of the overall library of any given company. People aren't going to stay subscribed to Disney+ because it has some old Disney shows which are $10 one-time to own on DVD. They're going to stay subscribed because it has the very latest handful of Disney titles.
[1] https://www.gq.com/story/sharknado-atlantic-rim-pacific-rim-...