Trump had a choice, the rest of the path to war is almost inevitable.
Lets please not sugarcoat or justify warcrimes and remember that a lot of the people at Nurnberg were there for starting a war of aggression.
Deterrence is a nice idea. When the opponent is rational, and the weapons in question are not likely to depopulate the region. The Mullahs in Iran can not be counted on to be rational actors. They also can't be counted on to keep in power.
I'd have much preferred the old solution of delaying their nuclear breakout, all the while their prosperity and development reaches a point where the Mullahs lose their power.
As long as its not based on a resolution of the UN security council that means nothing. Might makes right isnt part of international law of war. Just because we have actors who cant be held responsible for their illegal behavior at the moment doesnt mean we should just ignore international law altogether. Starting a war of aggression is still wrong and voters shouldnt be complicit in such actions by authorizing politicians to do so. Our continuous failure to do so in democracys sets an absolute horrible precedent, in which the voting population of a country is responsible for warcrimes. Might I remind everyone that that was the pretext for atrocities like the British punitive bombardments of German cities during WW2 or, since we had the anniversary last week, al Quaidas pretext for 9/11?
Ignoring international law sets a horrible precedent. If your side isnt adhering to it, the opposite side will neither. This warmongering risks yet again the few achievements we as humanity have made in the last century. I myself really dont want to see a future where i have to worry about state sponsored bio terrorism in response to a neocolonial might is right approach of my government.
I wasn't talking about international law. Israel is willing to go to the mat on this, and apparently convinced this is a life-or-death issue. A lot of other countries, including the only superpower, NATO and the EU agree or at the very least don't want to let Israel be destroyed if Israel chose to stop Iran's nuclear program. As far as international consensus goes, that's pretty strong.
"Aggression" is quite an arbitrary definition. Iran has threatened Israel with annihilation for decades, and occasionally they tried. They do/did have a nuclear program, they certainly have chemical weapons. They keep attacking shipping and causing further armed conflict around the region...
"International Law", which today mainly consists of Russia and China sabotaging everyone else, is not going to stop Israel from defending itself.
I know, I was. I dont care much for the semantics of how warcrimes are tried to be painted as "the right thing to do".
> War is essentially an evil thing. Its consequences are not confined to the belligerent states alone, but affect the whole world. To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole.
If you forgo international law in favor of might is right what you do is cultivating terrorism as the victims get radicalized and have no other way to left to respond. And thats not a new insight. Al Quaida was rather vocal about drone strikes and the atrocities in Abu-Ghuraib and Guantanamo being the best recruitment tools they could have ever asked for. And lets also not forget that the war on terror only recently cumulated into the emergence of ISIS, with the rank and file of Saddams dismantled army being there for the creation. People cant be so thick that they believe the phrase "They hate us for our Freedom". "They" hate us for invading their countries with our politicians and soldiers acting with impunity. I mean the US even sanctioned the ICC for gods sake. All those "necessary evils" breaking international law are only making the situation worse.
Israel is not going to accept a nuclear power that wants to destroy them, especially not if it can do something about that. The US (and I hope most of Europe) is not going to let Iran destroy Israel, either. The Iran is not going to stop meddling in the middle east, nor are they going to just accept economic starvation.
So what gives?
There are so many jumps here that they would be really hard to follow for someone who hasn't been soaked in official messaging for the last years.