"Take 95% certainty compared to 99%. Because 95 is pretty close to 99, it feels like the difference should be minimal. In reality, there’s a gulf between those two benchmarks:

    At 95% certainty, you have 19 people saying “yes” and 1 person saying “no.”
    At 99% certainty, you have 99 people saying “yes” and 1 person saying “no.”

It feels like a difference of four people when, in reality, it’s a difference of 80. That’s a much bigger difference than we expect."

I'm a data scientist, I feel like this is a really wildly confusing way to put this.