The Crash of United Flight 232 (2017)
popularmechanics.com
popularmechanics.com
https://www.npr.org/2019/08/26/754458583/al-haynes-pilot-fro...
This talk by him is well worth reading:
http://clear-prop.org/aviation/haynes.html
(The talk used to be available on YouTube, but was removed sometime in the last year by copyright claim. I can't find an alternate source for it. The video was at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mZYHMMMeHic)
Denny Fitch passed away in 2012:
https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2012/05/10/152402632...
Fitch was interviewed by Errol Morris in an episode of "First Person" called "Leaving the Earth." It's still on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8vdkTz0zqI
Wikipedia page on the crash:
This was one of the strongest proof points that crew resource management really worked. It was the final nail in the coffin for forces that resisted or only reluctantly adopted CRM. It's clear that it took a whole lot of teamwork to get that plane down.
Aviation is much safer than it was in the 80's, and the lessons learned from relative successes like the Sioux City crash can be thanked for it.
His work eventually resulted in a Nobel prize for the scientists who built upon it.
He didn’t survive the crash.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N-UM-YcwWBc
A similar incident took place in 2003 on a DHL cargo plane after being hit by a surface-to-air missile. Miraculously they did manage to land the plane intact despite the total loss of hydraulics and needing to rely on engine thrust alone to control the plane.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_Baghdad_DHL_attempted_sho...
The Mayday episode might also mention (least from my memory of last watching it) an experimental NASA program developed sometime after this crash that would allow "full airplane control" via computer in the event one more more control surfaces could not be used. It achieved this by translating normal flight inputs into sophisticated throttle manipulation of the engines, just like the pilots on flight 232 did, but with the reflexes and modeling of a computer.
Fatalities per revenue passenger-mile have decreased by a factor of 15x from 1989 to 2018 (and 54x from 1970 to 2018) [1].
[1] https://theblogbyjavier.com/2019/01/02/aviation-safety-evolu...
Not grounding the plane after that, despite the fact that Boeing must have had the knowledge of what have gone on is corporate mass murder for profit.
you take the point of view that nothing is good enough because it could have been better?
Yes, it would definitely had been better if 346 people wouldn't have been killed by a greedy corporate behemoth, which very obviously cares much more about profits than about the people they killed. This point is pretty obvious when you listen to their mealy mouthed pr bullshit.
I trust this answers your question.
Mistakes will be made; automation in the name of safety has killed people and will continue to kill people. But overall automation and resource management in the cockpit have conspired to make aviation incredibly safe compared to the past.
No, it crashed because of a predictable event that a number of engineers had already warned could happen, based on an obvious design flaw that was not fixed.
I attended a presentation by Captain Haynes back in the early 90's. He showed several photos of the DC-10's hydraulic system. In many places the triple-redundant hydraulic lines were parallel and in close proximity to each other, close enough to be taken out by a single piece of shrapnel from an uncontained engine failure.
Financial and economic theory don't recognise ecological inputs including the time and replenishment rates associated with nonrenewable resource formation. (By definition, a "nonrenewable resource" is on whose extraction or extinction rate exceeds that of its formation.) It invokes utterly nonscientific principles such as Hotellings Rule (precisely zero geological references cited) and the Rule of Capture to justify pricing and business behaviours.
Capitalism relies on and exercises externalities of pollution, risk-shifting, and cost-burden shifting to increase firm profits at a cost of larger social burden.
The legal structure of incorporation is literally a risk-externalising engine, recognised by name in some cases ("limited liability corporation"), in which risk-based costs are externalised or stoplossed. This can be useful in cases, but can also be grossly overused.
"Wealth, as Mr Hobbes says, is power" is among the shortest sentences in Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations, a work not given to short sentences. Financial wealth leads to political and market power, including the power to distort markets. Much of Smith's book was a criticism of such practices. That lesson is largely lost by modern boosters of the work, who instead prefer stringing together synthesised passages across hundreds of pages of multiple sections of the book to advance their own, power-centralising ideologies.
Capitalism, finance, and business have a schizoid and faulty relationship with risk. "Cutting corners" is precisely a capitalistic measure, one which arbitrages a potential cost with a present realised savings. The bet is that the potential cost will never be realised. Sometimes that's not the case, but sometimes it is, and the firms which win that bet, based entirely on luck, are rewarded by the market. The market makes no distinction between profit gained by full realisation of probabalistic costs, and profit gained by ignoring those costs, in the individual case.
(In the aggregate profile case, the risks balance out, but specific performance matters and is independent of the profile returns.)
In market returns to various goods and services, pricing behaviours of commodities (undifferentiated bulk goods), services, labour, rents, assets, and highly differentiated specialty goods vary. In particular, the iron law of wages (tending to subsistence, or lower, levels) and the law of rents (capturing all consumer surplus value) mean that over time wealth accrues to rentiers and owners of capital, at a cost of labour.
Addressing these issues would require massive changes to accounting, risk premium, and legal regimes. That same "wealth is power" dynamic means that such reforms are exceedingly unlikely, because those who benefit by false models also benefit by ensuring that those models are protected and preserved.
Just one of many examples of what can go wrong: overreliance on instruments and information that is lagged vs. reality, around severe conditions, at night. Five souls lost. ATC had repeatedly advised the pilot against his course of action, to no avail.
Holy shit.
It was, as Wikipedia dryly puts it, "a prime example of successful crew resource management," and had a big influence on training practices as airlines sought to replicate that professionalism.
United Flight 232 was an engineering disaster, but a piloting miracle.
The amount of composure they had to maintain to even get this aircraft near an airport was unbelievable.
If any crew was going to land this plane, it was this one.
"One way of looking at this might be that, for 42 years, I've been making small regular deposits in this bank of experience: education and training," said US Airways Capt. Chesley "Sully" Sullenberger. "And on January 15, the balance was sufficient so that I could make a very large withdrawal."
Absolute legend.
Presumably, 2 other 747 Max's didn't have enough SME's on board to save them and crashed.
[1] https://www.theatlantic.com/notes/2019/03/jump-seat-pilot-an...
Was there ever any thought as to whether that contributed to the loss of life?
I wasn't able to find any speculation if Fitch could have acted differently and had a better outcome in the official report[1]. The report states that the "captain's acceptance of the check airman to assist in the cockpit was positive and appropriate".
Regarding disobeying the captain we can see from transcripts from the CVR that the captain (probably) knew what Fitch was doing:
Records: "Close 'em off."
Haynes: "Left turn."
Records: "Pull 'em off"
Fitch: "Nah, I can't pull 'em off or we'll lose it, that's what's turning ya."
Unidentified: "Okay."
Fitch: "Back ya’ll!"
Haynes: "Left, Left throttle, left, left, left, left, left, left, left, left, left, left, left!"
Ground Proximity Warning System (GPWS): "Whoop whoop pull up. Whoop whoop pull up. Whoop whoop pull up."
Haynes: "Everybody stay in brace!"
GPWS: "Whoop whoop pull up."
Haynes: "God!"
[Sound of impact, end of recording]
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Airlines_Flight_232[1] https://www.ntsb.gov/investigations/AccidentReports/Reports/... (Discussion of the performance of the flight crew from page 75 [81] onwards)
Ultimately it is impossible to say what kind of effect it would have had, though I’m inclined to say it would likely have been better if the thrust was applied equally.
If you remember the Korean airlines flight that crashed at SFO a few years back, the spool up time for the engines came into play as well. The pilots noticed the issue with too little time for the engines to deliver more power before the plane crashed.
But jet engines are slow enough that any significant control of 10-30s period oscillations with engine thrust alone would be a real, real challenge.
Maybe a simulation could figure out, after the fact, which one it would have been. But it's a moot point, because there was no way either the captain or the flight instructor could have known for sure. Each man did what he guessed was best in the heat of a impossible, unprepared-for situation, and they managed to save nearly two-thirds of the passengers. IIRC, The investigation praised them all and exonerated them completely, which the FAA doesn't do lightly.
“Ladies and gentlemen, this is your captain speaking. We have a small problem. All four engines have stopped. We are doing our damnedest to get them going again. I trust you are not in too much distress”
And for absurdity the one where the pilot was sucked out of the window and the cabin crew had to hold on to him
On a side note, I once met an aircraft investigator who called it the Death Cruiser 10, and that it put his kids through college!
"Hey Bob, you have that VHS recorder stowed away somewhere in the locker room, don't you? This guy on something called a website 30 years in the future is going to really wish that we got great footage of a horrible crash in which dozens of people die. Why don't you run out a little closer to the airstrip where a nearly completely out-of-control airplane flying at an insane speed is about to slam into the ground? Future spectators will really appreciate it."
> We only gave them two minutes to line up for runway 22. They were all set up for runway 31. And when I told Kevin we saw this runway ahead of us, and that's where we were going to land, he had two minutes to get the equipment off the runway. They were actually positioned on that runway, and we could see them moving off that runway. That's the reason the video is no better than it was. With all the notice we had, everyone was set up for runway 31. The two hangars that are built right off to the left of runway 22 were built after the airport was closed, and you can't see the runway from the tower. And that's where the operator was. So he went clearing down the steps, and if you've ever tried to get down tower steps in a hurry, it's a long way down, and that's as far as he could get, before we got there.
- Pathway lighting for exits
- Reminding passengers that the nearest exit may be behind you (not all airlines remind you)
- Changes in how lap children are dealt with during an emergency.
It goes into detail about the causes of the crash, the stories of the passengers before and after the crash.
They had enough advance warning and were able to start getting more fire/EMS resources heading that way as well.
Given the violence of the crash due to the total lack of fine control, likely worse.
A fire in the cornfield could have killed many more people as would the lack of emergency firefighting and medical attention.
A plane that broke apart in the water would likely just lead to most passengers quickly drowning. It might work if the plane remained intact, but that requires landing level and slow, something they had no ability to control.
I wonder why they didn't "dump the fuel" just before the crash to have avoided the fire. I thought this was standard operating procedure to dump fuel before crash landings.
I had read about the crash awhile ago and as I recall many people that died died of smoke inhalation from the fire and not the impact itself.
Possibly the pilots were reluctant to dump too much fuel, since the two remaining engines were their only method of steering the plane. A lack of fuel was the last thing they needed.