what happens if/when Google simply drops support for SMS? It could force this easily.
For one thing, Google devices stop being useful for numerous online services that now rely on SMS for automatic notifications and/or 2FA. I imagine the market for a phone that can't do SMS, at least here in the UK where such messages have become much more common over the past few years, is probably about two people, plus or minus two.
They could even make the default to reply to all SMS messages with RCS.
Wouldn't exactly be the first time a messenger system is dropped.