https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Decline_of_the_West
> Spengler's model of history postulates that any culture is a superorganism with a limited and predictable lifespan.
A superorganism, yes, with a limited lifespan, yes, if you stretch it until the extinction of humans, but a "predictable" lifespan, that's laughable at best: the more information is transformed into data, the longer a culture will last, and the less predictable its lifetime will be.
The article reminded me of ”the decline of the west”, which in turn makes me connect to Asimov, for some reason.