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The article describes how long-tail outcomes have been excluded from forecasts out of a desire by scientists to present a unified voice so as to minimize perceived doubt.

This comment is the real headline. The communication around the models has been manipulated to make the entire body of work seem more confident and consistent than it really is.

> the wurst case scenario

Please elaborate :)

We're cooked.

We're sausaged?

Wurst casing -- you feel it in your guts.

https://i.redd.it/o95h5vlg8q401.jpg

I find it fascinating that normal food presented in odd ways and combinations can look so exceptionally repulsive. Maybe a variation of the uncanny valley phenomenon.

> Scientists have been giving confidence intervals and no one really paid attention to the wurst case scenario

The problem is, we've passed the worst case scenario scientists came up with in some areas:

Greenland's ice is melting at the rate scientists thought would be our worst-case scenario in 2070 https://www.businessinsider.com/greenland-ice-melting-is-207...

>wurst case scenario.

As long as we have rye bread, mustard and beer, I am willing to risk it.

Also - typo of the year.