Ask HN: What parts of software development will be retired in the next 15 years?

8 points·isthispermanent··9 comments

With the rise of cloud computing >95% of any new project will not buy and run their own servers. What other parts of software development will disappear and how will they be replaced?

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I don't think any will disappear completely, but some will become less prevalent.

Since tele-presence is becoming more reliable, I imagine we'll see office-less businesses start showing up in the next decade, at least in areas with reliable internet.

Nobody can predict that far out. Your time horizon is too long compared to the speed of tech.

AWS launched less than 15 years ago in 2006 with just S3 and EC2.

The iPhone launched less than 15 years ago in 2007, and now mobile phones are the dominant form of computers.

Check back in 5 years and we'll probably have a better idea of what 2035 will bring.

I believe in the next 15 years that developing on a machine you are working on will be a thing of the past. With cloud computing, containers and the like, you'll just go to a web site and code everything in the browser.

I don’t know what will replace it yet but React will fall out of favor and become the next jQuery. Maybe it’ll be static sites or native web components or something entirely new, but it but it’s coming.

Why do you think so?

I’ve been doing this long enough to have seen several hype cycles come and go. JQuery used to be the Obvious Best Way. Before that it was inline PHP. Before that it was all about flash. The only thing you can count on is change. Plan accordingly.

Implicitly that would mean that Angular and Vue will be replaced as well.

Agree.

Web Game Development in JavaScript. Those will be done in whatever game engine and compiled into webassembly.

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