I've seen advice coming out of companies like Microsoft that password expiration dates are not useful, in part because they encourage insecure practices, and in part because the scenario where someone gets access to your password and doesn't get around to hacking you for 3 months is just not that likely.
Why doesn't that advice apply to certificates?
A company that's setting up renewals might do so in a way that exposes their certificates to more of the workforce than necessary. Setting up automated renewal adds complication over the much simpler model of, "put this special file in a vault and on the production server, and then nobody in the company gets to touch it."
It also doesn't seem likely that a compromised certificate wouldn't be exploited for an entire year.
But the general advice I've seen from security professionals is that LetsEncrypt's renewal policy is helping, and forced password changes are hurting. So it seems like there's some dimension to this that I'm missing, either around how companies are typically implementing auto-renew, or how certificates get leaked and abused.