1. Advances in technology allow people to offer news services and new technologies that previously had not existed (automation fallacy/luddite fallacy) Eg: invention of the cotton gin paved the way to modern retail clothing industry.

2. After a new technology is invented, people who do the work the old way continue until it's no longer feasible.

3. When it becomes infeasible, they have to find other lines of work, rely on family and friends, or some combination thereof. We'll call this displacement.

4. Here are 2 ways to measure displacement: speed* (time to render old work infeasible) and size (number of displaced people).

5. Speculation: the time after something like the cotton gin is invented, displaced workers increase. But over all it's speed* is slower.

6. Speculation: increasing centralization has increased the scale at which automating solutions displace people. Other advances in technology possibly increase the number of innovations. Advances in logistics and information increases their speed*.

7. Speculation: The automation fallacy may apply, but there are still an increasing number of displaced workers. So that the nature of this scale is nonlinear. It increases drastically with centralization, speed, and generalizability.