Robinhood raises $323M at a $7.6B valuation
reuters.com
reuters.com
This seems to result in a large percentage of their revenue which of course makes sense due to not having commission revenue.
I've also heard some people argue if you're investing a decent amount, you're better off with commissions over market orders on Robinhood. The arguments were the above & that orders can take a much longer time to process. Though I imagine most small investors are not to concerned with either.
[0] https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-10-16/carl-i...
Retail generates uncorrelated order flows, perfect for the market maker.
Institutional generates highly correlated order flows, the nightmare of the market maker.
As paradoxical as it may sound this can actually result in price improvement for the retail trader.
This is one of those rare places in finance where being small is an advantage. Another is in finding value opportunities - the smaller you are the larger the pool of potential opportunities. Warren Buffett needs big and good opportunities. Retail investor needs just good opportunities. The word "big" restricts choices.
Retail flow is primarily uninformed - "noise", not "signal" (i.e. "alpha" in finance speak). Retail traders might trade based on Twitter news, Reddit suggestions, weather, gut feeling, sudden money needs, ...
Institutional traders are big and slow and they have long-term alpha (if any), I don't think they'd generate much worry for HFTs/market makers... The real worry is other HFTs, small, short term (well-funded, more rational) traders that do have "alpha". There, you're faced with negative selection - by trading passive (market making), you should assume that your order is more likely to be filled when the counter-party has better information (more alpha/signal than you) so you'll lose in the short term.
Institutional trading (like mutual funds) certainly is a problem for market makers:
> Sometimes, when a customer buys 100 shares at $100.01, it then buys another 100 shares at $100.02, and another 100 shares at $100.03, and keeps going until it has bought 10,000 shares and pushed the price up dramatically. The market maker who sold it the first 100 shares—and who is probably now short and needs to go out and buy those shares at a higher price—has been run over.
> This is a risk of being a market maker on the public stock exchanges: Sometimes you sell 100 shares to a small retail investor and it’s random noise; other times you sell 100 shares to Fidelity and you get run over. But if a market maker can guarantee that it will only interact with retail customers—if it can filter out big orders from institutional investors—then its risk of adverse selection goes way down.
Still, I disagree. Even a large order won't "move" the market by itself (unless you're the Fed). At best, it might trigger a flash crash (we've seen a few of these in the past few years), where liquidity temporarily dries up (HFT market makers remove their passive orders, until they figure out what the hell is going on, precisely because they already predict cases like this) but comes back as soon as human traders figure out that nothing is going on (and the price has no reason to move).
More likely, a large order might blow through a few layers of the order book, which is good for market makers - instead of selling it at $100.01 (which is the "best", i.e. "lowest" price), you're selling it at $100.02 (i.e. you're making more money than your fellow market makers). In general, if you're an "institutional" (or otherwise big & slow) trader trading "large" orders (relative to the standard market volume), you're trying hard to disguise your intents. If HFTs know that you will buy the next 100 shares, they'll just sell it to you for $100.09 or more!
Certainly, the market moves when two parties agree on a price, so one order doesn't move the market by itself; however, a large order in combination with normal market behaviors will result in the market moving higher.
When you buy the book, the market makers are going to replace their sell limit orders at higher prices. If you have a lot more shares to buy, you're going to buy out those too. If you've done a fair bit of buying this way, and market makers had been selling short, they're going to want to buy to cover, which adds to or sustains the price increase.
This price movement isn't great for the institution or the market makers.
Market makers would rather trade against retail investors -- they don't make a lot of large trades, so they don't move the markets very much, and there's not the same risk of getting run over.
Institutional investors would rather trade in ways they can get a fair price without influencing the price -- if they can find counterparties to trade with on a volume weighted average price basis, they prefer that -- or they try to structure their orders to avoid hitting the market all at once.
And continuous movement of price in one direction is bad for market makers. Read the linked article, it explains why.
My gut tells me it can’t be much, but I have zero data to back that up on and would love to find some.
tl;dr - order flow is $$$, but interest is even better.
1- Interest
2- Commissions
3- Asset Management
4- Securities Lending
5- Payment for Order Flow
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20276551
https://www.kalzumeus.com/2019/6/26/how-brokerages-make-mone...
That said, this is definitely not tax advice, and even if it's legal/allowable, you're almost certainly more likely to be audited if your numbers don't agree with what the brokerage reports.
Typically, these pfof arrangements require price improvement from the bid-ask. So the retail guy benefits a negligible amount on their trade (1/10th of a penny for example). This may be good for the retail guys in aggregate. There is also some immediacy to an order getting filled (also a requirement) that may not be there if the internalizers didnt exist.
Robinhood's valuation comes from the net interest (borrowing short and lending long) and from the upsell of services.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20276551 << refer to the excellent article and discussion here about how brokerages make money.
Where attention should be turned is whether RobinHood is investing or gambling. More money is lost punting on the markets than through any arrangements to hi-freq guys.
They don't sell the data. They sell the trade.
> I've also heard some people argue if you're investing a decent amount, you're better off with commissions over market orders on Robinhood.
Potentially, although if you have to ask, it's unlikely to really matter for you.
(Robinhood, as is required by law, gives you the best publicly available price, and no fees. They can do this because, as above, they're selling your order flow, and their are people willing to privately offer better-than-best prices to certain types of orders. That value can be split a number of ways between the broker and the customer, and Robinhood as opted to keep the money, use it to fund their operations, and offer zero commissions. But you could imagine a different broker who charges "normal" commissions and passes the price improvements on instead. For some customers, that might end up being a better deal...or not.)
Regarding your second question, I wouldn't recommend trading a lot of size on Robinhood, or using market order in general, but brokerages that charge commissions do not necessarily offer better execution than Robinhood, many of them still route your flow to an HFT firm or have less than stellar order routing systems.
There was a post on Reddit just a month ago where a small investment club did just that. https://imgur.com/gallery/qMBAzoQ
I would also point out that having your IOC order not fully filled is also bad execution. If you want to get a certain size done, repeatedly IOCing the market with manual click trades is not ideal.
All the talk about RH being a bogey man with it selling order flow is b.s. peddled by those who either suck the teat of the retail investors directly or those that live off the spoils from those that such those teats. Wall St is terrified that tech is coming to eat its margins -- that's why we get all this.
P.S. I'm not a fan of RH at all - 99% of the people who use it should buy an ETF with a 0.01-0.03% expense ratio and be done but if a random college jock that does not have a PhD in math can make $200k/year first year out of college in a Wall St firm, Wall St needs to get a haircut.
What Robin Hood does is sell the orders to high frequency traders, which then front run these orders and can great a small incremental disparity per trade. It's not even .01 per trade.
However, the benefit is that every trade is done at a profit to the high frequency trader, because they are simply fulfilling an order, and not holding the stock.
And to the regular small investor, the price movement is inperceptible.
The actual work of high frequency traders was discovered by large institutions because their order volumes were much higher and because they were much more price sensitive, and they saw a much larger swing in their price from which they were closing transactions.
This was all detailed in Michael Lewis' book "Flash Boys". So if you liked "The Big Short", this one is a must read as well. So in this case they are giving from the poor to the rich, but it's really a small imperceptible amount and because of the vagueness of what's happening most retail investors are completely unaware nor that much interested in what's happening here.
You are getting a zero commission trade, which may cost you $7 somewhere else, do you really care if someone tacks on a $0.50 cent charge? You are still up $6.50.
If front running happens at all (and by strict definitions, it really doesn't), it certainly isn't happening to Robinhood customers (or the custoemrs of any other discount brokerage).
For stocks? Absolutely not. You get the National Best Bid or Offer (NBBO), as required by law, ie, the best spread available on the public stock markets.
> at least in Crypto land
Well, maybe there's your mistake.
> To think that HFT firms are using this data to only front run orders
They're not using it to front run orders. Not only is that illegal, but it's also in this case impossible by definition. You front run an order that might move the market by trading in advance of it, but in this case the internalisers are paying for retail order flow because it won't move the market. That's the only reason it has value to them. And because it won't move the market, you (obviously) can't get out in front of that market movement.
I'd suggest doing a bit more research.
Robin hood customers don't really know anything, their trading is fairly random, so a market maker can be confident that if they buy the shares, the Robin hood customer doesn't know something they don't, that is worth something to them, and allows them to offer tighter spreads.
If you are curious where the average broker routes orders to, they all file Rule 606 documents with the SEC.
Here is Robinhoods for Q1 2019: https://d2ue93q3u507c2.cloudfront.net/assets/robinhood/legal...
These filings show exactly how much each HFT, aka market maker, got routed by robinhood.
Here is Schwabs: https://www.schwab.com/public/schwab/nn/legal_compliance/imp...
What you will notice is that both have roughly similar distribution across execution venues, and the same can be said about many retail brokerage firms (Fidelity, Etrade, and the like). The difference is that Robinhood makes quite a bit more money from Payment for Order Flow than the typical brokerage.
Back in 2016 when Robinhood was gaining traction, I was pretty suspicious that they were either directly front-running their own users, or they were selling order flow to HFT's. Back in that day, both of the founders still had a LinkedIn that showed that they both worked at an HFT! before starting Robinhood. Since then they have removed that history from their profiles, but it's definitely not a good look if you are saying you are commission free! Selling order flow is the norm in the industry, but there is certainly a special relationship between Robinhood and their execution venues that isn't completely clear.
Overall, I am in the boat that Robinhood should at least be required to say that they aren't perfectly commission free. It seems that the commission most users pay is just indirectly being paid to an HFT, then kicked back to Robinhood.
With all of that being said, unless you are making huge block (100's of shares) trades, it's probably still cheaper to use Robinhood than a retail firm.
My hypothesis is that Robinhood gets higher kick backs because:
1) The user base is typically not financially savvy.
2) Users are more likely to do "market" orders leading to more profit for HFT's
3) Since there is no commission fee, users feel like they can buy or sell with 0 friction meaning the average user will end up in and out of positions much more frequently.
All of those things mean more profit margins for HFT's to kick back to Robinhood.
Robinhood certainly is "free", but the issue is that without friction, e.g. $10 trade fee, you as an investor will hop in and out of positions quickly, meaning more profit for the HFT, and indirectly, Robinhood. However, for most of us Robinhood is still cheaper than a brokerage even with this hidden tax.
I recommend avoiding options, penny stocks, and cheap-per-share stocks if you want to avoid paying a higher hidden tax to HFT's.
It's quite frustrating since I actually work for an HFT firm and the amount of misinformation about it in this comment thread is absolutely overwhelming. I don't even know where to start to debunk so many of the claims being made about front-running, or how paying for order flow works... all I can say is that reading through these comments really reinforces the point that plenty of people without any experience or background in a topic will talk about it as if they are experts in that field and there's no way to know who is and isn't knowledgeable on certain technically sophisticated topics.
Basically, take a topic that you're an expert in, find a discussion about that topic on the Internet and see just how much misinformation there is out there about it. Now consider all the topics you're not an expert in but read about on Internet discussion forums and you have to conclude that most of what people say is basically conjecture, speculation, and rumors with no sensible way to discern who is who.
It's kind of depressing.
Additionally why is it that they get a better rate than most retail brokerage houses with much more volume?
I don't know a lot about trading US equities, but this sounds wrong. Brokers are required by law to give their customers the best price ($99.99 in your example).
(1) The exchange is the middle man. The market maker is your counterparty, i.e. the person you actually trade with. The exchange facilitates the trades (often, not always - e.g. you might also trade off exchange, e.g. in dark pools (but you wouldn't do that unless you thought you were getting better prices) or by trading directly with market makers - in which case the US law protects retail customers from being "scammed") and also does clearing which means that it "guarantees" the trades - but that might not really work because an exchange cannot print money and so can go bankrupt itself - recent example in Norway:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-09-14/nordic-po...
> The loss for Nasdaq’s default fund, that helps guarantee trades, amounts to 107 million euros ($125 million) and the exchange has issued a “replenishment contribution request” to cover the default losses. Current trading members will have to contribute in relation to their size and this is the kind of event the default fund was designed to handle, a company spokesman said.
(2) If you really want to call market-making "arbitrage", sure, go ahead - but it's time arbitrage, not price arbitrage. Similar to how your bank is (or was) doing time arbitrage by connecting short-term deposits with long-term loans (and earning a fee in the process). Without market makers, if you wanted to sell 1 share of AAPL (Apple), you'd have to wait until someone came along wanting to buy 1 share, and then you'd have to agree on a price. Market-makers facilitate trading by continuously providing bid-ask quotes, so that you can sell immediately at a known price, and then 1 hour later someone can buy immediately at a known price (minus the "fee" (spread) that marker makers earn).
All in all, I don't think you even need to use brokers. You can just find buyers yourself and sell directly to them, avoiding the "evil arbitraging market makers" in the process.
Correct. And Robinhood is a broker, so it is also required to.
> Robinhood doesn’t submit orders directly to exchanges
Correct, but irrelevent.
> it always passes through a middle man
Correct.
> who has to collect some fee for their service.
Incorrect. They are not charging Robinhood (or their customers) a fee.
Robinhood's clients get the NBBO, as required by law, full stop. There's no trick here.
If you're investing a decent amount, you're better off using limit orders. No real debate to be had there.
- The ability to short a stock, which I still can't believe isn't available.
- Price Alerts
Everything else is gravy, IMO, especially if they keep the same basic, sleek interface, which I actually like.
You can buy put options on Robinhood already.
From a brokerage house perspective, it's a whole other marketplace to set up (brokers willing to back your interest)
The biggest problem presumably for Robinhood is managing the borrowing of the shares. They're probably not large enough to have a pool of shares to consistently borrow from like other larger brokerages.
You could always to a synthetic short through buying a Long Put, but time (and often volatility) decay become a factor (for shorter term trades).
Honest question: is having access to shorting THAT much different than having the ability to buy puts/sell calls? Shorting isn't the only way to profit in a bear position
Maybe try it with a paper trading account?
Selling a call option and buying a put option at the same strike price creates the synthetic short. By buying the call option with the highest strike price for the same date or later, Robinhood lets you skip the safety requirement of holding 100 shares of the underlying stock because you’ve capped your max-potential-loss to a fixed amount. Understand that with shorting a stock, you have limited potential gains and unlimited potential losses.
Example synthetic short with the S&P500 Index ETF ($SPY) at $299/share currently: Create Call credit spread by selling June 18th 2021 calls at $300 strike for $24.95/ea and buying June 18 2021 calls at at the highest possible strike of $390 for $1.39/ea. Then buying the June 18th 2021 Put option at the same strike price of $300 for $24.95/ea.
Robinhood encourages getting in and out of positions to frequently.
"welp, I don't know where my money is going, it's just going into the Acorns! They handle it all for me!"
Additionally it’s not a black box because you get to select from 5 options that explicitly show the exact allocation and which ETF it goes to.
To each his own, but I find that it takes away a lot of the psychological thought of investing in a cost effective way. But the $1-2 a month can end up being a large fee if you don’t have more than $10 or $20k invested.
the audacity to try to limit capital flows based on owner behavior was always misguided. if you disagree with something Alisher did, then you have to indict the people that actually did it. vilifying money is just lazy.
I've used the app sparingly in the past with "fun money" but haven't done serious investing with it.
The industry regulations would indicate otherwise. Generally, the “dumber” the money, the more regulatory protections that will apply. At their core, financial regulators are consumer protection entities.
What stops me from liquidating my 401k and investing all of my money into a company that misses their earning goals this week? Where does the US SEC come into play here?
Doesn’t mean you should though. Also Vegas doesn’t have the reputation for capital preservation and growth that brokerages have.
Most (fidelity, etrade, etc.) have margin rates around ~10%. IB has ~3-4% but they're an outlier in this regard.
https://www.kalzumeus.com/2019/6/26/how-brokerages-make-mone...
IB is abundantly clear that it makes money from cash balances. I'm not sure where you got this idea from.
https://www.kalzumeus.com/2019/6/26/how-brokerages-make-mone...
What makes them worse than than anyone that charges a fee?
" 57% of Schwab’s revenues are from net interest"
https://www.kalzumeus.com/2019/6/26/how-brokerages-make-mone...
And you can do so on robinhood by buying ETFs while potentially saving money on transaction fees if you were to use a traditional brokerage (I say potentially because vanguard lets me buy their etfs without a transaction fee when I use their brokerage account).