H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
mercurynews.com
mercurynews.com
So she had lived in the US for six years and still had to beg the government for permission to change jobs? I had no idea it was this bad.
The system is gamified by outsourcing companies and body shops, that are more worried about their people in, play the numbers game and clog the H-1B and GC routes, make it difficult for everyone who is trying to do quality work without playing cheap tricks.
The dearth of middle income jobs in the USA is in part caused by these body shops flooding the domestic market with questionable talent, driving down wages and living standards severely.
References/data for that?
>Generally, a citizen of a foreign country who wishes to enter the United States must first obtain a visa, either a nonimmigrant visa for temporary stay, or an immigrant visa for permanent residence. Temporary worker visas are for persons who want to enter the United States for employment lasting a fixed period of time, and are not considered permanent or indefinite.
https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/employme...
Does the U.S. need a real skilled immigrant visa? Maybe. That's really a separate question.
https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/About%20Us/E...
(A) Prior to 1990, the processing times for employment-based immigrant visas were in the order of a few years. Practically speaking, no employer ever sponsored someone for an EB green card if they weren't already working for them at an office abroad. Congress wanted to provide a practical pathway for skilled immigration. The quote "non-immigrant" H, L, O, are explicitly intended to be stepping stones to permanent residence. Look up the Congressional record on this matter (ie debates on the 1990 Act) . There were also some articles from the Cato Institute elucidating this, but I don't remember their names.
(B) The original 1990 bill explicitly exempted H, L, O visa holders from having "non-immigrant" intent. The fact that folks on H, L, O are "non-immigrants" is an accident of how the Immigration and Nationality (INA) is structured. If you're not required to maintain "non-immigrant intent", and are explicitly allowed to call the United States your home by the law (specifically, the INA) you are in no sense a "non-immigrant". The later AC21 bill went further and made people waiting with approved employment-based green card applications, exempt from the 6-year H-1B limit.
Finally, it is insulting and degrading to be called a "non-immigrant" when you have lived for over 10 years in the U.S., by people who have no understanding how the system works, like yourself. I'm trying to be less triggered by comments like yours on HN, but it's difficult. I have to say that based on your commenting history here, I've noticed a very clear pattern of xenophobia, so even if you did understand how horrid the US system is, you'd still likely enjoy insulting people who've lived here for 15 or 20 years, by calling them "non-immigrants". But that's your prerogative/freedom. TBH, despite being a lawyer, rayiner, you have no knowledge of the legislative history of the INA, and shoot out falsehoods from your mouth, with an air of authority. I don't know what causes you (or caused you) to be so incredibly hateful towards immigrants, and I don't really care why either. But please don't turn HN into such a hostile place for non-citizens living and working in the US. I remember reading your comment from a month or so ago, where you called Canada's immigration policy "ruthless". That's a degrading term (towards Canada). I think their skilled immigration policy is the best in the world. Canada is a country that values skilled immigrants, and treats them with respect and dignity. I deeply wish the US had an immigration system similar to Canada's. But it doesn't. Canada is doing something good. But you chose to insult them for it. Canada's immigration system is the best in the world, and it actually allows a skilled person to get permanent residence quickly, and doesn't force you to spend a 10+ years on visas with limited rights, freedoms, etc. So please don't insult Canada. And ironically, while I can make $200k+ in the US, I am tempted by the freedom that Canada offers, despite lower pay there. It's unfortunately all-too-common for anti-immigrant folk on HN to paint all people on work visas (H, L, O, etc) as working for bad employers, or being thoroughly underpaid -- but this is rooted entirely in ignorance (or in willful dishonesty). My base salary is $140k+ which is an "OES Level 4 Wage", and I've made over $200k with bonuses in the past. Then there's folks like throwaway082729 who make $650k/yr: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20473537 When xenophobic people on HN are confronted by facts like this, it causes them cognitive dissonance, and throws into muddy water the foundation for their hatred for immigrants. And what happens? They simply downvote. They can't accept the fact that everything they've believed about skilled immigrants (e.g. being low-paid) is utterly false. Please don't be like that. Please try to be a better person.
It's the visa to get for the so-called "best and brightest". Of course, the catch is that you need to be really skilled and be able to prove it.
The "dual intent" concept is for the non-immigrant visa. If you don't want to read the official explanation, posted around here many times already, it means that you don't have to prove strong ties with your country when applying for such a visa. For visas without dual intent you have to prove the lack of immigration intent. For dual intent ones you don't.
I wouldn't have that problem if I was on, say, an H1B Visa.
These firms have been abusing the H-1B system for years, giving the visa (and often the workers who have it) a bad name.
This means, regardless of wage(!), big companies have a bigger pool to hire from.
On the other hand, it is actually easier to get a green card if you are an illegal immigrant - which is the real thing that boggles my mind. I was talking to an Uber driver the other day who was from Congo but came illegally to US and got his green card within 2 yrs. Not saying that the Congo folks shouldn't get green cards but a high skilled legal immigrant, who is able to command $300k+ in salary (which is sufficiently high to categorize them out of the IT body shop type work), is someone US should try to value at least as much (if not more) vs. an illegal immigrant.
https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/immigrat...
https://www.citylab.com/equity/2019/04/hudson-yards-financin...
Or am I mistaken?
The standard is somewhat lower than EB-1. While EB-1 requires what Congress calls "extraordinary ability", the O-1 requires "exceptional ability".
Again, the way things work is that whichever officer looks at the case, subjectively decides if it qualifies (in his/her opinion).
Nothing like the highly-objective points-based skilled immigration system you have in some countries.
The OP comes to America as an immigrant (as did I), makes more money in one year than most American's make in 20. My comment simply put his "problem" into perspective.
The purpose of the H1B program is for foreign specialists to do work for which no American worker can be found. It's not for foreigners to come to the US and go job hopping.
Job changes are very dangerous for H1-Bs in other ways and employers know it (and abuse it, nearly all of them). Basically if your employer finds out you're looking for a job and you don't already have another job lined up, they can fire you out of spite, and you'll have to GTFO the US within (IIRC) 2 weeks. There's absolutely no recourse. Even if you are in a protected class, you're very unlikely to sue unless you're in the US and have lots of money (which H1-Bs typically don't). So few people bother unless the situation is really dire.
It's not just H1-B either. F1-OPT gets abused in a similar fashion.
It used to be worse, BTW: it used to be that you couldn't really change jobs at all, and until fairly recently, your spouse (who is typically on H4) couldn't work. Or to be exact, she/he could, but couldn't get paid (volunteering was OK).
I think there was a grace period of 60 days introduced in 2017 though I am not sure on the status of it now.
Where I work the H1B applicants (who don't get selected) have masters, from a US university, for a degree that applies specifically to their job. These folks should be on the red carpet to US citizenship. They have checked every box. Instead they get treated like crap.
They should SHUT DOWN these other players who clog up the process.
a) outsourcing firms that are just numbers game body shop mills.
b) set a minimum comp for the jobs that is reasonable (but include retirement and other benefits in calc).
c) allow all employers one applicant before awarding more slots, so the body shop mills have to compete with small business who have real jobs for real people and are not just playing percentage games (100K applications with 5k actual jobs available).
I'm a HUGE fan of lots of immigration - but saying H1B is highly specialized for real jobs, then having the body shop mills apply for 100K slots (they don't have those jobs), so they can dominate the selections and then profit off the salary / visa arbitrage is disgusting for all involved. And yes, I sign real applications that never get selected (and am willing to pay well over Level 1 and Level 2 wages).
That said, i've noticed different "worlds" of H1B worlds, with different impacts upon other workers.
I did a govt job on the US East Coast (Richmond, VA) that had a lot of H1B contract workers, likely from one of these body shops. They were good people, and adequate if unimpressive coders. They were earning decent US wages and were painfully aware that losing or leaving a job left them no guarantee there'd be another for them in the US soon. Management abused the heck out of these people, establishing practices, expectations, and treatment of coders that were terrible. They put up with it, but but it lowered the quality of the workplace for everyone, and the employees and US citizens (naturalized or born) working there also suffered, and tended to leave when they could. I was one of them, which put me in Seattle on the West Coast...
...Where I found an entirely different world of H1B workers. These were not contractors, not through a body shop, and were definitely impressive in their fields (devs, architects, and QA/Test eng, along with a handful of PMs and Team Leads). Here there was no reduction of workplace quality - these workers had lots of extra annoyances I didn't have to worry about (example: apparently changing your job title during one period of time when applying for a green card restarts the multi-year process, so I knew of people that declined or postponed promotions!) but they could definitely find work elsewhere easily enough - should workplace be unbearable they'd bounce like the rest of us could.
Whenever the H1-B debate comes up, I reflect on the different impact the workers had on these offices, and the impact the H1-B rules had on those workers. Everytime one of my friends debated if it was worth pursuing a green card or naturalization, I saw the seeming idiotic result of the US chasing away workers that it said it needed, that had proven themselves, and that american companies had spent time and money in training and getting experience to.
The first group are basically being exploited by a body shop that puts in 10X the number of applications vs spots that they need, but always still gets lots of awards. They then are able to leverage the fact they flooded the pool to carry out visa arbitrage - they have something employees want, and leverage that, even though that things is really public government property (visa) and so shouldn't be a privately leveraged.
Almost all the H1B horror stories are from these shops (often they have related outsource arms) - "I had to train my replacement and they sent my job overseas using H1B visas". You can see how trump got elected when dems were defending this as good for US workers.
The second group are folks who really really need employees. They are and will hire absolutely any US worker who meets their criteria (it's a lot easier - fewer hoops to jump through) and are willing to hire an H1B eligible employee if they run out of pipeline on US based folks. These tend to be truly higher skill jobs. The US is taking the cream of other countries investments in education etc etc with the folks - I can't imagine this is bad for the US in any way.
What is frustrating from one perspective though is that the reactionary defense of H1B means that lots of group 1 are still allowed to play their games. Seriously, crack down big time on group one. Keep same number of folks coming, and loosen up on group 2 - Level 2+ wages, masters degree US should be first in line.
If that position ceases to exist or gets filled by a local worker, then the visa loses its purpose, the employee apparently isn't needed anymore by US and can be discarded.
We can easily let people switch job titles and employers while addressing potential loopholes though.
Too many people benefit from having a slave that can't leave their job without getting deported.
> shortage of skilled engineers
...at peanut pricing.
Currently, the process is that you need to find a company that is willing to sponsor you, then that company needs to file paperwork with the government to explain the wages, job description, etc. And then this application is either accepted or rejected based on whatever guidelines they use[1].
If we keep this situation and start allow workers to move around wherever they want, the company just ate the paperwork legal costs and the role they hired for might not even stay filled for long, prompting them to redo the process.
[1] https://www.immi-usa.com/h1b-application-process-step-by-ste...
Would you expect a company to be able to retain US citizen employees if it underpaid or gave boring work?
Switching jobs is a stressful, non-trivial process. Most people who are happy with their job don't want to change it. If the company can't retain an employee on the merits of its own offerings and compensation, that's too bad.
Any other mechanism affords the opportunity for arbitrage, bureaucracy, legal leeches specialized in exploiting the process etc.
The only counter I've heard to it is that Joe's Tech Corp in Podunk, USA cannot compete with big city salaries and would never be able to get any filled. Though I see that as a feature not a bug.
I'm trying to come up with the most charitable interpretation of your last sentence but am failing. Was it meant as a "let them eat cake" statement for not being a coastal dweller? Given the many negative effects tech centers are having on local populations, deconcentrating tech across the country seems like it would have positive benefits for many not in the tech industry, which is most people.
I'm totally amazed how often the US come up with ways for the rich to have the benefits of socialism and the or to have the consequences of capitalism.
we already run an immigration lottery
Won't that just mean the body shops create 100K subsidiaries?
I'm not just saying this to be facetious. There's a huge pressure on members of any marginalized group (women, immigrants, LGBTQ) to either be extraordinary or not matter at all. You have to make space for the people that aren't extraordinary.
I'm speaking as someone from a marginalized group. I've dealt with this pressure myself.
However I recently saw an opening where I work go to an H1B where there were other qualified candidates, which I don't like to see. I would rather see the H1B's have a more stable/easier path to permanent residency. Not only does it confer a longer term economic benefit to the US to have more skilled workers, it would (probably) make the worker feel more secure and stable in their life, and less beholden to stay somewhere working because their H1B status is being held over their head and preventing easy mobility.
Unless I misread the article, this looks like a crackdown to me. It's a BA level QA analyst job at an outsourcing shop.
Or we could focus on making the process uncloggable and work towards the free movement of labor which could add $78T to the global GDP.
https://www.economist.com/the-world-if/2017/07/13/a-world-of...
Immigration restriction is the process by the which you refuse the gift from another country. It is doing to yourself what your competitors are trying to inflict on you.
When there is a 6+ months wait from applying for H1-B for getting it approved or rejected, the very top candidates nor the fastest growing companies may not want to wait that long. So H1-B is by nature more appealing to companies who can play the numbers game.
Job specific degrees are always a boon-doggle and they really shouldn't be getting the jobs their degrees proclaim. School is the time for theory, but these Job-specific degree programs these days are just glorified bootcamps
Indeed. What the H1-B program should look is for workers paying taxes. I'd grant them from top to bottom until equilibrium. Except for a very small set of specific professions needed and still not making it (perhaps healthcare or education). US doesn't need QA analysts or consultants.
Note: I'm not from US.
In fact, I was shocked that QA has been an H1B position in the United States. This is also why there are such massive backlogs for EB-3 for India, despite them getting circa 18% of the cap (7% + unused quota from ROW).
I will make an argument for the cynics that believe they should be protected from competition: that immigration restrictions and caps like the H1B curtail the freedom of Americans to buy services from who they want to. American people that run American businesses are prohibited from hiring people they believe to be best suited for the job.
There is not "gaming" the visa or "outsourcing companies". US consumes software engineers from abroad at 100x its software engineer immigration, only that they don't pay taxes to the US and export close to 100% of the their trade. It would be much better for the us to bring the people inside America to pay taxes and provide more value for Americans.
Incredible to see software engineers buying an apple phone made in china and argue that Americans should not be able to employe chinese software engineers.
Or american people in positions of power are free to use that power against their fellow citizens by importing people to do the same work for cheaper? 1859 Atlanta Ga called, they want their labor market back..
You could have a very different immigration system, but there's no sign that the currently elected representatives or the voters targeted for the next election want to have or even would tolerate a non-protectionist system.
This argument makes sense from the point of a business owner but not necessarily for the average American who will lose his job to a foreign worker that will work ungodly hours for considerably less pay. And over time, working ungodly hours will then become the norm and get worse and worse over time as the cycle continues. But yes, there is plenty of money to made if you're a business owner who can hire plenty of cheap and willing workers.
Of course, that's not how things work. It's not true that adding one person to the economy adds one person to the ranks of the unemployed, because adding an additional person also increases demand for goods and services, thus increasing the demand for labor.
There are localized crowding effects that take place at all levels of labour (bottom to the top), and various market frictions which you ignore talking about. The economy is not perfect, perfectly efficient, or perfectly distributed. I won’t even get into monopolies and monopsonies, but suffice to say that market forces can be highly skewed. Markets are typically highly constrained in relative size and don’t freely grow independently.
Adding 1000 more H1Bs this year does not mean the tech sector will grow by an additional 1500 U.S. citizens as well. Labour growth is organic and requires training and experience to grow. If most new tech positions are created for visas, citizens will never enter the field, or gain training and experience to compete.
When crowding in a market increases, the market is very slow to react and expand. This is especially true in a more mature system like the USA, where the frontier days have mostly ended, and future growth is slower and more expensive. The U.S. economy has certainly shifted (perhaps especially so around 1970) into growing the pie less, and more growing your slice.
Let’s not be naive either, because we know that visa data is publicly available. We should not rely too much on economic theory from Exon 101 when we can check the theory against what actually happens and is measured (empirics). As an experiment you should compare the annual H1B visa cap against the number of new “tech hires” in the economy. The trend you see is that every year, tech grows by ONLY the number of visas they are granted for that year. You probably think I’m pulling your leg, but please check for yourself.
Now please tell me honestly... From the data, which theory of the labour market do you think best describes the history of the tech sector in the USA? Hint, the lump of labour fallacy is not always a fallacy. Now your follow up question is, if the labour market experiences localized crowding, and citizens may be in direct competition with non-citizens for their jobs, what might happen to citizen wages that are under this competitive environment?
That very strongly suggests that there's a shortage of tech workers in the United States. What's the unemployment rate for CS majors? [1]
> From the data, which theory of the labour market do you think best describes the history of the tech sector in the USA?
The data appears to describe a tech sector that cannot find enough skilled workers to fill the positions it has available. Virtually all of the CS majors are employed. There is a large pool of skilled labor abroad, however, which US tech companies would like to tap into. They have two ways to do so: getting those workers to come to the US or setting up shop where the workers are.
There seem to be a lot of protectionist-minded tech workers in the US who are convinced that their salaries would increase if there were fewer visas handed out. That's probably true in the short run. If you constrict the labor supply, you force companies to outbid one another to hire the remaining workers. But once that initial shock subsides, companies will wise up and expand their operations overseas, where skilled labor is cheaper.
1. The answer seems to be about 2%, with less than 1% of CS majors being unemployed for longer than 26 weeks: https://www.forbes.com/sites/stuartanderson/2018/05/29/unemp...
You seem to gloss over the fact that tech jobs don’t actually require everyone to hold a specific CS degree (in reality and practice few do if you have the skills). So once you expand your definition of skilled workers to include everyone that could adequately fill such positions, you are looking at a much larger pool of workers than just fresh CS grads. You definitely don’t need a CS degree to be a low level analyst, tester, etc. which has been a pretty popular H1B position. From the linked article, you likely also have adequate coding skills if you come from an engineering, scientific, STEM, or similar background. Then add people from bootcamps that came from outside STEM.
You also ignore that H1Bs are frequently used to replace citizens, their poor working conditions, and lower salaries. You seem to apply to another perpetual myth in economics that companies like to spout about labour shortages and skilled labour shortages. There are few if any economic studies that conclude there are actual widespread shortages of candidates with necessary skills. What you seem to ascribe to is a shortage of workers that are willing to be taken advantage of, work for lower wages, and work in poor conditions.
> From the linked article, you likely also have adequate coding skills if you come from an engineering, scientific, STEM, or similar background.
The linked article discusses the fact that people with a broad range of undergraduate computer-, math- and engineering-related degrees have unemployment rates of 1.5-2% in the United States. Long-term unemployment for these groups is even lower, in the 0.4-0.7% range.
> Then add people from bootcamps that came from outside STEM.
Now you're discussing people who likely don't have the same qualifications as people coming in on H1B visas. On the other hand, you're not providing any evidence that these people have trouble finding employment in the tech sector, so I don't know what I'm supposed to make of your argument here.
> You seem to apply to another perpetual myth in economics that companies like to spout about labour shortages and skilled labour shortages.
Everything you're describing points towards a constrained labor market in tech. Unemployment for people with relevant undergraduate degrees is near 0%. Companies are desperate to increase the number of visas for tech workers. People can go to "bootcamps" for a few weeks to get basic training in programming, and then quickly find high-paying employment. If I can add to that: big tech companies are offering lavish workplace benefits (free gourmet food, free gyms, free transportation, etc.) in order to try to attract talent. This all points towards a very tight labor market in tech.
> You also ignore that H1Bs are frequently used to replace citizens, their poor working conditions, and lower salaries. [...] What you seem to ascribe to is a shortage of workers that are willing to be taken advantage of, work for lower wages, and work in poor conditions.
I've read the horror stories, just like everyone else. But in general, we're talking about people making 80k+ USD per year, many far more. Most people in America would love to be "taken advantage of" for $100k/year. It's very difficult to get behind a political call to action to exclude foreigners from the labor market in order to limit wage competition for people in the top few percent of the income distribution.
Now I am not from India or China, but it still takes years to get a GC.
And yes in those years I may like it here very much and start building a life.
But if I do, I accept the responsibility that one day it may all be taken away from me, and I will not be pretending to be a victim. So if you started your life here 5, 10, 15 years ago, you knew full well what you were doing, you were a grown adult with at least a bachelors degree. So just stop being a victim.
Is the system broken? Yes. Do we as immigrants understand that? Yes. Can we do anything about it? No, this is America, and Americans will or will not fix it.
They would be cheaper off with a local worker, that would be available for immediate hire, and wouldn’t need an expensive and quite long visa processing. Alas they found none, and not for lack of trying.
$120k? Something like that?
Want the spot, spots are starting at 120k...
@privateSFacct has a good point - there are plenty of international students that get their masters degree here in America and they should definitely be getting better treatment. I really don't think that there are any actual jobs that require nothing more than a BS degree and can be honestly considered for an H1B unless we dilute the definition to mean anything that any occupation that requires a a 4 year degree (but at that rate, isn't everything a specialty occupation?).
But there is probably a more systematic problem here - it doesn't seem that Americans want to get masters/phd degrees as much as international students do. In 2015: over half of the engineering masters degrees from US universities were earned by international students [1]. Same issue with PhD degrees [2]. Funny thing is, the average American student scores higher than students from other highly regarded countries, so it isn't some sort of skill gap[3]. Anecdotally, I know many people who refuse to get a MS because they feel that they will end up doing the same job for possibly slightly more pay. A lot of posts on programming subreddits also echo this sentiment (though there definitely isn't a consensus) - the opportunity cost for delaying your entry to the workforce by a couple years to get a masters often does not outweigh the salary and experience you would have otherwise earned in those 2 years [4][5][6]. I'm sure one can find posts where sentiment is generally one way or the other, I just liked the first 3 I found.
[1] https://www.insidehighered.com/quicktakes/2017/10/11/foreign...
[2] https://cacm.acm.org/magazines/2015/8/189841-understanding-t...
[3] https://www.pnas.org/content/116/14/6732
[4] https://www.reddit.com/r/financialindependence/comments/8vse...
[5] https://www.reddit.com/r/cscareerquestions/comments/7ade5r/h...
[6] https://www.reddit.com/r/cscareerquestions/comments/7yrvwe/w...
In most STEM fields, an MS has very little functional benefits. Oftentimes, it's the same with a PhD. In fact if you account for the tuition cost (of an MS) + opportunity cost (lost income and lost advancement) they can be net negatives.
> really don't think that there are any actual jobs that require nothing more than a BS degree and can be honestly considered for an H1B
Uh, software engineering? I know many people with only BS's in CS, Math, or Physics who are better than most people with MS's or even PhDs. I think nursing might also be valid (though that is more credential-based, we still need BSNs).
However, it sounds like you came here voluntarily on an H1B and are now disappointed that you still don't have a green card, even though H1B and GC are separate things and no one ever promised you one. Nor does the US govt owes you one.
Even in legitimate cases of difficult to find specialty labor, programs like H-1B should be sparingly applied because they jam the market signaling mechanisms that create qualified candidates in the first place.
There is a lot of fraud in the H1B, EB5 and EB1C visa programs. The administration has tried to crack down on it consistently but the Trump administration has been the most vigorous in its enforcement so far. However, this fraud requires legislative fixes which haven't come in yet. Simple fixes like H1Bs can be used only for direct employees and not for consulting purposes would be a huge boon to American companies. Another fix would be to raise the minimum salary which after 30 years of running the program is still at 65K USD. It will have immediate, positive impact by closing the loopholes used for exploitation.
This sort of fraud is also a big reason why people are stuck in years long backlogs for their employment based greencards.
Why would a person expect to have recourse against a government which exists for the sole purpose of furthering the interests of a group of people to which that person does not belong?
Moreover, the importation of labor happens every day every single time you use any manufacture or service produced outside, from software like Google/Facebook (it is partially imported) to manufactures like iphones and macs (it is also imported labor). You could arguably increase the salaries of american citizens by banning by penalty of death any kind of importation: but more dollars do not increase purchasing power.
Americans overpay software, doctors, lawyers, and many other professions because they are unwilling to allow free labor movement from those professions. You can however, import nannies with no limits from anywhere in the world. Talk about regulatory capture!
And that is only to speak of their short term interests. It is almost certainly not in the long term interests of the majority of the people in a country to import large numbers of people who fail, for whatever reason, to fully assimilate into the country, especially if there is a democratic system of government, where identity politics can take hold and corrode the government in addition to the damage done to the social fabric.
>You could arguably increase the salaries of american citizens by banning by penalty of death any kind of importation
Is that what every country on earth with import restrictions and duties does? I had no idea. That seems a bit over the top. Can't they just make people pay money for bringing those things in, instead of killing them?
It reduces rent-seeking but it increases the value-wages of everyone else. It is true that if you are to personally hold a monopoly for all the software engineering possible to be consumed in the US your wages would go through the moon, and if that monopoly were broken your wages would go down. But the negative effects of that monopoly are evident: less software products would be made, meaning the entire society takes a hit.
A system where every single profession is monopolized would inevitably lead to misery, not to the increase of wages of everyone.
It is also surprising to see people that work with the internet to advocate ideas that would be seen as insane if applied to the internet itself.
> Is that what every country on earth with import restrictions and duties does? I had no idea.
It used to ->
> By the 8th of Elizabeth, chap. 3, the exporter of sheep, lambs, or rams, was for the first offence, to forfeit all his goods for ever, to suffer a year's imprisonment, and then to have his left hand cut off in a market town, upon a market day, to be there nailed up; and for the second offence, to be adjudged a felon, and to suffer death accordingly. Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations.
Adam smith buried mercantilism under the argument that it was better for everyone to free trade, not to the brutality of the measures. The benefits of Free trade are not up to debate in the economics field. Again, do you think you would be richer if the iphone or computer you use to post here were had to be made in the US as opposed to china, and it cost 2, 5, or even 10x as some Apple officials have claimed it would have cost?
Yes, but when "everyone else" just means certain groups of high-skilled workers, owners of large businesses, government employees, and people reliant on government benefits, because they're the only ones whose income is not reduced by the importation of labor, you have a pretty big problem for your country.
>But the negative effects of that monopoly are evident
OK, but no one is talking about giving a monopoly to a single person, so the negative effects are going to be vastly smaller.
>A system where every single profession is monopolized would inevitably lead to misery, not to the increase of wages of everyone.
Good thing no one is suggesting that. Keeping foreign labor out of the market is not the same thing as a monopoly.
>It is also surprising to see people that work with the internet to advocate ideas that would be seen as insane if applied to the internet itself.
Please elaborate.
>It used to ->
OK, but, like, it doesn't any more.
>Adam smith buried mercantilism under the argument that it was better for everyone to free trade
Better for everyone that's still trading, I guess.
>Again, do you think you would be richer if the iphone or computer you use to post here were had to be made in the US as opposed to china, and it cost 2, 5, or even 10x as some Apple officials have claimed it would have cost?
I'm not sure about me, personally. I've done fairly well in the economy we have. The people in, say, Appalachia, who are killing themselves or addicted to drugs, are probably not as well off as they would be if we had employed economic protectionism to their benefit, even if their smartphones cost more.
In the long term, I'd prefer to pay more for my computer and phone and know that people who my children and grandchildren are going to share a country with are going to have each other's interests in mind, and that those people are going to be raised by people that are not suffering from the effects of poverty or from lacking any meaning in their lives. It doesn't do much good for my posterity if the people with which they share a country see them as an economic resource to squeeze for whatever they're worth because they have no common bonds of shared history or culture that tie them together, or if those people are damaged from being raised in squalor. I believe we need to put our communities above our GDP for a while.
Software engineers are the the high-skilled jobs being protected by H1B caps, you know, the top 10% income in the country.
> OK, but no one is talking about giving a monopoly to a single person, so the negative effects are going to be vastly smaller.
I've made an argument in kind, this is an argument of degree. I'll answer in degree: its just as much rent as any positive effect on real wages. If it were to suppress wages a lot, its because the monopoly was very strong. Monopoly power does not require having a single actor, it can happen with many. A good example is medicine: no doctor in the world that is board certified can provide medical care in the united states. Only a small subset of doctors in the world can: american doctors certified by american institutions. The result is that doctors outside the US are willing to provide top level care at 10~20U$S an hour, while they do so at 10-20x in the US.
The result is also evident: medical care is extremely expensive in the US.
> Good thing no one is suggesting that. Keeping foreign labor out of the market is not the same thing as a monopoly.
It is to the employer: they are unable to buy from someone else. There is no big difference between making it illegal to import cars, and give a monopoly to american car companies than to make it illegal to bring foreign car workers. The result is that the cost of manufacture rises for everyone. When you import anything from outside, you are also importing the labor: untaxed, unfettered, sometimes illegal labor. IF you were to bring the worker from the other country into the US, the US would enjoy higher tax revenues and have the exact same GDP (ceteris paribus).
Countries were people leave enter a spiral of misery, countries were people enter have the exact opposite effect!
> In the long term, I'd prefer to pay more for my computer and phone and know that people who my children and grandchildren are going to share a country with are going to have each other's interests in mind
I believe you believe this, but I also believe you don't. Ban any foreign product from your consumption today and you will see why: everything would turn insanely expensive and inconvenient. In any case, I reiterate that your model of how an economy can prosper with protectionism is only in the rhetoric of politicians and in the real of climate denialism or flat-earthers. It just not whats observable. The freedom of trade is almost 1-1 correlated to country prosperity around the world, and the most miserable countries are the protectionists ones.
Yes, of course it is. The degree to which you restrict participation in a market matters.
>its just as much rent as any positive effect on real wages.
What does that matter?
>Monopoly power does not require having a single actor, it can happen with many.
The "mono" part of "monopoly" disagrees with you. But there is no point in squabbling over words here. We both understand that there are degrees to which you can restrict participation in a market, and the more you restrict participation, the more severe are the effects of the restriction.
>It is to the employer: they are unable to buy from someone else.
They have tens of millions of people to buy from.
>The result is that the cost of manufacture rises for everyone.
I'm not sure why you're bothering to mention this. No one is disputing that restricting imports raises the price of goods, or that restricting the importation of labor raises the price of labor.
>the US would enjoy higher tax revenues and have the exact same GDP (ceteris paribus).
There is of course a third alternative, which is to impose duties on imports of goods in addition to restricting the importation of labor, which would substantially raise wages for low and medium skilled workers in this country.
>Countries were people leave enter a spiral of misery, countries were people enter have the exact opposite effect!
That depends on who is coming and going, and why they are doing so.
>Ban any foreign product from your consumption today and you will see why: everything would turn insanely expensive and inconvenient.
Why not mention the lesser alternative to banning, which is to impose duties? Of course outright banning things for which our existing chain of production is insufficient would cause massive problems.
>In any case, I reiterate that your model of how an economy can prosper with protectionism is only in the rhetoric of politicians and in the real of climate denialism or flat-earthers.
You keep talking about the economy prospering, by which I assume you mean GDP going up fast. My goal is for the people to prosper, not the economy. Of course the economy must prosper to a degree for the people to prosper, and it's attractive to try to optimize GDP because it's an easy thing to measure, but it's not the main goal. Sometimes optimizing for GDP is at odds with building healthy communities, and when it is, I would prefer to pick building healthy communities. Or perhaps you think those two things can never be at odds for some reason?
You are using a rhetorical definition, not an economics one.
> its just as much rent as any positive effect on real wages. What does that matter?
Economic efficiency is almost synonymous with reducing rents
> They have tens of millions of people to buy from.
Shocks to the supply curve change equilibrium points in markets. There's elasticity of demand/supply.
> There is of course a third alternative, which is to impose duties on imports of goods in addition to restricting the importation of labor, which would substantially raise wages for low and medium skilled workers in this country.
Economic literature has been arguing the exact opposite for literally centuries.
> That depends on who is coming and going, and why they are doing so.
This is almost a Malthusian model or labor and resources and it will give you dangerous and obviously wrong ideas, like the solution to economic prosperity is marginalizing and kicking people out.
> Why not mention the lesser alternative to banning, which is to impose duties? Of course outright banning things for which our existing chain of production is insufficient would cause massive problems.
A 100% duty is a ban. A 50% duty is half a ban. You are objecting to the crudeness of a ban. I am objecting on the value of any restriction whatsoever by any criteria or method. Look for any chart of economic liberty and see where countries stand in free trade and economic prosperity. This is not a topic of debate, it's absolutely settled. Im trying not to be callous about that, but really its not something that should be debated, akin to refuting gravity and there is more than enough documentation in the open wild to read about.
> You keep talking about the economy prospering, by which I assume you mean GDP going up fast. My goal is for the people to prosper, not the economy
Just a metric like any other, the goal is definitely people's desired prosperity.
- In every country it always is and must be the interest of the great body of the people to buy whatever they want of those who sell it cheapest. The proposition is so very manifest that it seems ridiculous to take any pains to prove it; nor could it ever have been called in question had not the interested sophistry of merchants and manufacturers confounded the common sense of mankind. Their interest is, in this respect, directly opposite to that of the great body of the people.
I wouldn't dispute that.
>Shocks to the supply curve change equilibrium points in markets. There's elasticity of demand/supply.
I'm not really sure what the relevance of that is, though I don't dispute that either.
>Economic literature has been arguing the exact opposite for literally centuries.
You yourself have stated that restricting the supply of doctors and lawyers raises the wages of those professions, so that their purchasing power is higher relative to other professions than it would be if those restrictions were eased or removed. But the same thing wouldn't happen for unskilled or medium skilled workers? What the economics literature you refer to says is that it would lower their purchasing power, but I don't think you can deny that it would raise their purchasing power relative to other people in society.
>This is almost a Malthusian model or labor and resources and it will give you dangerous and obviously wrong ideas, like the solution to economic prosperity is marginalizing and kicking people out.
Again with the economic prosperity. Do you think a country is nothing more than an economy?
>I am objecting on the value of any restriction whatsoever by any criteria or method.
And you're totally justified in making that objection if the only thing you find valuable is economic growth. If you value things like social cohesion and loyalty to one's countrymen, which I guess you do not, then I'm not sure how you could dispute that having huge numbers of unassimilated foreigners in the country who are there for no purpose except to make money has the potential to cause problems in those areas.
>Look for any chart of economic liberty and see where countries stand in free trade and economic prosperity. This is not a topic of debate, it's absolutely settled.
I don't dispute that.
>In every country it always is and must be the interest of the great body of the people to buy whatever they want of those who sell it cheapest.
In their economic interest, yes. I don't dispute that. But the health of a society is more than the sum of the net worth of each member.
It seems there is very little or nothing we disagree with as far as economics is concerned. You just seem to believe economics is the only thing that matters, for some reason.
Though the little that political economy does to touch those subjects it will tell you: the most cohesive and prosperous societies are those that respect life and liberty and allow people to trade amongst themselves as freely as possible, and that restrictions flame anger, dissent and war. I personally find it ridiculous to argue that making most of Americans poorer and sicker to protect the wages of doctors is socially cohesive.
Right, it's a political issue. We are not slaves to an economic system; the economic system exists to serve us.
>the most cohesive and prosperous societies are those that respect life and liberty and allow people to trade amongst themselves as freely as possible
In which direction does the arrow of causality point?
>I personally find it ridiculous to argue that making most of Americans poorer and sicker to protect the wages of doctors is socially cohesive.
I certainly am not in favor of employing economic protectionism on behalf of high skilled workers exclusively. It should be used on behalf of low skilled workers as well. They are our countrymen; we have a shared destiny, and should put them before others as we would hope they would do for us and our posterity in times of trouble.
I am willing to accept any proposal of protectionism and restriction you are willing to offer with one condition alone: that is done equally to all, or none at all. That is the equivalent to my original proposition that there should be no restrictions.
The whole immigration system sucks, and especially H1-B, but let's not pretend only some of the players are gaming it. Everyone is.
8 USC 1184(h) allows the H1-B visa holder to be dual intent:
> The fact that an alien is the beneficiary of an application for a preference status filed under section 1154 of this title or has otherwise sought permanent residence in the United States shall not constitute evidence of an intention to abandon a foreign residence for purposes of obtaining a visa as a nonimmigrant described in subparagraph (H)(i)(b) or (c), (L), or (V) of section 1101(a)(15) of this title or otherwise obtaining or maintaining the status of a nonimmigrant described in such subparagraph, if the alien had obtained a change of status under section 1258 of this title to a classification as such a nonimmigrant before the alien’s most recent departure from the United States.
It says that the fact that you’ve filed for permanent residency will not be deemed to undermine the non-immigrant intent requires for the H1-B. But the H1-B remains a non-immigrant, temporary visa.
Contrast with say the Canadian skilled worker program, which results in permanent residency at the time of immigration.
H1-B became a trap because of dual-intent.
Someone who always intended to leave the US, as H1-B requires, shouldn't be too bothered that they can't (easily) switch jobs, that a job loss could send them home sooner than anticipated, and they shouldn't have to accept substandard wages or housing or any other body shop abuses we hear about... because they can always just go home, like they'd always intended and should have planned for.
Dual-intent baited people to come here on H1-Bs on the assumption that they'll eventually get permanent residency, bring their family over, attain citizenship. Plenty of people risk their lives to get here with no hope of citizenship; putting up with body shop abuses on a path to citizenship is minor in comparison, a lot like staying at a job you've come to dislike to run out the vesting clock.
And H1-B is such effective bait because the rest of our immigration policy is screwed up and discriminatory.
You would have to have already been on a different visa to have been here in the first place and like nraynaud said, it takes time.
Now, if you're talking about meeting your future spouse in the US, then yes. They would have needed a visa to be in the country in the 1st place.
My original comment was just wondering how a "immigrant marriage visa" would change anything.
Your driver's license will expire with your EAD card, the renewal of your EAD card can't be done more than 90day before expiration, but it takes more than 6 months to get a new one.
You can work 180 days with an expired EAD but not drive nor leave the country, and E-verify will be weird so you might lose your job anyways.
OP clearly says they are not seeking your sympathy. And no, not everyone is gaming it.