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Every time I see someone talking about immigrating processing times, the number seems to go up...

Per the state departments August 2019 bulletin, the actual backlog to file for an EB-3 green card is currently 3 years for China, and 9 for India....

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Where did you see that? USCIS in its bulletins never releases the number of years only the year it is processing. If you extrapolate the EB-1 wait for Indians, it is closer to 9 years, but most people are in EB-2/3 which is 50yrs out.

The August bulletin currently lists April 2010 for India EB-3 (October 2017 for EB-1).

If you go back through the last few years of bulletins, this 9 year wait has been relatively stable. Unless you believe there's been a massive spike in applicants in the past few years, there's no reason to believe the current wait for new applicants is 50 or 70 years.

I don't think that's quite right. Have a look at Indian EB-2 . The August 2014 bulletin [2] lists the current year as 22JAN09 which has moved to 02MAY09 in the August 2019 bulletin [1]. This means that in the last 5 years, they have moved from Jan09 -> May09. Very stable!

[1]https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/v...

[2]https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/v...

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