Has humanity reached ‘peak intelligence’?
bbc.com
bbc.com
The notion that time scales are too short for evolution to be involved is not true. Some evolutionary effects can happen very quickly.
The prevalence of an existing trait within a population can change quickly, if it's highly heritable, and the selection is strong.
What is your level of uncertainty regarding this? It would seem to be merely a possibility, especially if we undershoot due to falling intelligence levels ...
> Even the average person today would have been considered a genius compared to someone born in 1919
If you didn't already suspect that IQ is a load of crap, this sentence should tip you off. Can you really imagine a 100 IQ person being haled as a genius 100 years ago?> Ulric Neisser estimated that using the IQ values of 1997, the average IQ of the United States in 1932, according to the first Stanford–Binet Intelligence Scales standardization sample, was 80. Neisser states that "Hardly any of them would have scored 'very superior', but nearly one-quarter would have appeared to be 'deficient.'" He also wrote that "Test scores are certainly going up all over the world, but whether intelligence itself has risen remains controversial."
Is it really that hard to imagine modern nutrition, abundance and education has produced smarter people compared to a group that ate bread and dripping for dinner and left school at 14 and had an education even more focused on rote memorization?
Similarly, if you do physical work all day your muscles are bound to adapt.
I seem to recall somewhere an article about how native Australian hunter-gatherers had very highly developed memories to track animals through the bush. Not so necessary now - just ask Google Maps where to go.
Also, as elsewhere in this thread - I agree, IQ is a fraud.
https://thinkprogress.org/exclusive-elevated-co2-levels-dire...
So if we fix the problem with the attention span, we can increase intelligence even further, I believe.
It's not average intelligence that matters, it's how many outliers are we getting. Outliers make scientific break-throughs that trickle down to the masses.
That's what matters.
We're in the best spot of all time in terms of number of outliers, simply due to the population being the highest ever. Now it's a matter of realizing that potential.