On earth you can test whether methane has organic or abiotic origins by testing its isotopes. We can do this because we understand decently well how the geologic past of earth unfolded. We could probably do a similar thing for mars
>The Earth is 4.5 billion years old. And the universe, at least based on estimates from the Big Bang, is something like fourteen billion years. So, if life evolved somewhere else, that buys you about ten billion years of time.
Obviously I'm no expert, but you have to keep in mind, it took a decent amount of time for non-violent stars to become the norm / stellar neighborhoods to calm down and for overall metallicity to become significant enough to allow for the formation of terrestrial planets.