Not to mention we have an extremely limited data set to work from when identifying what “normal” is.
This is the wettest 12 months in the US on record. This is almost certainly because the global temperature has gone up significantly in the last century+.
If you want to talk about this, talk about this - don't waste time attacking imaginary points you think other people are implying.
On the other hand, it is beyond doubt that global warming is happening and getting worse. Ergo, we have to seriously cut down our CO2 emission. In the year 2019, anybody who's asking for more data on that is just willfully stalling discussion.
Stop getting hung up on "radical remaking of society," because that's going to happen anyway. Whether we like it or not, society is going to be radically remade when we lose Miami and New Orleans to the sea.
We need to replace our energy sources with renewable and/or nuclear ones, we do not have to radically remake society.
I feel like sometimes weather records are given higher significance than they really are in the grand scheme of things. Not saying this is one of them, but just trying to look at things in a balanced way.
- E event happens in given year - N event doesn't happen in given year
Then P(E) = 1/125. Conversely P(N) = 1-1/125.
We're looking for 1-P(NNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN) = 1 - (1-1/125)^20 = 15%
Though I'm sure someone will tell me how I'm wrong
But we compare to things that we know about, instead of guessing.