Many more trees could be planted without encroaching on crop land or urban areas
theguardian.com
theguardian.com
This is a reversible process and catlle is part of the solution: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2011/jul/22/cows-cli...
So, using large herds of cattle to refertilize bits of land that are currently not usable for agriculture would capture enormous amounts of carbon in the soil, restore the water retention capability of arid land, put a stop to large scale erosion of remaining soil, and restore it to productive land that may be used for growing food. Alternatively, once restored, you can sit back and watch the land reforest itself or use planned grazing to keep it as grassland. There's no actual need to manually plant trees; though it does probably speed up the process.
Finally, using cattle to fix land produces lots of nice organic/free range meat in a sustainable way as a side effects. And yes, cow farts have a green house effect but it is offset by the captured CO2 in the restored soil. Healthy soil has lots of biomass.
Living in an area heavily deforested for cattle grazing, the cattle grazed land does not look like a healthy land. The cattle keep all plant life cut right back. Hot sun can easily access the soil drying it out, then when heavy rains come, the top soil all runs off the land.
Land that is left without cattle fares better, land that is actively reforested and trees helped to get established looks infinitely more healthy.
I'm no expert, but I would approach this with extreme caution. There are a lot of replies that he is "misleading", "wrong", "dead wrong" etc.
This is not true of North America's grasslands. Pre-contact, tens of millions of bison fed on the grasslands much like cattle do now, with certain differences. Most cattle ranching operations are small so there are a lot of fences, which leads to intense grazing in some areas and relatively little in others.
Grasslands have a symbiotic relationship with grazers. Without regular grazing and lightning-caused fires (indigenous populations also regularly burned large areas to help grazing animals), grasslands tend to progress to either bushy forests or dustbowls.
In fact, the greatest danger to the grasslands of North America is farming.
http://www.econtalk.org/moises-velasquez-manoff-on-cows-carb...
> Journalist and author Moises Velasquez-Manoff talks about the role of dirt in fighting climate change with EconTalk host Russ Roberts. Velasquez-Manoff explains how changes in farming can allow dirt and plants to absorb carbon and potentially reduce climate change.
Source: “The Carbon Farming Solution”
Urban forestry is also a thing, so we don't actually have to exclude urban environments. We can increase the number of trees within city limits as well.
Some resources:
https://www.fs.fed.us/managing-land/urban-forests/ucf
https://www.americanforests.org/magazine/article/vibrant-cit...
http://www.dasnr.okstate.edu/Members/donald-stotts-40okstate...
How you would manage that with the above plan is beyond me though :-)
Another issue is that N2O forms when urine and manure are mixed; which is common with intensive cattle farming. This happens a lot less when cattle is roaming around and instead this helps fertilize the land and stimulates growth; it's actually good for the land. So, compared to growing cattle indoors and feeding them with the wrong food that is typically also produced using intensive farming, there's a big difference.
“Without freeing up the billions of hectares we use to produce meat and milk, this ambition is not realisable,”
This is the polar opposite of what is happening at the moment. In particular: https://edition.cnn.com/2019/07/02/americas/amazon-brazil-bo...
“Restoring trees at [low] density is not mutually exclusive with grazing. In fact many studies suggest sheep and cattle do better if there are a few trees in the field.”
1. Most land used to produce meat and milk is actually not by grazing.
2. I was tunnel-visioned on the part I added. The article calls for reforesting 1.7G hectares, at average 50% density, for a total of 850M. Amazon is being deforested at about 500k-1M hectares per year[1] and the political climate suggests making it worse rather than better. According to a quick googling, over half of Amazons trees are over 300 years old and the deforestation is done with fire, effectively instantly undoing 300 years of sequestration. So, within 3-6 years of business as usual just the Amazon deforestation balances out a year of this theoretically possible global effort.
Please prove me wrong, I don't want this to be true :(
Edit: TFA calls for 1.7G (not T) hectares with 1.2T trees.
[1]:https://news.mongabay.com/2019/05/new-report-examines-driver...
That's false. All cattle is grazed before spending the final few weeks of life in feedlots (unless it's grass-finished beef, in which case the feedlot is skipped).
Anti-cattle people really need to visit a ranch sometime to see what actually happens there because I read a lot of misinformation on HN around this topic.
Note that opportunity claimed here is smaller than the loss from the other source. In my sparsely informed understanding, it seems slowing down deforestation should be our priority #1.
According to this [1], a 10 years old `Calliandra calothyrsus` such as the ones they (trees.org) plant captures about 170 kg / 380 lbs of CO2.
According to the World Bank [2], the average European citizen produces 6 tons of CO2 while the average American produces about 16 tons.
That would mean that they can offset the yearly CO2 emissions of an European or American person by planting 35 ($3.5) or 95 ($9.5) trees, respectively. Quite impressive if true.
--
[1] http://www.unm.edu/~jbrink/365/Documents/Calculating_tree_ca...
[2] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/EN.ATM.CO2E.PC?location...
which may be a side-effect of fighting forest fires and the campaign against logging. higher tree density == easier for fungus to spread. this is why I don't automatically believe anything from the "enlightened" progressive camp. back in the 80's, it was "Stop the Big Bad Loggers! Save the Forest!". Now, had they responsibly thinned the forest, used the timber for logging, that CO2 would be sequestered in homes and the fungus wouldn't have spread through the forest.
Even given that that is the case, I fail to see how that connects to your obvious disdain for the stance that maybe money isn't the most important thing here.
Lack of evolved resistance and predators are the key factors.
Before the 20th century, there were likely fewer campers setting trash on fire in the middle of a super dry forest. Or maybe not, come to think of it.
We are already lucky to have trees that grow fast enough and are well suited for construction uses. We are lucky to have sun and wind strong enough replace our unsustainable power sources. We're even lucky we didn't wipe out the ozone layer a few decades ago - only a chance of chemistry gave us enough time to respond.
The global climate and ecological crisis should be a wake up call to appreciate the vulnerability and suitability of the web of life that evolved us, not a mandate for ever more bold experiments on it.
Check out Drawdown [0] for other interventions with quantified costs/benefits.
Economists widely agree that carbon pricing is the most effective way to fix climate change [1], and fee-and-dividend implementations are the most viable politically (there's a bill before Congress now [2]).
[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/08/business/economic-science...
[2] https://citizensclimatelobby.org/energy-innovation-and-carbo...
That is true, and does not conflict with the findings of the article.
I think the difference here is that we can start planting trees right now. Carbon taxation is something people still pretend doesn't have to be done.
It's also worth noting, that given the accelerating pace of the climate crisis, the time to start planting those forests is NOW. Not in a year, not in two years, NOW.
Trees readily plant themselves in areas they are well adapted to. Areas that don’t quickly turn into forests are generally poorly suited to growing trees.
Further, not all trees are equivalent with marginal areas generally resulting in small and often very slowly growing trees.
I am very skeptical if that's true – see formerly forested areas like Iceland, Brazil, etc. It's not easy for a single sapling to grow into a tree, even if the conditions are right. That's why companies like Afforestt exist [0].
Edit, back to your point. Forest fires and other natural events regularly kill off large chunks of trees. They need to be able to grow in those areas in order to survive.
We're at a point where passively going with "let nature take its course" is not a prudent action. We need to nudge things where and when we can. There's multiple documented instances of forests being replanted, so this is not idle speculation.
It'll take a while to get the rest forested if I wait, though squirrels and birds moving seeds could help. Part of it is that trees can make the area better for other trees; the conifers stop grass from growing under them, which is good since the grass can be as tall as I am and block out light.
For some value of "quick", you are correct. Fertile land will indeed eventually develop into some kind of forest absent factors that inhibit such development (such as grazing cattle). I do not agree with you about this process being quick, as it can easily take more than one human lifetime for this to happen.
On top of that grasslands can store significant carbon in root systems which is then slowly released as the grasses are killed of by tree growth.
How to minimize the Tragedy of the commons effect? Where countries don't want to impact their economic growth because other countries won't impose such taxes, therefore some production will move there.
This was the point of the Paris Agreement.
[0] https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/TPC_201...
If you use the money for a specific purpose, then you either need low carbon taxes to avoid radically altering the government’s role in the economy, or you are making a large bet that the government will spend the money well.
Having a large, long run carbon tax will do much to encourage the market to develop alternatives.
Then once it's in and working start researching better and more effective ways to use it. I don't think we have the luxury to hang around any more.
You just have to charge enough to get emissions down to the desired level.
Those economists are basing that claim on two highly questionable premises:
(1) That we know with high confidence that reducing CO2 levels will "fix" climate change. We don't know that. Climate models based on that assumption do not make accurate predictions.
(2) That we know with high confidence the economic consequences of particular interventions such as carbon pricing. We don't know that either. Economists' predictive ability is even worse than that of the climate models.
“Crowther emphasised that it remains vital to reverse the current trends of rising greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuel burning and forest destruction, and bring them down to zero. He said this is needed to stop the climate crisis becoming even worse and because the forest restoration envisaged would take 50-100 years to have its full effect of removing 200bn tonnes of carbon”
200bn tonnes? Apparently humanity releases at the moment almost 40bn CO2 tonnes per year (1). All that trees then replace only 5 years.
1) https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf303
"CO2 emissions grew by 1.6% in 2017 to 36.2 Gt (billion tonnes), and are expected to grow a further 2.7% in 2018 (range: 1.8%–3.7%) to a record 37.1 ± 2 Gt CO2 (Le Quéré et al 2018b)."
Only 42 % of the emitted CO2 stays in the atmosphere[1], the rest is soaked up by land and ocean. The article only relates to the CO2 in the atmosphere.
I don't suggest that trees aren't important, just that they are definitely still just a tiny part against what we put in the atmosphere at the moment if we contiue to do so (and we do too little to change that).
If you know tentree shirts, that's who they donate to.
There are also very effective tree saving charities like "cool earth"
> Crowther’s team calculated that there are currently about 3tn trees in the world, which is about half the number that existed before
I really hope this study is solid, but how can 1.2tn re-planted trees make up for a loss of 3tn logged ones? And moreover cover the CO2 of all that burned coal and oil?
Consider that coal comes from dead trees - growing trees will be a big part of the solution.
Human technology can't do that yet.
That said, a trillion is a quantity larger than any human has the ability to intuitively grasp. It really depends if by "planting trees" they mean "scattering seeds by aircraft" or if they mean "hand-planting saplings".
When I was young and part of a crew, each us planted -several hundred- trees over 3 eight-hour days. So at least a thousand per person in 10 days. A nation-wide volunteer org -with access to enough seedlings- ... that's the tricky part ... could quickly multiply that to 300 per American - 10% of that trillion.
FWIW, There are startups doing this idea like BioCarbon Engineering https://www.biocarbonengineering.com/services (found via video by one of it's investors Tom Chi https://vimeo.com/294975140 (at 11 minute mark) )
The concept of seed drops / seedballs seemingly goes back to the 'zero budget farming' ideas of Masanobu Fukuoka (an older video that goes into seedball making - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A4-bwW8PWI0 )
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycLbO02lb7w
If fruit can be grown there, it can be grown almost anywhere on Earth.
“We still have a net loss of about 10bn trees a year,” Crowther said.
This is a horrible number... I wonder what the true loss is, without the component of planted trees?https://psmag.com/environment/the-planet-now-has-more-trees-...
Is that actually the case? Wouldn't a larger tree's volume mean it consumes a ton more Carbon than a smaller tree, even if the smaller tree is rapidly growing?
Young trees sequester carbon faster: https://psmag.com/environment/young-trees-suck-up-more-carbo...
Old trees sequester carbon faster: https://theconversation.com/big-old-trees-grow-faster-making...
Though when you consider forestry has the goal of producing sequestered carbon (wood), you would think they'd find a fast way to do that. In my country, commercial forestry is done with non-native species that are planted by the forest owners and obviously must be replanted for them to keep operating. They harvest them after about 20 years of growth. I guess that's the age when further growth would be too slow to be economical.
We should find a way to discourage cutting mature forest and rainforest as well as planting new.
Secondly unfortunately, in general loggers mostly do not regrow the areas they cut down. Although they do talk about regrowing whenever they are talking to the media, in reality the areas regrown are far less than the areas cut down and thus the earth is losing a lot of tree cover every year.
I think of how the acid rain stuff seemed to have worked out: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acid_Rain_Program
I know that efforts to reforest Iceland have not been very successful.
even if it worked, could be too slow
In any case, it is back just in time for the latest season of Stranger Things. Ooh!