Bernie Sanders to unveil plan to cancel all $1.6T of student loan debt
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> “Education debt,” as Sandy Baum and Victoria Lee of the Urban Institute have written, “is disproportionately concentrated among the well-off.” The highest-earning quarter of the population holds more than a third of all student debt, while the lowest-earning quarter holds only 12 percent, according to Baum and Lee.
Less than 40% of those 18-29 have student loan debt: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/08/24/5-facts-abo.... Almost by definition, these are disproportionately the folks who were privileged enough to go to college to begin with. Moreover, the total debt is skewed towards the people with the highest income potential. The median debt for someone who doesn't attain a college degree is $10,000. Versus $45,000 for someone who attains a post-graduate degree.
The existing system we have is fine. Obama's PAY-E caps student loan payments at 10% of income. That means the people who end up with good jobs end up subsidizing everyone else. (The government kicks some money in too, but PAYE will only cost $180 billion over 10 years, instead of more than then times that in one shot.) If we need to fix the loopholes in that, let's do it. But under the current system, I as a private practice lawyer pay thousands of dollars a month to the government. Under Bernie's plan, I'd get a small mortgage worth of a windfall.
If we're going to raise taxes $2.2 trillion, it's criminal to not spend it on the people who need that money the most.
That said one of the arguments for universal forgiveness is that it’s the only way to get major reform in the space. That seems like a crazy expensive premium to pay to me but maybe I’m naive about the appetite for improving others lives.
If we want to help people, we need to raise taxes on the middle and upper middle class and spend it on safety net services, like everyone else in the developed world: https://taxfoundation.org/how-scandinavian-countries-pay-the...; https://www.oecd.org/tax/revenue-statistics-sweden.pdf (Sweden - 61 % of revenue from from middle class taxes: payroll, social insurance, and goods and services); https://www.oecd.org/tax/revenue-statistics-united-states.pd... (USA - 41% of revenue from same sources).
Maybe more lower class people would go into this if they could afford it?
One of the selling points of the universal policy is that it’s the only way to get the votes of the well off but resentful, even if it’s staggeringly inefficient.
I agree
On that basis I would expect this to benefit the lower middle class, they accrued the debt without accruing the earning potential.
Fairly clear one of those 2 is getting a much better deal.
All that said I'm not from the US, so didn't expect fees to vary so much. (do they?)
The interest rate environment right now means that many of my high earner friends are not in a hurry to pay more than the minimum on their loans. Debt forgiveness for them will be a straight cash infusion against their net worth.
No idea what the percentage of each is.
It's not about a competition of loss; you're correct. But it's simply an expensive and unfair plan to forgive the debt of those who have it, without regarding why they have it. Either we take a more refined plan about how we forgive student debt, or we simplify even further and just give stimulus checks to everyone without any conditions.
Because the money comes out of everyone's pocket. How about free healthcare for more people, free child care so people can go to work etc etc? The govt can't just issue new dollars indefinitely, so there's a cost. I understand that colleges are very expensive and loans have made it even more expensive--just sign here and see you in 4 years. But since the money is coming out of the pooled money we have to think twice and consider everyone's problems.
It is fine to have certain amount of transfer from the rich and middle class to the poor to pay for basic things, but pay for college should not be part of it. College is not crucial for living a good life.
I would agree with proposal to support pay for vocational / professional training. But college? No.
10% cap is nice and all, but not if you’re going to be paying it through middle age. Blunt loan forgiveness is not the answer, but reform is needed.
Sanders is the last person to do any reform ( real reform would come most likely from somebody like Andrew Yang ).
Education is first and foremost extremely political, almost everywhere and every country.
Milton Friedman knew it 40 years ago.
Letting a free market in education to exist would put a lot of service jobs at risk.
Education is how people who support a candidate get a job after elections are over.
Many prominent lieutenant and donors in the Democratic party end up in the educational sector, same applies in every other party in so many other countries it's unreal.
In Islamic countries, trying to reform education is much much harder than other areas. Everybody wants a say in what goes in the heads of other people's kids.
Not only is this welfare to the upper middle and upper classes it is the big wealth transfer to colleges. Colleges who have no reason to keep costs down. Plus they also have the benefit not having to steer people to viable careers and can instead sell them on many cost increasing courses which are more padding for the college bottom line.
If the politicians were serious about education they would lock colleges into rates set by government for any education guaranteed part or in full by government. People fall all over themselves demanding that the medical costs be regulated, where are the screams for colleges to do the same when it comes to costs.
Simply put. A degree cost X dollars. Each course credit is Y. The college that wants their students to receive loans or partial to full payment must offer degrees and courses conforming to the cost the government assigns to that degree. The college must make a good faith effort to see the student graduates with the degree or pay a penalty.
They would fall over themselves to comply
It's good to remember in these situations that the perfect is the enemy of the good, and what Sanders is proposing has the advantage of maximum simplicity. If you listen to the advice of perfectionists like David Leonhardt, you're going to neither eat nor have your cake.
That is why you hear about free college, like Germany, and not one peep about what Germany's income tax brackets look like: http://www.worldwide-tax.com/germany/germany_tax.asp
Tax % Tax Base (EUR)
0 Up to 9,000
14% 9,001-54,949
42% 54,950-260,532
45% 260,533 and over
You see, in Germany, the guy making $80,000 is treated as a benefactor. He pays the 42% marginal income tax, 19% VAT, 7.5% social insurance contribution, etc. He doesn't get a $2.2 trillion windfall.My point about taxes is the flip side of the same criticism. "Progressive liberals" view the upper middle class as a marginalized class that should receive government benefits, not a privileged class that should pay for them. That's why Sanders' proposed tax brackets are the same as Trump's until above $250,000.
> Income bracket Tax
Lower limit Upper limit Rate
$0 – $18,450 10%
$18,451 – $74,900 15% <--- German 42% rate starts here
$74,901 – $151,200 25%
$151,201 – $230,450 28%
$230,451 – $250,000 33%
$250,001 – $500,000 37%
$500,001 – $2,000,000 43%
$2,000,001 – $10,000,000 48%
$10,000,001 – 52%
Put differently, upper middle class "progressive liberals" only believe in a progressive system to the extent they are on the receiving end of the welfare system. So that someone who paid $100,000 for college and has a $100,000 job in New York is treated as the proper recipient of government welfare, at the expense of those above them. But taxing that guy like the privileged class, to support the people at the bottom who truly need it, is off the table.People in the top 25% but outside the top 1% earn half of all income, $5 trillion, 2.5x as much as the top 1%. You need high taxes on that group to support an expansive welfare state. In Germany, Mr. NYC would be taking home $57,000, and he'd pay 19% VAT on cocktails in Munich.
Anyway, this hypothetical guy isn't helping my case, because we can either add or subtract virtues to make him more or less sympathetic. As someone who matched this description personally, I can tell you I did not feel "upper middle class" by any stretch of the imagination, which is what I was responding to.
Or towards clean energy generation, storage, and use. How fast would oil and coal be completely replaced? And again, money pumped into the economy to do so.
Or scientific research, space projects, could make large leaps, and again, that money flows back into the economy and multiplies.
Instead we want to make it so the people who hustled through college, picked a cheaper school, worked on the side, paid down their debt if they got any as soon as possible, that those people get the same outcome as someone who got a huge loan and played video games and got drunk every weekend, and spent $200,000 on a degree that only gets you a $50,000/year job?
I don't discount it might be possible, but I am asking you to prove it if you're stating it as fact. No imagining.
This is a good proposal for everyone overall, even if you don't think it impacts you personally since you don't have a student loan yourself.
I'm quite sure you can't find a quote where I did this.
But anyway, you're focusing on this from a different point of view from the people you're arguing against. It's important to take note that there are (at least) 3 groups of people with interest in this conversation: people who've paid off their debt, people who have not paid off their debt because they've been unable to, and people who've not paid off their debt because they did not want to.
Those who've paid their debt are pointing out that it's unfair to retroactively support those who did not make the same frugal choices. (This is sort of what you're arguing against)
Those who are in debt because they are hard up for reasons beyond their control are arguing for paying off debt for anyone who has it.
I understand your interest at stake in saying we should forgive the debt. But you're being disingenuous if you ignore the point of the first group of people.
Instead of hashing out what's fair, let's give tax progressively and give a stimulus to everyone. This has the same benefit to those in debt, but avoids both the unfairness we're talking about and requires less government expense in paying accountants to determine who should get the benefit (because everyone gets it automatically).
what about the ones who have already paid the entirety of its loan?
How about a federal loan structure? with very minimal interest?
Isn't this problem a derivative of problem (insert costly higher education) here.
Shouldn't this also mean that education loan will become one of the easy way to get into college even if you dont want to?
What about the future generation? Its good to have free education in first place rather than giving out loans and taking it back.
India took a similar stance on Farmer's loan waivers and it neither fixed the issue nor corrected it.
Time to learn lessons.
We should be encouraging students to go to cheaper schools (state schools are far cheaper that out of state, and out of state schools are still cheaper than private schools), and bringing in legislation which reduces tuition. The US could bring in legislation to lower tuition at public schools (they are doing this in Ontario right now, which has a similar system), although this might have to be a per-state issue rather than national issue.
"We will make a full and complete education a human right in America, to which all of our people are entitled," Sanders said on Monday. "This means making public colleges, universities and HBCUs tuition-free and debt-free by tripling the work study program, expanding Pell grants and other financial incentives."
Please explain how this is not rewarding those who chose to spend their money on luxuries instead of paying their debt. What about those of us who paid off our debt by living frugally?
As someone in favor of universal health care, subsidizing college, etc, I'm still against this particular policy decision. It's badly-thought-out populist candy.
Moreover the insinuation that the only people in student loan debt are irresponsible is nonsense.
It doesn't make right everyone who lost lifetime income to student loans. It doesn't bring people to life who died in car accidents, and it doesn't give me money back that I spent on a comparatively slow computer 10 years ago. It's still good.
This isn't what I said. If you want to twist other people's words, I can do that too: "There are unfair things in life therefore we should not put any effort into trying to make our own policies fair".
Sure hope “stock trades” doesn’t include retirement contributions or rollovers. I just rolled over 90k - that would’ve cost me $900 (sell, then buy).
I also think we could create a special administrative and economic zone (without minimum wage) in the first 50 miles of southern border and allow anyone to come work there from all over the world. This would create a pathway for people to come here legally and have civic and language classes to help integrate. We could pick the best and brightest from this zone for citizenship which I think is a more fair system. Before you dismiss this idea as colonial consider that this area would have the same human rights and laws as the rest of the US just with low wages, this would be better working conditions than most places on earth with similar wages while also providing a defined channel to gain US citizenship.
Sure it's possible under certain aspects (like Facebook et al. paying nearly zero under being "mutlinational" and even that relies on the will of the government to allow it) but that does not apply to the US stock market, does it?
Unless someone knows something I don't I can't be convinced financial players would stop trading in the US because of taxes unless they are really, really abusive.
Some evasion to other markets, perhaps, but how much "down" to developing nations are large funds willing to go?
You can't just seamlessly move the entire thing elsewhere. No other country has the economy and international (military) presence. Do we all agree that makes a difference?
I can't see this level of taxation changing things at all
Maybe at least you will realize, that the poor that is going to kick your head in, is not reading Hacker News.
Luckily we still live in a civil society where most people understand violence isn't an acceptable response to political disagreement.
I think the reality is that while corporations do some jurisdiction shopping, it's pretty clear that low taxes are only one part of the equation of where HQ locations are chosen.
As for the results: "revenues from these taxes were disappointing. For example, revenues from the tax on fixed-income securities were initially expected to amount to 1,500 million Swedish kronor per year. They did not amount to more than 80 million Swedish kronor in any year and the average was closer to 50 million. In addition, as taxable trading volumes fell, so did revenues from capital gains taxes, entirely offsetting revenues from the equity transactions tax that had grown to 4,000 million Swedish kronor by 1988" [0].
[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedish_financial_transaction_...
How about all these other countries that have implemented or are currently implementing them? [2]
Looks like this clause is why the UK was successful while Sweden may not have been: "The tax is charged whether the transaction takes place in the UK or overseas, and whether either party is resident of the UK or not."
Clearly the UK being a much larger securities market is a much better parallel to the US than Sweden. It all probably comes down to the implementation.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_transaction_tax#Unit... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_transaction_tax#Unit...
Let's see a plan to fix the system for everyone, not populist handouts for people who are already ahead.
This is also fixing the wrong problem. It removes the pain that generates pressure for real reform. Without addressing the ridiculous costs, this just props up the problem.
I still have some of my student loans left and most of them at at 1.8%. However I have some friends who went to college after me and theirs are at nearly 7%. That just doesn't seem fair.
This doesn't seem to solve anything for prospective students, except to suggest they too may get their debt cleared, so load em up?
Surely you should be looking at future rules, then retroactively applying them if appropriate, rather than bailing out a cohort.
Seems about right. For those that don't get accepted to the expensive colleges, it's a lifetime of higher taxes to fund their upwardly mobile peer's lifestyle.
The first seems reasonable. The second seems terrifying.
I have definitely heard people advocate for a total jubilee on student loan debt.
I do agree that the current Supreme Court probably wouldn't let it happen.
Why not fix the root of the problem? This solution will only serve to enrich the universities and not get them to change their behavior.
Even something as extreme as outlawing job listings from listing college degrees as a requirement probably wouldn't do it. It'd just become a "soft" requirement.
We stop federally subsidizing student loans. This will reduce the overall cost of universities, because they won't be relying on instant government money and the universities will be responsible if the student defaults.
It will be in their best interest to push out students that actually succeed and have a chance at paying the money back.