If I had a company I would be very hesitant to build up US capacity because there is a good chance the tariffs will be removed again soon. I think right now everything is in limbo which is not good for anybody.
If I had a company I would be very hesitant to build up US capacity because there is a good chance the tariffs will be removed again soon. I think right now everything is in limbo which is not good for anybody.
Tariffs can be influential in trade negotiation but must be used like a scalpel, skillfully restricting trade in areas that don't cripple domestic industry while pressuring the other economy. this is incredibly difficult against such a large trading partner as China without building up alternative supply of goods or shoring up domestic capacity first. Blanket Tariffs, unless against a small country with small or specific exports, will hurt everyone involved much more than an existing deal. Meanwhile, promises of future gains from a new deal are just that, promises by politicians who already have the largest record of lying to the public and blocking any transparency like in the documented obstruction of the special counsel investigation. Usually, the costs are never made up by future gains and promises fall short if reveal themselves at all.
For steel, it may be that different countries have taken to what they can make the most profit from, diversifying production globally to meet demand. Domestic industry compensates for foreign competition by either doing it better/cheap/more profitable or specializing in ways that competitors can't like massive production of cheap steel foreign competition can't match touch due to high shipping costs or developing and producing a specialty steel that nobody else can match. If this specialization moves to an extreme so one type isn't made domestically at all, that's going to hit consumers and industry hard. It will take time to increase capacity or shift production, potentially away from more profitable and established goods, to meet demand. That lapse in supply could be huge, give US companies a cheap way into that market, but at the cost of further government intervention, higher taxes, and a step away from capitalism which allowed countries to specialize and decrease costs long term. In this example, that supply drop opened an opportunity to other countries like Russia who are conveniently dropping millions on a project in Kentucky. If US steel can't compensate and foreign groups are able to push into the domestic market anyway, what does the tariff do to help domestic industry at all?
We are in limbo then, with goods sitting around or being taxed higher to hopefully get a better deal than what exists. If that falls through, we are all much worse off from all this.