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When will the planned changes to the Chrome API actually roll out to the public?

They'll be rolled out with Manifest V3 which as of last week was "still very much in development" https://groups.google.com/a/chromium.org/d/msg/chromium-exte...

The best estimates would be rolling out by next year, and enforced in probably 2 years. And they will probably change quite a lot until then.

I expect by the time anything actually ships, the API will be extended enough to allow most of uBlock Origin's functionality to stay.