Are these numbers matching predictions?
"forecasts a temperature rise of 2.5 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit over the next century." [1].
I might be wrong but I feel like the temperatures are getting higher quicker than we think.
"forecasts a temperature rise of 2.5 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit over the next century." [1].
I might be wrong but I feel like the temperatures are getting higher quicker than we think.
This fundamental misunderstanding is likely what prevents people from really understanding the impact of global warming. After all, a 2.5° difference is well within the daily temperature variance or every region of the US. It takes a decent understanding of statistics to understand that an 5% increase in an average translates to a very large increase in the frequency of rare events at the extreme.
I.e., a 1 inch increase in average human height translates into something like a 10-100x increase in the number of people over 7ft tall, yet a set of brothers may vary in height by much more than an inch.