Cracks in nuclear reactor could lead to the evacuation of Edinburgh and Glasgow
edinburghlive.co.uk
edinburghlive.co.uk
What could possibly go wrong?
This is called "normalization of deviance", and it's what caused the destruction of the space shuttle Challenger. There is a large number of great articles about the phenomenon.
I don't per se have a problem with them changing safety limits, if we know more about how things behave, it seems sensible. I suppose the question is still, is it safe? Regardless of number of cracks, the design life time, or the actual age.
(I’m not a nuclear engineer and the article doesn’t make the assessed risks 100% clear, though.)
[1] https://www.nrc.gov/about-nrc/regulatory/risk-informed/pra.h...
In this case they likely want a pay check for their members.
This is just my opinion and I’m completely speculating.
While I am sure they are experts in their respective fields, is either actually an expert on nuclear engineering qualified to judge whether these cracks actually are dangerous?
BTW if the reactor is truly dangerous it should be shut down, but we need to keep in mind every reactor being shut down means more fossil fuels being burned and destroying our entire planet’s environment.
In this case we are talking about shutting down a plant that could potentially run for 4-5 more years without decommissioning. I suspect the difference will be made up by coal/gas.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davekeating/2019/02/01/germany-... “Coal, the most emissions-intensive fossil fuel, now provides more than 42% of Germany’s power according to the International Energy Agency – a proportion that has been growing since the nuclear decision. The result is that Germany’s carbon emissions have been growing, while their neighbors’ has been declining.”
Well, it doesn't seem that it is being offset by coal, given that while it has been offline, the UK has also had the longest run of not burning coal for power since industrialisation.
Hunterston is a 1 GW power station and while it has been offline the UK has installed 2 GW in new capacity of offshore wind, if you are looking for what is making up the difference, perhaps start there.
According to https://www.theguardian.com/environment/ng-interactive/2019/...
“Although a significant share of coal-powered energy has been replaced by renewable sources such as solar and wind power, the largest power source in Britain remains natural gas, a carbon-emitting fossil fuel.”
But closing working nuclear reactors always leads to higher emissions. You can replace nuclear with renewables, but that means these new renewables would otherwise replace more fossil fuels.
The anti-nuclear quotes in the article don’t appear to be from people qualified to judge the analysis of the cracks, which is why I mentioned it. Can’t they find an independent expert like a professor who specializes in nuclear reactor design, rather than someone who studies “energy policy”?
>Nuclear reactors generate just over 20 percent of Britain’s electricity and even before EDF Energy said last week it would need to shut down one of two reactors at the Hunterston B plant, almost half of that capacity was scheduled to go offline by 2025.
>“These reactors are over 40 years old. This is a generic defect which cannot be fixed so it would not surprise me if the older plants would all need to close within the next few years,” said John Large, an independent nuclear engineering consultant.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-nuclear-edf-analys...
He was the consulting engineer on the raising of the Kursk submarine - https://www.theengineer.co.uk/british-led-team-gains-access-...
Here's his obituary, he died recently.
John Large, nuclear scientist who oversaw the raising of the Russian ‘Kursk’ submarine from the seabed – obituary - https://www.telegraph.co.uk/obituaries/2018/12/06/john-large...
Perhaps there’s simply a dearth of expertise in this field outside of the industry itself, which I guess would make it difficult for news articles to find folks who could review EDF’s work. Or reviewing and critiquing the kind of simulation described in the article might not be possible, it isn’t clear if they’re sharing the details of the analysis.
I find it tragic that workers (the members of the union) have to weigh between safety on the one hand and their livelihoods (lost income) on the other. These things should be independent from each other.
AFAIK, Beznau 1 in Switzerland is the oldest operating.
There is, apparently, a valid concern over control rods jamming, but there are two independent backup safety mechanisms: nitrogen injection and the release of boron beads into the core (both absorb neutrons.)[1] The plan, apparently, is to install 'super-articulated' control rods to mitigate the jamming risk.
[1] http://large.stanford.edu/courses/2017/ph241/barry2/docs/nks... p.21
As for the potential scenario referred to in the headline, I think that is labelled clearly as a theoretical possibility by the use of the words 'could lead'.
The original headline 'Cracks found in nuclear reactor that could lead to the full evacuation of Edinburgh and Glasgow' is better, but too long for HN, so I edited as best I could. Was not meaning to make it more linkbatey, but is very hard when deleting words from a headline to make it fit.
So, there is a chance for disaster if the reactors are activated again, not from continued non-operation.