Microbots Are on Their Way
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
The only foolish part of your story is over-investing (and over-selling to the media/public) too early before you have any tangible results.
They've revolutionized some parts of how we live our daily lives, though not in the same way innovations like the car, airplane, computer, or cellphone have.
I expect microbots will be similar. After a decade or two of hard work and billions of dollars invested, they will quietly revolutionize some other small parts of our lives. Meanwhile, the rest of the world moves on.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Microelectromechanical_systems...
Commercially MEMS is also very interesting because it’s a branch of semiconductor manufacturing which is dominated by different players compared to the regular TSMC/Samsung/Intel trifecta.
I think the only thing really worth doing in space, economically speaking, will be energy related. Maybe harvesting helium 3 will be lucrative. Maybe (I doubt it) there will be a profitable way to harness solar energy - could be more profitable if we can produce the panels in space by the asteroid they are procured from, but then the issue is transmission.
Actually, there is another thing. I think space tourism could be lucrative. Imagine if you set up a lunar colony for 20b that could house ~1k people with about 200 permanent staff. If 800 people are paying $100k/week (plus cost of transportation) to stay up there, you're making $4b per year. Personally if I were worth in the ~10s of millions I would absolutely shell out $100k to spend a week on the moon so I think this kind of thing could work
There are people who want to go into space to be like Captain Kirk or some other scifi character. Some of them are rich or wealthy and can afford the $100K a week on the Moon.
Thing is a moon-base has to avoid meteorite strikes and other hazards. If the water or oxygen gets contaminated that's it for everyone.
Breakeven D-T fusion has never been demonstrated, at any scale. ITER won't even attempt D-T fusion until 2035, and then you need to figure out how to scale the reactor down until it doesn't cost $50 billion and 50 years to build, and also increase the collision energy until it can actually do D-He3 fusion, or even higher, true aneutronic He3-He3 fusion. Yes, yes, Stellarator, Polywell. Neither have been built.
Or you can just do solar and batteries. Which exist today.
>space based solar
Tom Arnold did the best post on SBS back in 2012: https://dothemath.ucsd.edu/2012/03/space-based-solar-power/ Depending on what downlink power density you're willing to tolerate, how big of a transmit dish you can assemble in orbit, and how big of a receive array you want to build on the ground, you only get maybe four times the power density of the sunlight falling on the ground taken up by the rectenna array.
Awful lot of work to go to just to get four times more power per square meter on the ground.
And if you've got the room for a rectenna array 4 km across for SBS, you might want to just build a regular terrestrial solar array 8km across instead, and save a few dozen billion dollars in launch costs.
1. Sending most of the people there instead of destroying slowly but surely our environment here
2. As an insurance against point 1 failing.
It couldn't have been that many years after Drexler's book got published.
As for the researchers aiming to ban autonomous weapons at the UN, how would instituting a ban actually solve anything? It wouldn't prevent someone in their basement from building them, nor would it be a deterrent to states with a strong military from developing them.
Also, as Richard Feynman pointed out (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4eRCygdW--c) at small scales water is thick like honey so it's probably more efficient to use a rotating turbine mechanism (i.e. flagella) for propulsion rather than trying to shrink paddles down to micron sizes.
And almost foreign material that you put in your body will eventually be covered in bacterial biofilms. So might as well learn how to program and control the bacteria in the first place.
> Challenges remain. For robots injected into the brain, lasers would not work as the power source. (Dr. Miskin said magnetic fields might be an alternative.) He wants to make other robots swim rather than crawl. (For tiny machines, swimming can be arduous as water becomes viscous, like honey.).
At that scale, you probably couldn't have much battery power either. Maybe it'd be possible to power a small microcontroller off of radio signals which also send instructions. They wouldn't need to be very "smart" as long as something else in the room was, like a phone or router or something.
However - No need to have the computing/brain in the robot at all. Equally a group of these robots sharing sensor data would make some central processing design even more suitable and allows the robots to not be limited by just their own sensors. So many upsides with that aspect.
Onboard you would need very limited processing and wireless comms and that would be it, all the intelligence can then be offloaded and would also make such robots cheaper and less energy dependant. More so as with lower power usage, wireless powered becomes much easier, as well as offer a wireless communication channel using ambient backscatter.
> Dr. Miskin worked around the power conundrum by leaving out the batteries. Instead, he powers the robots by shining lasers on tiny solar panels on their backs