Does Employment-Based Insurance Make US Medical Care Unfair and Inefficient?
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People don't realize that a lot of American industry in 1960s and 70s was "regulated monopolies" (Health care, airlines, trucking, telephone, etc). These provide a lot of the benefits that social democracy provides in Europe but was less obviously "socialized".
And similarly, the huge sea change that happened with Reagan breaking regulated industries wasn't and isn't noticed as the huge change that it was (and it is still reverberating through this society).
The thing is, health care is "natural monopoly", it's a situation where competition is meaningless at the point when a person shows up bleed at the emergency room. The process of "opening health care for competition" from the 1970s onward grew a hundred poisonous rent-seeks in every part of supply chain, from medical equipment operators to hospitals to insurance companies. Blaming just insurance companies is a bit misguided after all this. Certainly they play a part but the basic structure of private health care just naturally goes this way unless it either seriously regulated or nationalized.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Cross_Blue_Shield_Associa...
This is a bit of a false narrative. 99% of healthcare is not emergency room, imminent bleeding out. I believe we should have government provided true emergency care for everyone (just like we have fire and police, right?), but for non-emergency stuff (which is most of healthcare), people do have time to shop around and find the best deal for them. The best deal might involve joining a health club like Aetna or Kaiser (these are not insurance, by the way), or it might be saving your money in a bank and paying for stuff piece by piece by yourself, just like we do for just about everything else we need to survive in this world.
A lifetime supply of insulin is much more expensive than setting a broken bone. We are not all equally likely to have cancer or respiratory disease.
Of course people should still have insurance (possibly government provided?) for the very rare and expensive surprises (just like a house fire is rare and expensive).
> regulatory capture, intellectual property
Ostensibly would seem that relaxing regulation and (more importantly) abolishing or heavily weakening medical patents would help drive down costs.
Can you imagine if tech companies could patent their products the same way medical companies do today? Uber would no longer have to worry about finding a moat, their moat would simply be their patent on "digital ride sharing provided by dynamic pricing to predict demand and position supply" (or some similar conceit). Smartphones would all be expensive and Apple would have a monopoly on multi-touch phones with capacitive displays and built-in app-stores.
If food companies could patent food the same way drug companies can patent drugs that they prepare, bread would be expensive and you wouldn't have store brands and generics to keep the price of the fancy Whole Foods bread in check.
Fine, it is a "dramatic illustration" but for even ordinary, ongoing medicine, the average consumer isn't in a position to evaluate the choices involved, there a natural advantage whatever health care provider is in the area, necessary regulation create severe barriers to entry and so-forth.
How could a consumer be in a position to evaluate their physician (and the entire health care process)? The knowledge required is huge. Moreover, once you have an adversarial market situation where the competitors use any means available to present themselves well, the ability of the consumer to do these evaluations will further decline - after twenty years of ecommerce, determining if a random thing I buy on Amazon actually has value is still hard, still a crapshoot (I don't mind having to be careful buying a random thing on Amazon, that's reason tradeoff. For something that could threaten my life, it's not a reasonable tradeoff). But bad health care products and services can kill you.
The usual answer is "we'll find a third party to do the evaluating" but unless that's actually the state, at which point things pointless, you will still have all the corruption of today - insurance companies are the evaluators and aggregators of health care services but they ultimately can't control prices (they can limit services provided but aren't really limiting the price for the services - they don't have an incentive to do so since they take a cut of the services).
Most advanced industrialized nations have a state-run health care system and pay on average half of what the US pays. Health is naturally quite complicated but it isn't impossible to get right. The fundamental problem is that an adversarial system, where every provider has an incentive to wrangle their presentation and to wrangle their position in the regulator system, means, in the specific case of health care, pseudo-competition plus regulation as we have now, doesn't lower costs or increase productivity, it just produces a tide of dubious opportunism as one can see from current conditions.
And a look at present US health would show things are pretty bad - costs are approaching 20% of GDP and given that this is double that of equivalent advanced industrialized nation, that means we're spending 10% of the entire GDP on some combination of waste and inefficiency.
The U.S. is not an outlier with regard to healthcare consumption when you factor in household income[1]. GDP is the wrong metric to measure against.
[1]https://randomcriticalanalysis.com/2018/11/19/why-everything...
That seems clearly wrong given that with US now having a GINI coefficient, high level of income inequality, median household income would be a better thing to measure health care spending, since every individual has to spend money on staying healthy.
The argument generally seems wrong too. The need for health care isn't elastic - if someone need care, they need care and people going without needed health care is a humanitarian crisis (a situation that the US is arguable in - see the people giving free dental in a stadium a few years back).
> That seems clearly wrong given that with US now having a GINI coefficient, high level of income inequality, median household income would be a better thing to measure health care spending, since every individual has to spend money on staying healthy.
The author responds to that criticism in the following comment[1]:
>> Two, I don’t understand why you’re using mean rather than median AIC throughout.
> Several reasons.
> 1) We don’t have good internationally comparable statistics for income or consumption at various points in the distribution...
> 2) When I’ve looked into this I have not found measured differences in the distribution or the median to be particularly informative...
> 3) This makes sense because there is approximately no relationship between individual income and health spending in the developed world, including the United States...
As for your second argument:
> The argument generally seems wrong too. The need for health care isn't elastic - if someone need care, they need care and people going without needed health care is a humanitarian crisis (a situation that the US is arguable in - see the people giving free dental in a stadium a few years back).
I'm not sure I follow your argument. RCA is saying that, as a country, the U.S. spends more on healthcare because we consume more health care than other countries. The U.K. kept their prices low for a long time only because the NHS engaged in intense rationing[2].
[1]https://randomcriticalanalysis.com/2018/11/19/why-everything...
[2] https://i1.wp.com/randomcriticalanalysis.com/wp-content/uplo...
Also, if there's no measured difference in individual household income versus health care spending, well then maybe his pet theory comparing average household income and health care spending isn't very applicable either.
2) "RCA is saying that, as a country, the U.S. spends more on healthcare because we consume more health care than other countries."
That argument is either wrong or tautological. The US spends more on health care for worse outcomes, as many studies have shown. If this person means we buy better outcomes, they are wrong. If they are saying we buy more stuff labeled health care, maybe true but that's because the system is bad, not good.
You're not responding to the complete argument. RCA has looked into finding median measure of income, and not found them relevant to the discussion because (as he says in the third point of the argument) the rich do subsidize health care for the poor.
> Also, if there's no measured difference in individual household income versus health care spending, well then maybe his pet theory comparing average household income and health care spending isn't very applicable either.
But again, mean income is relevant because the important thing is how much a society as a whole puts into the healthcare system. Average is meaningful when the rich subsidize the poor.
> 2) "RCA is saying that, as a country, the U.S. spends more on healthcare because we consume more health care than other countries."
> That argument is either wrong or tautological. The US spends more on health care for worse outcomes, as many studies have shown. If this person means we buy better outcomes, they are wrong. If they are saying we buy more stuff labeled health care, maybe true but that's because the system is bad, not good.
According to RCA, AIC isn't just correlated with spending, but also "the vast majority of socially relevant outcomes and their covariates." [1]
[1] https://randomcriticalanalysis.com/2018/11/19/why-everything...
EDIT: fixed wording in my first response
ADDENDUM: There are charts that show life expectancy to be lower in the U.S. than other developed countries, but that has to do with factors other than the quality of healthcare[2].
[2]https://randomcriticalanalysis.com/2016/11/06/us-life-expect...
As lliamander already mentioned, I addressed this on my blog. Several quick points:
1) International comparisons of health spending overwhelmingly relate directly to mean health expenditures (e.g., per capita, % of GDP, etc). Even if you know nothing of this area it seems most reasonable to compare mean health spending to mean material living conditions (disposable income or consumption)!
2) Individual income and health expenditures on behalf of individuals (i.e., not just OOP) are effectively uncorrelated within countries in the developed world (including the United States). There are clearly large national level effects independent on one's place in the national income distribution, which are exceptionally well correlated with mean income (r^2>0.9), and we shouldn't expect to income of the median person to be terribly informative.
3) We know healthcare to be heavily socialized in the United States and throughout the developed world. Mean income is a much better indicator of overall financial wherewithal than median income. The median just doesn't make much sense from a theoretical point of view. Moreover, estimates of the income distribution and the medians are surely subject to greater measurement error and issues of comparability between countries, so there are practical issues with this as well.
4) More practically speaking, I've run many different regressions using medians, various indicators of income inequality, etc and found little to nothing to suggest the income distribution is an important independent predictor. The r-squared and various goodness of fit indicators suggest these metrics perform less well than the National Accounts-based means I have used for disposable income and consumption. In multiple regression on these necessarily smaller samples (which are easy to over-fit) the coefficient/effect size of these distribution-related indicators are rarely significant, don't significantly improve model fit, and would almost certainly be rejected in lasso or the equivalent.
https://randomcriticalanalysis.com/2018/01/20/on-the-relevan...
5) With other aggregate consumption/expenditure statistics, such as food, housing, transport, entertainment, etc the fit is also (unsurprisingly) much better with my statistics than cross-sectional comparisons of median income, so I'm not sure why you would expect one of the most socialized and most elastic categories of expenditure at a national level (~1.4 as a function of GDP) to be any more favorable for the distributional perspective.
https://rpubs.com/random_critical_analysis/oecd_2014_consump...
There are two distinct claims here.
(1) National health expenditures are overwhelmingly determined by the resources available to households, as measured by consumption or disposable income (not individual income), and these same measures effectively explain why the US spends much more than other countries.
(2) The increase in health spending in the US, as in other countries, has overwhelmingly been driven by an increase in the volume or quantity of healthcare consumed. While healthcare prices have risen they have generally not risen much faster than incomes have in the long run (especially not overall, but even when disaggregated somewhat), and thus cannot substantially explain why the share of income or consumption allocated to healthcare has risen overtime (indeed, the indices published by CMS and BEA indicate that had the quantity of health per capita remained constant the share would have actually fallen over time). This is also mirrored by related indicators, such as the vast rise in the health workforce, slow growing wages in healthcare (average healthcare wage approximates national average and hasn't increased for decades), and so on.
> The US spends more on health care for worse outcomes
So-called health "outcomes" are substantially endogenous (lifestyle, social influences, etc) and these factors vary systematically between countries. Moreover, health expenditure is almost certainly subject to rapidly diminishing returns and there is little to nothing to suggest the broad outcomes people typically cite (e.g., life expectancy) improve systematically with expenditures amongst countries in the developed world.
https://i2.wp.com/pbs.twimg.com/media/DUwPBxoXUAEMCxy.jpg
The pattern of rising expenditure with little or nothing to show for it on the margins in these broad measures may be regrettable, but my point is largely being driven by increasing disposable income, as opposed to idiosyncratic features of the US healthcare system. It sure seems like people really don't like to cut spending in practice and ultimately reject aggressive rationing conditional on income levels.
It seems that if we want to fix our satisfaction with our healthcare situation (in the U.S.), we have to fix a couple of issues:
- we have to mitigate the "endogenous factors" that contribute to poor health outcomes (i.e. people have to live healthier lifestyles).
- we have have to find a way to encourage people to self-ration their own medical spending in a way that doesn't adversely affect their own health outcomes.
Do you think a more free-market based approach to healthcare consumption would fix these issues? How do we address lack of information? How do we address the motivational issues that lead us to both live unhealthy lifestyles and to spend money on unhelpful medical care?
edit: fixed formatting
We may never get it 'right' but we can aim for 'better', and have consensus on what the metrics are. By many measures the US isn't even in the top 10 for health metrics. Given what we pay (hard dollars and % comparison against other countries), that's crazy.
>the average consumer isn't in a position to evaluate the choices involved
Why? Once again I completely disagree with this narrative as well.
There are many, many, many examples of people who go to a hospital and ask at every point whether the services being provided are "in-network" for their insurance company, and yet still find themselves being billed for "out-of-network" services because of some assistant to a doctor or someone who was consulted outside the patient's presence. It's a minefield, even for people with patience and a clear head, which doesn't describe the majority of people seeking medical care.
A quick search turns up a few examples: - http://www.news-gazette.com/news/local/2019-01-20/wondering-... - https://www.consumerreports.org/health-insurance/states-work... - https://www.prlog.org/12766040-hbma-adopts-policy-framework-...
This is a very common issue, so common it is receiving legislative attention.
Oversimplifications don't serve anyone, and mischaracterizations are unhelpful and unwelcome.
1. Laws can correct this.
2. A large segment of consumers paying out of pocket would also result in competitive pressure for hospitals to disclose prices.
Fwiw, I don't have this problem with smaller medical clinics.
Your natural monopoly claim is incorrect. People have choices as to where they get their healthcare, at least in the US. You can always claim a monopoly if you make the criteria strict enough but obviously in the US today people have a great deal of choice as to which healthcare providers they use. Even in an emergency (at least in larger metro areas) ambulances actually have choices as to which hospital they take the patient.
>The thing about employer-funded healthcare after WWII is that for a few decades, that health care was restricted to the Blue Cross/Blueso Shield monopoly [1]
You link to a wikipedia article which says > In the 1960s the U.S. government chose to partner with Blue Cross and Blue Shield companies to administer Medicare.[6]
What about the 20 years before that?
For instance, if you were a billionaire maybe $1,000,000 for a coronary artery bypass operation would seem like a good deal.
Doing those operations in volume lowers the cost but it also makes it possible for doctors to get experience that makes the operations safe and effective. Studies have shown that the main factor for survival in CABG surgery is how many operations are done a year by the doctor and the clinic.
Similarly, you have to treat thousands of people to prove a drug is safe and effective. You just couldn't have advanced treatments for the ultra-rich without these treatments being developed and tested on a large volume of less wealthy people.
The U.S. healthcare system encourages the average person to spend a lot more on health care than they would otherwise.
If it wasn't for health insurance (private or public), very few people could shell out for $250,000 worth of cancer treatment at end of life. Either they would go without, or the market price would be less.
https://www.thriftbooks.com/w/medical-industrial-complex_sta...
https://www.businessinsider.com/inside-indias-no-frills-hosp...
It is crazy that people who get their insurance from an employer get a tax break (indirectly), while those that purchase it on the individual market do not. Also, it messes up the risk pool: more affluent people who get their insurance from work are bound to be more healthier than the poor schlubs who are not affluent enough to get insurance from their job. As an insurance company, I could get away with charging group plans much less than individual plans.
Switzerland, which is basically where the heritage foundation copied what would become RomneyCare/ObamaCare from, does not allow for group plans. You simply don't get your insurance from work, everyone is shoved into the same individual plan market (with some weird probably overthought exceptions, like Post docs....). This very important aspect is missing from the ACA, but would be impossible to remove politically, full on universal healthcare is much more likely.
Then there was the dental. Same plan, same dental insurer... but hey guess who gets a 6-month waiting period on that filing?
Otherwise since most dental work is not an emergency, you would pay for one month of dental insurance in a year you had any work needed, and pay out of pocket for cleanings.
If you had prior coverage and are just switching plans because of employment changes, then I believe the waiting period is waived.
We used to have the same thing with “pre-existing conditions” in health care. You needed “prior credible coverage” to be able to get treatment for an existing condition in the first 6 months of a plan. Again, it’s to prevent people from only buying insurance after they get sick.
> it messes up the risk pool
Only if you believe that it's "messed up" to pay for health care only for people who are economically productive...
This is something I felt would actually help the US move off of Employer based insurance for a while now.
If every person is charged the same amount for insurance regardless of being in a group then we can more easily break from employer based insurance. Especially when I can see X job offers me 100,000 but pays 500 a month for insurance. And Y job offers me 110,000 but pays 0 a month for insurance. I can do the math on which one is better if both plans are the same.
Anyway I'd love for the US to ban group plans completely. In the digital age it should be easy enough to administer a large plan with individuals instead of a group plan. I can see why after WW2 a group plan might have been better to administer, but I think at least most of those benefits no longer exist.
Yes, group plans are not allowed. All residents are in the same risk pool. Also, all health insurance premiums are paid post tax (unless you are poor and get a subsidy).
Employers themselves can only offer accident insurance.
The link is for 2016, but iirc the 2017 trends are similar. Haven't seen 2018 numbers yet.
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.XPD.CHEX.PP.CD?most_...
The bigger issue though is the impact on free market prices as the free market requires competition, but employer group plans force everyone into whoever their employer has chosen - and the employer cost selection is different from that of the employee.
It also drastically impacts the ability for people to create new businesses as getting the required standalone health insurance is exceedingly expensive - again because individual insurance purchasers are not the primary customers of health insurance companies.
At least Obamacare/ACA meant that insurance companies couldn't deny on the basis of pre-existing conditions.
I used to have a coworker that claimed all that was needed was to raise the maximum income for medicare and that would magically solved healthcare. Ignoring entirely that private health insurance companies could choose to deny coverage. My (now) wife literally was unable to get insurance - she was deny by literally every insurance company in CA because she had donated a kidney, and it turns out having a single kidney is a preexisting condition. This was despite her donating a kidney saving an insurance company money.
Did she donate the kidney to someone covered by the same company?
I would argue the lack of transparency in the marketplace and the inability for anyone to make an informed choice of hospitals or what it will cost them (the linked article seems to indicate the consumer has a choice to go to a "nice" hospital or a "not so nice" hospital, but most times we don't have the choice when we need care - it's close to our home. The times we do have the choice (sometimes for birth, cancer treatment, etc) is where you see hospitals investing heavily to get high margin services from consumers.
Does Employer-provided care make medical care unfair? One could argue that employer-provided care with the tax incentive might lead to better resources for an employed person electing that care, but any time money is involved you will likely get better care. EDIT: More succinctly - There will always be some inequality / unfairness in care because there will always be inequality of wealth. I'm not sure explicitly here that employer-provided is the problem or that any subsidized care will create this kind of inequality.
I'm not sure you can argue effectively that granting the same medical care to all as a matter of law will fly because people will always find a way to get better care if they can afford it. Does employer-provided do this at a larger scale? Maybe?
The best way to ensure fairness and efficiency is to get the data out there and available, and make healthcare more like a market instead of a black box.
I’m not sure anyone is arguing that. In almost any country with single payer health care you’ll also find a thriving market in private health care, but they’re typically competing on things like providing private rooms and maybe a shorter waiting list rather than whether you get to live or die.
According to a 2009 study, 45000 people die annually due to lack of health insurance in the US[1]. Due to the ACA there are now more people who are insured but it's still a massive segment of the US population (not to mention that healthcare plans have been covering less and less over time).
The number of people who die due to lack of healthcare is ZERO for countries that have universal healthcare.
Fourty. Five. Thousand. Every. Year.
[1]: https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2009/09/new-study-fin...
And if we're looking at that, you have to look at the other side of the coin. Socialized healthcare systems have much larger wait times and you can find deaths attributed to those, so it's disingenuous to say ZERO people died in countries that have universal healthcare.
More research needs to be done before enforcing such a system on a wide scale in America. There has been data suggesting deaths and suffering related from long wait times in Canada. Then you have the increase of Canadians coming to America to escape the wait times. As well what we've seen with VA and ObamaCare wait times.
> 25,456 and 63,090 Canadian women may have died as a result of increased wait times between 1993 and 2009
https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/bacchus-barua-/wait-times-cana...
Basically you trade the fear of going into debt and not getting healthcare vs wanting to get healthcare and not being allowed to for an arbitrary amount of time. There are more pros and cons to each system, but my point is that socialized healthcare systems has it's fault and certainly does cause deaths in some instances.
> 19.8 weeks between referral from a general practitioner and receipt of treatment
> across the 10 provinces, the total number of procedures for which people are waiting in 2018 is 1,082,541
https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/waiting-your-turn-wa...
That's because in the US, a very large proportion of people go to the ER instead of the normal in-patient process that universal healthcare countries use for non-emergency problems. US hospitals have very long waiting times for ER for this reason. Here in Australia, I've needed to go to the ER before and there wasn't a waiting time (though obviously this depends on the time of day and what hospital you go to).
This is all due to lack of funding and staffing for hospitals, not for any other reason.
> More research needs to be done before enforcing such a system on a wide scale in America.
I'm pretty sure the existence of this system across the developed world is sufficient research to show that it works. Even with these worries you have, the healthcare system would be orders of magnitude better than what you have now.
The design of any health care system needs to acknowledge the fact that people are going to get sick and die even with an unlimited budget, and there is not an unlimited budget.
We can't all get billionaire treatment for our ailments, no matter what system we have in place. We should be adults and accept that
Obviously people will still get sick and die, that's unfortunately part of the human condition. But I reject the argument that life-saving treatments being impossible to afford by ordinary people is something we should accept.
It's just that in this whole debate it seems we never have the honest discussion about how to deploy limited resources - i.e. how to ration care under a socialized system, or how to subsidize care under a free market system.
I believe that if we discussed it from this perspective perhaps the two sides of this debate could find some common ground.
It's curious that nobody ever complains about limited resources when discussing increasing the military budget or "corporate welfare" through tax breaks and bank bail-outs. It leads me to wonder whether it's actually a significant problem in the first place or if it's just another talking point (there is quite a bit of evidence that deficit-spending is not necessarily a bad thing in-of-itself, what matters is what that money is being spent on).
Markets without perfect information are neither efficient or fair; I think it's reasonable to say that no healthcare market can have anything approximately resembling perfect information.
Also the idea of efficiency in healthcare is problematic. Does efficient healthcare means refusing care to old people and to people who need heroic interventions and instead focusing care only on interventions that provide a high return of healthy productive years per $?
I would like a clear articulation of efficient and fair in this context.
As for "efficient" and "fair" I would also be interested in a better definition there, one the article didn't quite provide to my satisfaction based on its question.
It should be noted that the Bernie Sanders proposal actually does allow for supplemental private insurance (for elective surgeries, or shorter waiting times). Most countries with universal healthcare have a private insurance industry, it's just that you get a basic level of care from government-provided free insurance.
It makes those people less likely to switch jobs, or start new self-employed projects of their own.
I don't agree or disagree with the claims, but they're not easily refuted because they're not falsifiable. They amount to "we should do this because I think it's better". It's not persuasive. A better argument would be, "We all want to take care of poor people and improve our economy--we can do both and here is the data". Of course there will still be lots of friction and lobbying and so on, but at least it's a compelling argument.
I don't think it is too easy, to find such facts and figures. Can you give us some links to them?
None of which means it isn't true (it is), or that it isn't important (it is), but that's why it doesn't get used as an argument very much.
How can we know? Because if they were pro small business they would be pro universal healthcare, so that it would be easy to start your own business.
I suspect the "right" is actually sincere. But it so happens that ideas giving more power to private businesses tend to disproportionally benefit larger businesses over the smaller ones (this is a natural advantage of having scale and capital). The ideas surgically targeted to benefit smaller businesses? The "targeted" aspect tends to pattern-match to the "left", so they get rejected. The end result looks like the "right" was dishonest, but IMO it's just the ass-backwards stupid fixation on ideology over problem solving that causes this. And the same thing applies to the "left".
It should be like the green new deal - the economics of eg Medicare4All is similar in that it’d greatly improve life for small business as well as families.
Edit: it's true. If you are a democrat candidate and this is the angle you push, it's not going to work. But you already know that.
Especially - freedom to pick any doctor as they are all in-network.
Family had experience with California PCIP insurance (bridge for pre-existing condition after ACA was voted in, but before it took effect). The PCIP was amazing - PPO-like benefits, using MediCare network (close to 100% doctors take it) and quality services. Of course, unfortunately, the ACA/exchange provided policies are nowhere close to how good PCIP was.
If we could get the PCIP-like option, it would truly change lives for the better.
Any doctor? Doctors can take so many patients. Though it may benefit a large number of people, some may end up worse. Those who have the best doctors currently (because they can pay) may no longer be able to have those doctors.
Second, you're at best arguing that we shouldn't go to a fair system of rationing because it would hurt the beneficiaries of an unfair system of rationing.
And to take this sideways... my favorite health care model is the Japanese system. It's actually quite similar to the American system (private employer-provided insurance, private providers), but with one key difference... a government commission fixes the prices for all medical goods and services. No more negotiating between providers and insurers. So no "networks".
It leads directly to the situation you described. It also leads to costing half as much as the US, for universal coverage and better outcomes. I'll take that trade, thank you.
It wouldn't, but if I needed to get a doctor, I might no longer be able to get a very good one.
Remember that cheaper prices for medical care means the smartest, best people may not become doctors.
> you're at best arguing that we shouldn't go to a fair system of rationing because it would hurt the beneficiaries of an unfair system of rationing.
I don't believe the current system is "unfair". Why is it? Most Americans like what they have; it is the bottom few percent who are unhappy. Is that "unfair"? At what percentage does that become the case? Must most of society change to accommodate a small, dissatisfied minority?
Without government regulation, health care would be much cheaper. Why must I purchase coverage for a hysterectomy or for birth control as part of a plan? I will never need these services. Wasted money.
What of experimental treatments? I know a person who is alive thanks to an experimental treatment that was reasonably priced. All it amounted to was an antibiotic regimen far outside the bounds of the CDC-recommended one, out-patient. The problem with single-payer is that I cannot do that, because there is a single payer - the feds. I may not pay for my own procedures (and my friend would not have been able to do so), even though this was quite affordable, because it was not on "the list".
Fixing prices is a possibility (albeit not one of which I am as fond), though we would need to allow procedures to be done out side of that (for those which were not approved, or for those who could not get availability and could pay). It is basic economics that price ceilings create shortages; who gets treatment? We are back at square one: I think it should be ordered by those who should pay. I trust dollars to be "fairer" than an opaque system, and would rather the coverage I can get be a known quantity than be at the mercy of the whims of a bureaucrat.
My biggest question: why do you want to force those who can pay onto the same plan? That is a part of single-payer that makes no sense. Why not let those who like their existing coverage keep it, as most Americans still do? [0]
There was an article that surfaced about an Indian hospital that had industrialized common health-care procedures. A four-year degree is not essential for these; why is it required? If we commoditize common and routine procedures via removal of barriers to entry, we can greatly increase the benefit without forcing those who like what they have to become worse off and without hurting more complicated situations.
Lastly, the problem with socialized medicine is that it cannot afford to spend beyond a certain amount per-person on average. End-of-life care is enormously expensive in America, but is better than in other places. [1]
Many of us may say it is foolish to spend upwards of a million dollars for a few more years of life, but having spoken to a few dying people, most say something to the effect of that they would give every thing they have for a few more weeks (the exception being those in exceptional pain, those with loss of senses, etc.).
EDIT: Downvoters care to comment?
[0] https://news.gallup.com/poll/245195/americans-rate-healthcar...
[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/cjarlotta/2016/01/19/end-of-lif...
As for the "smartest, best" people becoming doctors... I don't think medicine is a path chosen simply because it's lucrative, in most cases. It's chosen because it's challenging (or sometimes, because it's expected). And those in it for the money are in paths of lucrative-but-socially-useless things like cosmetic surgery. High pay is incidental here.
Why pay coverage for things you'll never use? Same reason I'm paying for your broken arm. That's how insurance works. Spreading the risk.
Single payer systems - like Medicare, for example - are quite capable of covering experimental treatments. Why are you saying they can't? You're ignoring plain facts here. And it's possible that your experimental coverage might not be covered by your private insurer, either. I've been in that boat myself.
Fixed pricing is a far, far more transparent system than the current system of negotiating prices for the same things between different providers/insurers, so the same hospital charges $1.10 for aspirin here and $1.25 there. It also solves the problem of localized monopolies, such as rural hospitals, that can charge whatever they want because insurers have no alternative.
Why force people onto the same plan? Single payer doesn't do that, necessarily. Again, Medicare. There's a HUGE market for Medicare supplemental insurance (I work in that market). Wealthier people can afford additional coverage above and beyond single player. The single payer provides a guaranteed baseline, and covers basics so private insurers can focus on corner cases, extremes, and luxuries.
"End of life care is enormously expensive in America, but it is better than other places." Yeah, Medicare is single payer, right?
Insurance is supposed to hedge against risk. You might need a broken arm; I will never need a hysterectomy or birth control (especially not the type covered by insurance).
> localized monopolies, such as rural hospitals, that can charge whatever they want because insurers have no alternative.
And if the rural hospitals then shut down due to not being able to cover costs?
> Why force people onto the same plan? Single payer doesn't do that, necessarily. Again, Medicare. There's a HUGE market for Medicare supplemental insurance
The definition of single-payer is in the name - there is a single entity which pays for insurance. A single payer. That means, definitionally, no private/supplemental insurance, no cash payments, no nothing. Experimental treatment may not be covered by private insurance, but at least it can be purchased with cash. A single-payer system definitionally precludes a cash option.
> Yeah, Medicare is single payer, right?
Wrong; see above. Medicare is also subsidized in no small part by higher-paying patients; because it often reimburses at below-market rates, private coverage is necessary to pick up the slack.
Hedge against group risk. Why should I pay for your house burning down because it started on your deck? I don't have a deck. That's a terrible way of looking at it. The bigger the group/risk pool, the cheaper it is for everyone.
> And if the rural hospitals then shut down due to not being able to cover costs?
Sorry, that's not how socialized programs work. If there's particular need in communities they receive more funding. Or, the government flies people to nearby communities to seek treatment (see Northern Canada, Svalbard, etc).
> The definition of single-payer is in the name - there is a single entity which pays for insurance. A single payer. That means, definitionally, no private/supplemental insurance, no cash payments, no nothing. Experimental treatment may not be covered by private insurance, but at least it can be purchased with cash. A single-payer system definitionally precludes a cash option.
That's fine. Two tier is also fine. What's not fine is the status quo.
> Wrong; see above. Medicare is also subsidized in no small part by higher-paying patients; because it often reimburses at below-market rates, private coverage is necessary to pick up the slack.
Medicare subsidizes the private market by taking literally all the worst customers out of the risk pool. You've got this completely backwards. Without Medicare private cover would be astronomically expensive or have no margin.
I tried to downshift in 2017 but ended up having a $1400/mo health ins. payment for my family and me and that was more than my mortgage, which was about $650/mo. At least with the mortgage you know your future costs. I have since paid off the mortgage, so if we stay put, I have only property taxes to worry about.
Now, the last question is: What will taxpayers bearing the cost of everyone'se healthcare do to my taxes? The US is $21 Trillion in the hole and counting. I won't be paying much income tax, only taxes on capital gains and dividends.
My only other concern is that food prices keep rising like crazy, so do things like car insurance, homeowners' insurance, bills, etc.
I don't like private health ins--I work at a major provider and I know full well how billions get wasted. However, I think government taking it over is going to be the worst thing the US has seen since probably the Civil War. I'm certainly not paying for it all, you can go figure it out for yourselves.
Do it! We've got more people than jobs necessary anyways, certainly once automation enters full swing.
> I tried to downshift in 2017 but ended up having a $1400/mo health ins. payment for my family and me and that was more than my mortgage, which was about $650/mo. At least with the mortgage you know your future costs.
This sounds like single payer will provide you with freedom.
> Now, the last question is: What will taxpayers bearing the cost of everyone's healthcare do to my taxes? The US is $21 Trillion in the hole and counting. I won't be paying much income tax, only taxes on capital gains and dividends.
Even a Koch funded study found that the cost of providing cover is +/- 5%-ish the amount we're spending on medical cover right now, and other studies have shown Medicare does a better job of controlling costs than private insurers. The way the system would be executed is that the amount employers are currently paying private insurers would be redirected to the public purse, either via payroll tax or via personal income tax, or both. No new money needs to suddenly appear from thin air, it's just getting re-allocated.
You won't be paying much income tax, others will. Dividends are usually treated as ordinary income, FWIW.
> I don't like private health ins--I work at a major provider and I know full well how billions get wasted. However, I think government taking it over is going to be the worst thing the US has seen since probably the Civil War. I'm certainly not paying for it all, you can go figure it out for yourselves.
And yet you were planning to go on Medicare right? People in America seem to like Medicare. Why is it socialized medicine only becomes "good" once you hit 65? It's like parents trying to explain alcohol to children: It's really really bad until you turn 21 then suddenly its really really good.
Here's the study that showed Medicare and Medicaid control costs better than private insurers: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/article/20190211/NEWS/19021...
Do all other OECD countries cover nursing homes for free until death? That's the case when liens apply - not hospitalization.
https://www.aarp.org/health/medicare-insurance/info-1996/are...
I don't think it is entirely unreasonable that medicaid - a medical program for poor people - has the right to put a lien on someone's estate. Normally people on medicaid don't even have estates (or else they wouldn't meet the asset test), but for some reason we don't count house equity for the asset qualification criteria. Very unfair for renters - this at least somewhat equalizes things.
The NHS in the UK does, yeah [1]. In Ontario, end-of-life care is also provided and long-term care is provided for ~$1800CAD per month if you can afford it, and it may be free if not via a combination of CPP, social security and income-based subsidies. [2] In 2002, France introduced universal, income-adjusted, public long-term care coverage for adults 60 and older [3]. The Netherlands does too [4]. The rest of the OECD I'm not sure. Most developed systems do offer something.
The health system really is better pretty much everywhere else in the OECD. And remember! Every one of the systems I mentioned spends less per capita than the US. In some cases like Canada half.
> I don't think it is entirely unreasonable that medicaid - a medical program for poor people - has the right to put a lien on someone's estate. Normally people on medicaid don't even have estates (or else they wouldn't meet the asset test), but for some reason we don't count house equity for the asset qualification criteria. Very unfair for renters - this at least somewhat equalizes things.
While I don't believe in inter-generational wealth I'd argue this furthers the cycle of debt and poverty by taking an estate away from those who could most benefit - the poorest.
[1] https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/end-of-life-care/hospice-care/
[2] https://www.ontario.ca/page/get-help-paying-long-term-care
[3] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4462881/
[4] https://www.researchgate.net/publication/304653227_Long-Term...
http://fortune.com/2017/08/21/bernie-sanders-medicare-for-al...
Being trapped as the vassal of a giant corporation just to not-die is in direct opposition to the very concept of liberty. Being able to quit your job and create your own business is an essential freedom. But liberal politicians are unwilling to market that way, and so the neoliberal political class gets to argue for the preservation of a system that benefits the wealthy and the corporate at the expense of the liberty (and wallets!) of ordinary people as the "free market". Feh.
This argument has in fact been made by a great many liberals and moderates, many times, going back to Clinton's (failed) attempt to pass a single-payer health system.
Particularly if you have children >18.
And if they’re under 18, just make them directors and pay them $100 for attending each monthly board meeting.
Thankfully, they're finally closing the loophole. Many doctors with private practices were reducing their tax burdens significantly by stating that their 14 year children were "medical receptionists". It's ridiculous to grant further tax avoidance loopholes to the already wealthy.
I stopped counting when my medical bills hit $750,000. It is probably double that by now. Again, normal healthy 40 year old guy that rode his bike everywhere who woke up one day with a sore throat that ended up never going away.
I’ve been involved in hiring decisions where HR brought up the healthcare costs to complain, then stated clearly we can’t use that as a criteria for hiring.
I have doubts that human brains can separate out that kind of statement from our actions.
Under the ACA, small businesses all end up lumped together in the same state-wide risk pool, so if my small business hires old or sick people it's very unlikely to affect our premiums. In most places this risk pool is larger and somewhat less morbid than the individual market.
It's not hard to put a dollar amount on the value of employer provided health insurance, and then use that when calculating your total compensation at one job versus another. Functionally I don't see how it's any different than your employer paying you the amount you would need to buy insurance.
Could you expand on what makes health insurance special in this regard?
What is a bit annoying for start-up founders is that health insurance premiums are only tax deductible/paid with pre-tax money if the plan is offered by your employer (may be you).
I didn't understand this until I started my own business. I was desperately trying to find a job during the '08 crash to get health insurance for my family but was unable to find one.
As a last resort I started my own consultancy which turned out to be a fantastic opportunity.
Self paying for health care was a massive barrier to starting my own business.
Once I hired people health care benefits were frequently top of their list in interview questions.
I am really surprised there aren't any online price arbitrage websites for healthcare. You could pay a few pennies to fly across the world to get competitive healthcare at a 1/10th of the cost it would be here.
I believe this is around $400/year of which around half will count as a taxable benefit. I think it’s unavoidable that there will be a market for this type of premium services, and I don’t mind. The public healthcare has to operate efficiently on cost so doctors and equipment needs to be fully utilized and patients thus need to queue. A doctor I can se within 24h doesn’t have a full schedule, so is likely an underused - and thereby a luxury - service.
Whether a healthcare system is “fair” isn’t a simple question, but whether it’s sane can be answered by a few test questions such as “can a contracting a serious medical condition eve be a financial disaster?”.
Don't get me started on them using the Mean(!!!) household GDP of $155,000. (just to clarify: using the mean here dramatically misrepresents the average American because the mean includes billionaires. the median for 2017 was $61,372)
It's also odd to me they stop short of saying it doesn't currently exist because of the regulation/subsidy scenario outlined. It makes me think the analogy is disingenuous in some way.
Maybe there are other objections to be had, but that's the one that jumped out at me immediately.
>Of note, there are more than 10 Walmart stores for every Whole Foods store. The opposite is true for medical care as most physicians and hospitals strive for high standards and very few concentrate on lowering costs.
That puts things in perspective for a layperson - if 9/10 grocery stores were Whole Foods, the 1/10 Walmart would not be nearly enough to serve the poor population.
So for the user (as opposed to the insurance company), the value of the insurance is not to on average be covered. The point is to always be ok if you get ill.
Where I'm getting at is that employment is a thing that isn't always a given. You're going to be between jobs at some point in your life, and you don't want a potential huge bill to wipe you out financially. Even if it is just for a short period, it ought to worry you that you aren't covered.
I get the feeling most of the debate just glosses over this with the average case, which is that most people are going to be just fine not being covered for a few months.
Anyone who loses health insurance coverage due to losing their job has the option to buy COBRA within 60 days of losing their health insurance. If they do buy COBRA, it is retroactive to the day they lost their health insurance. So you really do not need to be worried about being wiped out (unless the cost of COBRA would wipe you out) as long as you get a different job within 2 months.
Sure, it probably had some additional benefits that my basic plan doesn't, because my employer got the extra super gold plus plan, but if you're only buying it for a few months to avoid being wiped out in case the worst happens, then you probably don't care about that.
My recommendation is to never buy COBRA, unless there is a specific element of the plan that you need, and you have a short timeline to getting a new full-time job with comparable coverage. Otherwise, it's just hundreds of dollars extra you're spending, for features you don't need, right at the time when money is tightest.
Obviously, if a person already has some condition, then they're buying health insurance for a very different purpose, and none of this applies to them.
Right, as I said though, the coverage is retroactive to the day you lost your health insurance. So if you have a heart attack a month and a half after losing your job, you can buy COBRA after having the heart attack, and you won't have to pay for the heart attack.
COBRA coverage is 18-36 months, depending on circumstances. Only long-term unemployment (or having no savings, which is of course a bug deal) prevents health insurance coverage after employment.
For many people, having no income means they cannot afford the $500+/month it will cost to continue their coverage.
Absolutely agreed, but it is peace of mind if you know you're going to be between jobs for 2 months or less.
But this affects everyone except the rich. Therefore government should step in and insure everyone even those without work.
Government should support people taking reasonable business risks such as starting their own business.
The premiums are also increasing much faster than cost-of-living or inflation, too, even though the benefits are unchanged. It's like the insurance companies are trying to price individuals out of self-employment.
This is another instance of a common case: it's really expensive to be poor! Tying insurance to employment is a "hit 'em while they're down" situation.
Similarly, we don't have socialized single-payer food or housing (though countries have tried that). Why do we think that is the only solution for better medical care in America?
US average household income is ~$75,000 so to pay for that as a flat tax, that would be a rate of 37%, just for health insurance.
But state/federal governments already pay for about 40% of all healthcare, and charge a good deal of taxes to pay for it. If they were paying for all healthcare it would mean adding a new 22% payroll tax to make up the difference.
If you had a $1,400/mo employer plan you’d likely be paying a lot more than $1,400/mo under single payer.
And the employer made the choice on the best provider they could get at the best wholesale price.
The employer is incentivized to get the best provider for the best price to attract employees.
Employers shop for insurance, employees shop for jobs with the perks they want (pay, insurance coverage, etc).
EDIT: you're usually given a packet before accepting a job that goes over their healthcare plans. At least in the two instances I have been in the job market, I was.
And it's good for the employer to pick a plan that has the best coverage for the best value because they want to attract employees to them over their competitor.
Best for the employer, not for the employee. In addition when you start a job you can’t really evaluate health insurance choices.
Fortunately, some gains appear to be occurring to side-step the entrenched hospital provider networks. A huge number of urgent care centers have begun springing up, at least in this area, which are perfect for everyday healthcare needs. I can walk in with no appointment, pay the $25 co-pay, and see a doctor about bronchitis or poison ivy or get stitches for a minor wound or an x-ray without waiting an absurd amount of time in an overburdened emergency room, or waiting a week for my primary-care to have an open appointment. For the most part, if you tell them what is wrong, they will do what you ask.
It's more like going to get your car fixed, or taking your dog to the vet.
Then again, I'm not on a whole battery of prescription drugs, which seems to be increasingly unusual, so I don't have to deal with the hassle of going back regularly to get chronic prescriptions re-issued.
That line from the beginning just melted my face. I knew it was bad, but I didn't know it was that bad. Filing this factoid away for later!
* employer-based insurance being a 'Whole Foods'-like product best for the rich that's nonetheless been encouraged by the government, while the 'Wal Mart'-like alternative has been encumbered to the point of disappearing.
* how would we raise our $3.5T health costs if they were war reparations required of the US from a foreign conqueror?
> the contribution made by employers to the premium is exempt from the employees’ taxable income. This exemption cost the US Treasury an estimated $300 billion in 2018.
is just very disingenuous. Does the lack of an air or sunshine tax also cost them money?
Let's be clear on one thing before starting, it's just a benefit for employees, just like any other kind of benefit offered, for example the aforementioned matching 401k retirement fund. Some employers have fabulous benefit packages, and that is fine. Another related topic here is how medical insurance used to be mostly about avoiding costly emergency room visits, which back in the old days would sometimes result in bankruptcy. And, that is fine, because bankruptcy has replaced debtors prison, and we maintain a civilized society, but I digress. Insurance used to be a safety net to avoid financial ruin in the event of an emergency, but somewhere along the way it morphed into an all-invasive pervasive part of medical maintenance care, I.E. yearly dental cleanings, or primary care physical exams, etc.. Consider this, Medical insurance used to be just like automotive liability insurance, it paid out when there was an expensive accident, but auto insurance does not pay for oil changes and windshield wiper fluid. Well that is kidna what happened to medical insurance, it's morphed into a pervasive maintenance plan, and at this point the maintenance aspect is what is most defining about medical insurance. Paying that small sum of money every month is super worth it when that ultra rare accident happens requiring an emergency room visit, but this same model does not apply well when it comes to maintenance, because then you get people with pre-existing conditions who are effectively uninsurable, because this is not a Hippocratic oath, it's insurance (I.E. business) for avoiding bankruptcy by way of emergency room visit.
Still, it was an interesting perspective on insurance as an employee benefit. Not sure about the foundations, but the analogies with grocery stores was amusing.
And thats what doesn't really work. When your health is a "benefit for employees", you're in a bad spot.
> Emphasis is on specialty and subspecialty care, expensive technology, extra capacity to facilitate access (US hospitals have an average occupancy rate of 65% compared with an average of 76% according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development), and more and better-quality amenities, including space and privacy in the hospital.
These sorts of cross-country comparisons are really important in helping to understand why U.S. healthcare costs are so much higher. During law school, I would study at Northwestern's Womans' hospital, which was next door. It was a beautiful facility, a brand new glass-and-stone mid-rise with spectacular views: https://www.nm.org/-/media/Northwestern/Images/locations/pre.... Non-profit facilities elsewhere in the world are often quite a bit more pedestrian. (You see similar differences in university and college facilities.)
> Countries that have national health insurance come close to this solution by having a flat tax on retail sales or on value-added sales that is initially paid by business firms, but is eventually passed on to consumers.
This is an incredibly important point. In the U.S., the "health care debate" is actually two separate debates. One is about how to structure the health care system. The other is about income redistribution. While many in the U.S. want to see the U.S. have European-style medical care, there is almost no traction for proposals that would pay for it in the same way Europeans pay for their systems.
The leading proposal for universal healthcare in the U.S. right now seems to be "Medicare for All." Medicare is paid for by a 1.45% tax on income, with no cap on the taxable income base. Contrast Germany, where people are required to purchase public insurance at a cost of 15% of income (half paid by the employer), but those making above about $70,000 are exempt from the mandate and tax and permitted to buy private insurance. Or Spain, where health care is paid for out of the general fund, which in turn is heavily reliant on a 21% VAT. (If the U.S. had the same mix of income/corporate/sales taxes as Spain, income taxes would go down a trillion dollars, while sales taxes would go up two trillion dollars.)
In the U.S., replacing sales taxes with a 20% VAT--the OECD average--would raise a trillion dollars. Easily enough to pay for universal health care, and a very typical European way of paying for universal health care. Yet, there are zero serious proposals in the U.S. for such a measure.
There's also the 0.9% surtax on income > 200k.
Medicare spending is ~20% of US HC spending. So if we wanted to expand medicare to cover all HC spending we'd need to 5x the tax. 2.9% * 5 = 14.5 or basically what the tax is in Germany.
Obviously lots of caveats to that calculation, but it's a nice "in the ballpark" sanity check.
Multiple protected classes? Sounds like a lawsuit.
"Oh, we pay you an inflation-adjusted equivalent of 1980s $50K a year so you should be absolutely devoted to us."
Yeah, whatever.
Do we need a 200k/yr gatekeeper to basic antibiotics? Or would an experienced nurse be able to figure out the difference between bacterial and viral?
Do we need a nurse cleaning patients? Or is that a job for unskilled labor?
Government licencing has gone too far, and has created artificially low supplies of health insurance workers. This was driven by incumbent healthcare workers.
Nurse practitioners are a 6 figure/yr job.
Pfft. Doctors will give out antibiotics to treat viral infections just to shut people up. E.g. somebody goes to the doctor for the flu and demands antibiotics.
From the title was hoping to see employer-based insurance compared against better market-driven individual-based insurance.
Instead it's yet another privatized vs socialized insurance analysis. (Not that it's not interesting...was hoping for something new.)