Blow up: how half a tonne of cocaine transformed the life of an island
theguardian.com
theguardian.com
Do these “entrepreneurs” understand the risk they take, or do they pretend to themselves that there is no risk? Excepting where there is coercion, is it big balls or small brains?
I’d love to hear from a smuggler to hear how they manage psychologically the huge downside risk of being caught. Do you have to be a neurological outlier to undertake this sort of project?
Here's an interesting passage from Power and Plenty:
> in 1594 a "Company of Far Lands" was organized by a group of Amsterdam merchants, and a fleet of four ships sent to the eastern seas, returning in 1597 with the loss of one ship and many lives but with enough pepper for the voyage to be regarded as a success. With this encouragement, two fleets with a total of twenty-two ships left in 1598, one of which, commanded by Jacob van Neck, returned with eight ships and sufficient spices to turn a profit of 400%, causing the bells of Amsterdam to peal with joy.
Today, sending out 26 ships and getting 11 of them back might not be a cause for celebration in the city that sent them out. This is the industry that gave rise to modern insurance companies.
To an outsider, it might as well all be part of the same institutionalised neurotoxin industry.
(I actually know a few guys who went the failed trader -> IT dude route)
Yes.
>I’d love to hear from a smuggler to hear how they manage psychologically the huge downside risk of being caught.
I would recommend the first seven or so Jay-Z albums.
"I had to hustle, my back to the wall, ashy knuckles Pockets filled with a lot of lint, not a cent Gotta vent, lot of innocent of lives lost on the project bench Whatchu hollerin? Gotta pay rent, bring dollars in By the bodega, iron under my coat, feelin braver Doo-rag wrappin my waves up, pockets full of hope Do not step to me - I'm awkward, I box leftier often My pops left me an orphan, my momma wasn't home Could not stress to me I wasn't grown; 'specially on nights I brought somethin home to quiet the stomach rumblings My demeanor - thirty years my senior My childhood didn't mean much, only raisin green up Raisin my fingers to critics; raisin my head to the sky Big I did it - multi before I die (nigga) No lie, just know I chose my own fate I drove by the fork in the road and went straight"
https://www.azlyrics.com/lyrics/jayz/renegade.html
"Now all the teachers couldn't reach me And my momma couldn't beat me Hard enough to match the pain of my pops not seeing me, SO With that distain in my membrain Got on my pimp game Fuck the world my defense came Then Dahaven introuced me to the game Spanish Jose introduced me to cane I'm a hustler now My gear is in and i'm in the in crowd And all the wavey light skinned girls is lovin me now My self esteem went through the roof man i got my swag Got a volvo from this girl when her man got bagged Plus i hit my momma with cash from a show that i had Supposedly knowin nobody paid Jaz wack ass I'm geting ahead of myself, by the way, i could rap That came second to me movin this crack Gimme a second i swear I will say about my rap career Til 96 came niggas i'm here Good-bye...
Good-bye to the game all the spoils, the adreneline rush Your blood boils you in a spot knowing cops could rush And you in a drop your so easy to touch No two days are alike Except the first and fifteenth pretty much And "trust" is a word you seldom hear from us Hustlers we don't sleep we rest one eye up And the drought to find a man when the well dries up You learn to work the water without workin thirst til die YUP And niggas get tied up for product And little brothers ring fingers get cut up To show mothers they really got em And this was the stress i live with til i decided To try this rap shit for a livin I Pray i'm forgiven For every bad decision i made Every sister i played Cause i'm still paranoid to this day And it's nobody fault i made the decisions i made This is the life i chose or rather the life that chose me"
The point they catch you in the supply chain is not the ocean part, it's what you do with it when you arrive or intel from picking it up.
> huge downside risk of being caught
People climb cliffs all the time and handle the risk of the rope breaking and dying.
What if you have a fit in a car and crash (Or someone coming the other way does), is that hard to handle? Death is way worse than being caught with drugs.
Look at people doing lottery, etc. Poor uneducated people tend to do it. If people are more educated, they will tend to avoid unnecessary risks (in part because stable jobs = eventual goal achievement).
I can assure you that education has nothing to do with it. Educated / better off people will take similiar risk/reward decisions just at different point of utility function.
What is different is that having a little more money gives you some breathing space and allows you to optimize risk/reward over longer term which usually is leading to smarter decisons.
Of course I imagine people who are knowingly moving millions of dollars either are reckless risk takers or think they can outsmart the weather, law enforcement, mechanics and whatever else can go wrong.
Maybe I'll do it once (good luck quitting) and buy a house or whatever. Odds of getting caught in any one event are on the lower side. If you deal for year, then you have DEA and FBI after you.
One of the biggest exporters of cocaine in recent years was FARC, a Columbian rebel group that acted as the de-facto government of large areas of Columbia. Their operation was sufficiently sophisticated that they built their own submarines. If you're part of an armed rebel group engaged in a brutal civil war, being arrested for drug trafficking isn't anywhere near your biggest worry.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narco-submarine
At this scale, individual psychology isn't particularly relevant. It's a self-reinforcing culture of drugs, violence and obscene amounts of money that subsumes individuals. You might as well ask about the individual psychology of an infantry sergeant in the second world war - his mindset is a product of the war, not vice-versa.
Just to make clear, makeshift submarine smuggling is not a new phenomenon. One was found abandoned in 1988, first one to be seized was in 2006, and, "by 2009, the U.S.A. detected as many as 60 narco submarine related events".
"The narco-submarines can cost about $2 million USD and take upward of a year to build.[16] Despite the costs, some of the craft are intended for one-time use, being abandoned at sea after a successful delivery. After all, their cargoes carry a street value of up to $400 million. On other seized craft however, officials found zinc bars used as sacrificial anodes, reducing corrosion on metal parts exposed to seawater.[17] As corrosion would not be a concern on a single trip but is a factor influencing long-term durability, this is a clear indication that multiple use was intended. This, in turn, opens up the question of any illicit return cargo, like weapons, that they might carry back to Colombia."
Really interesting article.
As foretold by Metal Gear Solid.
Germany, Italy, Columbia.
The "entrepreneurs" who simply come from the same pedigree but who has access to both capital and network with capital that propels them to force the transfer of wealth through deception, including imitating the attires of those that have successfully convinced us they are the good guys, whose popular products produce so much human misery in another country where people couldn't care less about.
Similarly, that same banality we feel towards another far away country, can be amplified towards anything in life. If you ask a criminal why he did it, the answer you get is very much the same as a consumer--"because the opportunity existed". To you it may mean indifference to the children to adults working in horrid conditions overseas, to a criminal, that same indifference is just far more profound and pervasive. Literally a criminal will describe robberies, scams in full pride-just like you they were indifferent to the suffering and damage caused around them, instead these were "opportunities" that they took advantage of because no other options were desirable.
My 2 cents in reply to your question.
When I graduated and was getting ready to move to CA, I had mentioned to my dealer that I was moving and was obviously pretty broke as I had not started working yet.
He told me he could hook me up with a one time job to drive an escalade towing a boat filled with MJ from CA to the midwest and I would be paid 20k.
I thought long and hard about that and ultimately decided it was a terrible idea. However, if he had made that offer to me a year or two before, I probably would have taken it. For someone like me, 20k at that age is a massive boost.
It probably doesn't take many problem-free ocean crossings before a solo sailor starts considering the possibility of carrying illicit cargo while doing what they've already been doing largely unnoticed.
Make a quadrant chart of ways to make money with assets. The X-axis is margins and the Y-axis is overhead costs. You could even add a Z-axis for weight as you need the ability to transport a lot for scale. There are very few assets with comparatively low overhead costs, high margins, and low weight.
You pretty much just have only drugs, share dilution and - as of this decade - cryptographic tokens. They all pretty much invoke the same highs.
Worth it.
Reading the above does make me wonder whether smugglers like in the Guardian story have access to some sort of dark web insurance policy which pays out if they are caught. My guess is probably yes because the market abhors a vacuum.
Well, they could now, but I don't really think the market is that mature.
Larger organizations behind drug-peddling conglomerates are adequately hedged and diversified and can withstand a big shipment failing.
Think the number of people willing to risk their lives helping some foreign smuggling contact they've just met for a couple of weeks' minimum wage income back at home (it's a lot easier to understand the incentive structure for locals in poverty or gangs than Western backpackers...) is rather higher than the number of cereal entrepreneurs though...
George ran a (very) successful business here in NL and in Belgium, made a lot of money and was doing just fine. Then in a short period of time his wife died and his business took a hit both from competition, regulation and because he wasn't paying as much attention to it as he did in the past.
One thing leading to another the business failed. George panicked a bit being left behind with a child to take care of and a huge drop in income so he figured what's the harm in taking a boat filled with pills into Australia. That didn't work out too well and George is now on an extended visit to Australia, I don't think we'll meet again in this lifetime, that's how long his sentence was.
Now, before you judge: George was in every sense of the word a start-up type, serial entrepreneur with a lot of hustle and in general doing just fine. All it took was a couple of cards dealt from the bottom of the pack to turn him into a criminal.
So no big balls, no small brains, just plain old desperation and momentary lapse of judgement. If not for that you'd all be proud to swap places with him. The really sad person in that story is the kid, first to lose mom and then dad effectively too.
The question of how to handle children who lose their sole caretaker to prison is a real issue without easy answers: https://www.themarshallproject.org/2018/12/03/how-incarcerat...
https://www.loc.gov/law/help/children-residing-with-parents-...
It's a small world and not all curiosity is good, the basic story does not change and the whereabouts of the child are about as private a piece of information that I possess.
There are better ways to try to publicly discuss such things. If someone actually cares about the welfare of the children, they shouldn't have a problem with being told "this is not a good question to ask." If they have a problem with it, that tends to say something about their actual priorities.
(also responding to jacquesm)
I think there are ways to answer the question that don't compromise the privacy of the child. And I mostly disagree with jacquesm's that the outcome of the child is "nobody's business".
This is a touching anecdote that humanizes a drug trafficker. There are lots of valid questions on how the laws around drugs should be structured and enforced. While anecdotal, being told "the father lost legal custody and the child is now a ward of the state living in a foster home" may impact how people think about long-term incarceration as a solution. And if this answer is "the child is living with his loving grandparents and doing well", while still anecdotal, this may have a different but equally valid impact.
But while 'jacquesm' is under no obligation to answer, I don't think it's wrong or necessarily impolite for 'orthoxerox' to ask about the outcome for the child.
As for George, it’s also unfairness that one mistake has such deep ramifications - particularly when drugs are so widely used and accepted in Australia. But also, I feel George may have failed to price in the risk of being caught.
Initially he was supposed to escort someone else doing the smuggling and get paid, but then the job changed. He said no, so they threatened his safety and his younger sisters safety who was also studying in Canada. He got caught and sentenced to years in jail in Australia.
It helped me say "nope" to the opportunity to launder money while I was homeless and being given no legitimate opportunities and generally being pissed all over by a world that wanted me to know I didn't deserve any legitimate opportunities. I got the memo in a rather harmless way that the past never really dies. You can't just do a thing just this one time and pretend "It's in the past! It doesn't matter!" Life just doesn't actually work that way.
A lot of people seem to learn that a much harder way. Until then, some people figure that what you don't know won't hurt them.
Lots of money gives you influence to reduce the risks.
Its a reaction based worldview, where you do not control your own destiny, and wealth is something drained from you, that comes in large quantities by chance.
You do not manage what you got, slouch through a horrible existence to slowly improve yourself. Because that is what the others do, the chancers feed upon. The people who lead that life, are the customers of the drug dealers, those who have the chance to get ahead at the cost of others.
Riches are taken in large quantities by others, with stick up like scenarios- your landlord squeezes you for everything you got, the repair shop rips your wallet open, any accident makes you a indentured slave to the insurance company.
So in a hopeless life, daring to hope, when you get a risky chance, seems actually reasonable.
I would assume they’d tell you the chances were low enough to take a risk.
But $11M / 250k is less than $50, no?
> Before Quinci’s cocaine had washed up on shore... the flow of drugs was usually small and predictable. Often when the police made a seizure, they would make such a dent in the drug supply that local prices would skyrocket. But now police faced an unprecedented situation. As well as the 500kg of cocaine they had seized in the previous two weeks, Lopes thought that at least another 200kg were still unaccounted for... that summer, [the village] became a hub for the sale of the missing cocaine. “People from all over the island came here to buy drugs,”... A product so valuable in the rest of the world was rendered almost worthless through abundance. “They had gold, but they didn’t know how to work with it,”... Other Azoreans “were selling beer glasses full of pure cocaine”... Each one of these “copos”, which were about a third of a pint, contained about 150g and cost €20 (£17) – many hundreds of times cheaper than what it would cost in London today... [a] man had apparently paid a friend 300g of cocaine just to charge his phone...
The effects were mostly cultural and affected mostly public health. There were some economic capital accumulated (used to "build coffee shops") but I thought the article did a good job with the subverted expectations and providing an overview of some long term effects
I can't confirm this. The economy seems to be fine (same like other regions).
> are advised against going there without protection
Really? I can't seem to find any travel advisories that confirm this?
Reminds me of when a copy of the New Testament reached the Inuits on Belcher Island...
"The hunting was poor in Canada's Belcher Islands in the winter of 1941, and a meteor shower led some Inuits to suspect the world was coming to an end. It was around this time that a 27-year-old tribal shaman named Charlie Ouyerack proclaimed himself Jesus Christ, and anointed his pal Peter Sala—the tallest man on the island who also happened to be the best hunter and ice navigator—as God..."
https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/vvvm44/how-two-men-used-t...
I felt that while spending time in the Azores but I can feel it anywhere. Now I think it's quite lucky if a person never wants to leave and feels content.