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Anyone announcing that the first generation of their motor will start hot-fire testing this year and be ready for service by X date is a liar or a salesman. There's many a kaboom between test and ship.

The other dates are to match the current NASA bid timescale, so they're pure marketronium.

Based on Bezos' psychology I'd guess that Blue Origin are under tremendous pressure to meet timelines, especially at the cost of trying anything fancy. Bezos is going to be solid in this game if he's able to apply his basic tool set. Plus I'll bet he's feeling fairly triggered by SpaceX. They will attempt to scale faster based on spreadsheet thinking. If SpaceX tries to compete with that, they will fail. They will need to refocus on innovation as soon as it becomes a numbers game.

but hasnt spacex done more? i feel like blue origin is actually behind.

Considering the amount of money Bezos has, Blue Origin is far far behind. They only achieved suborbital flights with low-speed reentry landings.

Blue Origin is more likely to hit their targets, but SpaceX is more likely to actually do anything relevant.