The State of American Trade Schools
popularmechanics.com
popularmechanics.com
I can also confirm that some of the heaviest weight on my heart is the friends I have that struggle to maintain basic health insurance and employment despite having a biology or chemistry degree. I don't know what the solution is, but I feel bitter about the kids sold down university avenue with nothing to show.
So if I could say anything to the kids its this. We are hiring. We are hiring for work you'll be paid well for and a job you can be proud of. Welder, plumber, mechanic, these cannot continue to be four letter words. Talk to your vocational tech schools or your guidance counselor.
Then there's also the usual questions you should give your friend: are you sure that this dealership knows you want to become a mechanic? Are they just wanting you to be porter? Are you friendly with the head mechanic and the mechanic staff or are you more friendly with the sales part of the dealership? Does the head mechanic know you want to become an apprentice? Have other porters become apprentice mechanics at this dealership?
It also is worth asking if the mechanic's shop is an hourly or flat rate shop. A flat rate shop maybe not be the easiest place to get an apprentice compared to an hourly shop where taking an extra five minutes to explain something is not going to cut another mechanic's pay.
That having been said if your friend is young I'd absolutely recommend trade school. Its relatively inexpensive and based around regular adult working schedules for the most part. 2 years is always faster than just hope, but if not, definitely hold management accountable for offering that hope. Make sure its known that buffing fenders is his temporary goal and ask about the requirements for apprenticeship often, if there are any.
I didn't think about it much then because I was dead set on getting an engineering degree, but I've had this feeling about 4 year colleges for a while now. I saw so many people at my state college (~30,000 enrollment) that had absolutely no idea what they wanted to do, lacked the skills to be effective in college, or were in a degree program that had no job opportunities. I saw many of them drop out after 1-2 years, but also saw ones that remained and got their degree. Now they are tens of thousands of dollars in debt with nothing to show for it, and the people who did graduate are in more debt with no good job prospects. It feels like we were lied to about college by all the adults in our lives.
There is a reason why so many people don't want to learn a trade: because they know it sucks. For every anecdote I hear about some tradesman living the good life, I can give them three about miserable workers who can't get out. Work is inconsistent, you lack much of the security and benefits that other jobs offer, it tears up your body, and working conditions are often poor. My dad had to do carpentry for months with a broken hip, because he couldn't afford to take the time off after surgery. My uncle--another carpenter--lost his job, found work in a factory to pay the bills, and lost three fingers in a machine. I briefly worked in a sheet metal shop, and many of the workers had carpel tunnel in both wrists, arthritis, and bad eyesight from all of the welders in the shop. I saw a flare from a TIG welder as I walked by someone's stall with the curtain halfway closed, and my eyes burned and watered halfway through the night. In another job, I cut off the tip of my thumb on a circular saw while building a deck. I'm a statistician now.
Learning a trade, along with the almighty STEM fields, are not the solution to the college problem; they are a red herring. The real issue is that a college degree is used to screen applicants for almost every good paying, secure job in the US, regardless of whether or not a degree is really necessary to do the job. College became more available, and any entry level worker with a degree had an edge in the job market, which forced everyone else to go to college to stay competitive.
In my mind, telling people to skip college and learn a trade because someone they know makes good money at it is like telling people to skip college and start acting because they know an actor that makes good money.
I agree that the prestige of a college degree has been watered down, but that is simply a supply and demand thing. If there aren't enough workers with a college degree, then the employer will hire people who don't have one, especially if the job doesn't actually require a degree.
Wouldn't you say this is a bit 20/20 hindsight-y? You can be an A/B+ average student in HS and be completely out of your depth in college, depending on your course choices and rigor of the institution.
I didn't realize until maybe sophomore year that I perform better in applied scenarios rather than theoretical. I'd fail my stats midterms because I didn't understand hetero/homoskedasticity, but I would ace the final project because it gave you a dataset that you were supposed to analyze in STATA to answer specific questions. Got a B- overall though, due to the bad midterm grade.
Now, I'm not the kind of person who would fall into the typical "college isn't for you" category, but I did still graduate in 2009 with a 5-figure debt load, an average GPA and a recession economy. I'm sure there were tens of thousands of students like me. We likely have paid off the debt by now and are gainfully employed, but we still question the value of the degree in terms of both financial and time-based opportunity cost.
Yes, your situation is pretty rough as far as college grads go. My brother graduated a few years after that, but luckily got a job somewhat quickly as the economy was slowly rebounding. Maybe it is 20/20 to talk about this because not many people saw that recession coming. Kids entering college in 2004 were seeing a good economy, and that affected the cost/benefit for them.
Now there can be two reasons for that.
1. Skills learnt while getting the degree
2. The degree is a proxy for things not learnt during the degree. Think which things improve business value? General aptitude. Connections. Perseverance.
To the extent that 1 dominates, increased college attendance is great. To the extent that 2 dominates, increased college is an expensive signalling game.
Which is which? A little rule of thumb I have. If jobs require a degree from a good school, but the subject doesn't matter, then it's mostly signalling. If jobs require a particular degree, but the school doesn't matter as much then it's probably dominated by 1.
If interviews in the profession focus more on live demonstrating skills it's probably more 1. If interviews in the profession focus on telling a story that puts you in a good light it's probably 2.
How many people can a field absorb? Is it a fairly constant need of x carpenters are needed per capita to supply everyone with furniture (risks turning to signalling game about those fixed opportunities)? Or is it the more people we have, the cooler things we can build, the sky is the limit (clear this bar and your good to go)?
Is there a immigration of people in the field because domestic schools are not capable of meeting demand? That indicates a skill gap, 1. It can also mean the job is so shit no one wants to do it, but differentiating those cases should be simple.
For poor/lower-middle-class students college is mostly b.s. and you can be doing the exact same job for half the wage because you don't have the connections to get the high salary.
Also, by the time they hit college, kids are already highly differentiated, and this affects their access to the more fructifying opportunities in college. There's this giant Sorting Hat, and it's called Math.
So I don't deny the wealth effect, but I don't think it's fully explained by connections.
totally true. but even the dumbest children of wealth will end up in six-figure jobs while the average ones will be top corporate lawyers, sales people, or professors, and the extraordinary ones will be CEOs. The smartest poor kids can excel in college and get the same salary as the dumbest rich kids, but will never move up the ladder because they lack the network.
(and even more clear when considering how degrees from some institutions are rated higher than others).
[1] https://thinkprogress.org/the-harsh-reality-of-being-an-auto...
Good on him for being open about earnings. Most Americans are not so transparent and I wish I had known that many trades offer similar earnings potential to most careers for 4-year degree earners.
Reasonable people can disagree on causality, cost-benefit, etc. but the association between earnings and educational attainment is definitely real.
- Carpenters: $60/hr
- Electricians: $75/hr
- HVAC Mechanics: $82.50/hr
Almost every item on the list pays better than a typical STEM degree.
[1] https://fortress.wa.gov/lni/wagelookup/prvWagelookup.aspx
Working a paid 40 hour week, 48 weeks a year, for 60$ an hour for even 10 years in a row is extremely unusual for a carpenter. Owning your own company can result in more stability at the cost of non billable hours. Working for someone else means being at the whims of the economy and or weather etc. Injuries or heath issues present longer term issues.
PS: Granted you need some flexibility as highly specialized work is always less stable over the long term.
The advice for programmers who turn freelancers is to bill at double your hourly salary. Reverse this equation, halve those numbers.
Now, throw in the wear and tear on your body, potential for a life-changing injury, and trade school doesn't look like a meal ticket to prosperity. It's a way to make a living. Better then unskilled work, but that's not exactly a high bar. Pushing papers 9-5 for $25/hour suddenly doesn't look that bad in comparison.
Not in Seattle. During my exposure to the construction industry, I am the only person I know of not in a union.
Why not have both? The American College of the Building Arts awards a 4 year liberal arts degree with concentrations in masonry, timber framing, forged architectural ironwork, and other programs.
And with the fire at Notre Dame, there is assured work for graduates for generations helping rebuild.
As for masonry itself, it's in decline. When he sees new brick buildings, for example, none of them have bricks that stick out a bit over openings (doors and windows mainly) to ensure that rain water and snow melt drips away from the bricks below. As a result, the structure ages much faster than it would if it were built right.
Since then, I've spent a lot of time looking at brick buildings. It's easy to spot old versus new now.
I wonder how much skill and knowledge has been lost to the idea that college is the best way to learn things. I also wonder how that could be regained. Most of the people who know such things are dead, or nearly so.
This could be particularly useful if we're entering an age of sudden disruption as far as jobs and career paths goes where a career that once was might be gone (or greatly diminished) tomorrow. Provided business are willing to recognize and hire those people.
The camp was through my local university, but really they had bought a snap in program from an outside company.
The course was basically front end to back end via, HTML - CSS - JavaScript - Node - React (in that order). There were other items covered but those were the big focus. Little to no CS, CS theory, algorithms or anything like that. IMO it does a good job getting you started in a specific area and a place to keep learning / jump off from.
My instructor was great, his assistants were horrendous (couldn't help with anything, seemed disinterested, straight up were terrible at debugging).
If someone puts in the extra time (and they make it clear that you HAVE to put in extra time outside of class) a capable person can come out of the camp as IMO, a useful entry level web developer with potential and a good place to learn from. I have kids so my life for that time was basically, class - take care of family - code - sleep ... repeat. Actually I've kinda kept that up for a year now.
I had a technical background (network engineer) for a long time and was working with engineering teams and had done some scripting and reading about coding here and there. Even just a little background can help a lot in a a class that throws things at you quickly.
Other folks without a technical background could do well too (one was an accountant, another a director of some sort of organization, some worked odd jobs but were capable folks).
The catch in my class was that they do NOT filter candidates in any meaningful way and that ws arguably the worst aspect of the class. There was a test but I think it was more of a sales pitch (it was virtually the same test as several other camps in the area).
I'd say at least 50% of the class was unemployable, and the worst of it was they were often on everyone's team for group projects. These people were often a net negative impact, they just couldn't do it couldn't finish their own work, and created more issues than helped. I don't look down on them for it, because how do you know if you ... don't know? I think they were brave for trying. But IMO the class should have done evaluations and invited some folks to save them self some time and move on but of course that might involve a partial refund so ... doesn't happen.
That might sound like I'm talking smack about folks in order to talk myself up, but having a class with people who are either not trying (shockingly there were those) and / or not capable really disrupts the flow of the class and the amount of material covered. Everyone struggled at various points in the class, but some from week two and then constantly from there on they were so far behind it was never going to click.
There's a lot of "everyone can code" out there, it's BS, everyone can write it, but troubleshooting and coding and getting a good outcome is another matter.
Despite the negatives I have good memories of the class, it was a great experience. I didn't have a traditional education and I loved going to class every day and working with everyone. I do wish the class had gone about twice as long and filtered out candidates (as someone said, it's a bootcamp, shouldn't people be booted?).
I think the bootcamp system can be useful (let's put aside the robots and AI for a bit) but I do worry the companies involved might be so profit driven that they make it ... less useful for society as a whole.
One side note, a few students decided to go back to school for a traditional CS degree and they really appreciated their bootcamp experience on top of getting into CS where they felt the theory can get a bit deep and academic. They feel their fellow students (and some professors) maybe can't see the forest through the trees / what they're actually learning as it would apply to actual programming you might do when you apply that theory.
I've worked with some great CS grads since graduating and they're good guys, most know way more than I do, but no amount of CS can make up for deciding that "I have no idea what is going on, I'm going to dive into the code and see where it goes until I figure it out." Quite a few just want to ask someone, and then ask, and then ask, and ...
I wish I had a CS degree and if it was an option I would do it in a heartbeat, I think it is a far superior path. But I do think the boot camp system "can" work, for the right people.
It makes me wonder if there's a way that the public education system could offer something semi accredited (and publically funded) in the boot camp "format" for software education, and maybe alleviate some of the challenges you mentioned. My classes certainly didn't slow down when people struggled or weren't trying, those people simply weren't around for much longer (or mostly weren't there in the first place.
Anyway - very glad that it's worked out for you, and I think you're spot on with the questions bit. At the end of the day, there's too much to know out there, so all one can do is ask questions and stay curious!
I absolutely think a given university could come up with a good boot camp like program. How willing some folks in say a CS department might be is another matter, but there is no reason they couldn't create such a program and dramatically improve it pretty quickly.
I think an accredited system would be a great option to lend some credibility to the system / stand out from the for profit systems that are questionable. It might also address one of the challenges being that even some recruiters I talked to had no idea what a coding boot camp even was.
A combination of targeted AI and good old-fashioned process automation are going to put a lot of white collar workers out of work; including software developers at the lower end of the skill curve.
I'm not even sure most office technology's helping that much. I suspect most of the efficiency gains from tech have been in a handful of "knowledge" work areas, and manufacturing. Plus new markets. The rest... might actually be losing everyone money.
Short term, it seems to eliminate workers. Shortly after those workers are eliminated, truth on the ground has changed, and now there’s an ADDITIONAL cost to updating the software, which is harder and more expensive to do without the workers that have been eliminated.
This allows for rapid development of functional integrations delivering real business capabilities — without the overhead of an SDLC. It helps wrangle shadow IT tools into a manageable system and generates lots of structural data on how the actual users of the system interact with it to guide investment in feature development. The RPA scripts with little / no value will naturally fall into disrepair, while the valuable ones will be maintained / improved.
I promise you, it’s way cheaper this way. Software teams stop getting inundated with one-off feature requests that take a ton of work to coordinate, scope, evaluate and test — even if they never get built. Business users get to eliminate time-consuming manual processes. Also keep in mind the first jobs to get replaced by RPA are the ones that have already been shipped offshore... An RPA team for a large enterprise is usually only 2 or 3 engineers and an army of BAs and PMs — but they’re replacing a bunch of individual projects that no longer need to be staffed.
To be fair there are already a lot of services that do this. They are just so commonplace we don't think of them as automation. And they don't allow super complicated setups so they're definitely not quite there yet in the general case. I'm thinking of Wix, Squarespace, basic wordpress.
The SaaS marketplace became so crowded that companies sought out a wide range of differentiated niches and automated a lot of specific use cases.
Aside from the job losses we've lost a gateway into our industry for graduates.
Of course, the fact that the smartest people in the world do exactly that is in itself part of the problem...
Purdue started implementing ISAs[1] but they're crazy expensive. Hopefully the university system can get closer to the value of the education instead of a multiplier on the students' results. Minimum payback threshold is also only 20k[2] which is absurdly low. a/A has a higher minimum threshold that seems more humane to me (50k salary for in-person cohorts and 60k for online cohorts).
[1] https://www.purdue.edu/backaboiler/FAQ/index.html [2] https://www.purdue.edu/newsroom/releases/2018/Q4/purdue-rese...
Looking back, I can see where working with your hands would have been a lot of fun. No doubt you hit the ennui inherent in any profession. Maybe the right answer is to start over every ten years.