Elon Musk affirms that Tesla will have full self-driving cars by end of year

If Musk actually made this claim, he can look forward to a massive shareholder lawsuit in 2020 if Tesla fails to deliver anything less than Level 5 self driving vehicles. As they have yet to achieve Level 3 driving (and arguably, even Level 2), he's basically looking down the barrel of a gun.

It's going to be a horrible year for the employees unlucky enough to be working on "self driving" tech at Tesla. Look for a lot of employee departures over the year.

At this point, I don't believe a word Musk says. Someone must have forgotten to tell him about "the boy who cried wolf" when he was a boy.

Did he really make this claim? I didn't listen the podcast.

If true, this sounds completely unrealistic especially with the way Tesla is approaching self-driving cars. It's possible that Musk will showcase something within year, but I'm certain will not be a full self-driving car in any meaningful sense.

If there is betting market with well defined bet terms, I could bet some money on it.

I call BS. There are just too many variables that have not been solved. The biggest variables are the random drivers that decide to do something stupid. Look at how hard it is to drive in a stormy or heavy snow day for humans. How will cars handle that?

Also, people are going to want self-driving cars to be perfect never mind that most drivers are far less. So, just by pointing these few items out of many more that still need to be solved means that we are ways away from the goal.

Musk needs to define the stages that will be possible over time and promise that rather than full self-driving by end of the year. He's defining reality by what he wishes will happen rather than what reality is.

He promised coast to coast in 2016

Where can I have an online bet? I'm not kidding

Who cares? Musk is so full of shit.