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I couldn't agree more with you on this.

I often see good, actually simple solutions get turned down due to people saying "that's too complicated for what we need", only to later hear, after a couple of months in production, that nobody wants to touch the codebase anymore since it's unapproachable and the rewrite will not happen due to high risk since it's critical production code now.

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There must be some bias here in what your remembering. Are the projects that didn't need to be extended, simply doing what they need to, sticking out in your memory

You might be right and maybe there is some bias in the projects which I chose to think of. Certainly there are many projects that don't require the same amount of thought from day one.

What I'm referring to in my previous comment is when people underestimate the complexity added by the easy and quick solution today vs the high cost over time. Specially in critical projects.

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