I was worried for this over the past few days (thanks, YC! ;) ), and reading the thread below see others are as well, but the main solid data I could find against the yield curve predictor (which the original article doesn't mention) is that it doesn't hold up in other countries:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/an-inverted-yield-curve-is...

So, if you're a start-up in the U.S. and are worried about the yield curve, just move to Germany, where even though the yield curve is also now inverted there, the historic evidence shows no to weak prediction of a German recession due to an inverted German yield curve!

#possibleSpuriousCorrelationFromDataMining