> if you remove MCAS, the plane should be easier to predict
And the prediction is: the plane would then not pass the "is it safe?" tests which don't exist "just so" but to make sure that the plane can avoid to crash as soon as something small and insignificant happens.
Without the MCAS the input from the pilot would lead to plane failing easier in higher angles of attack. The MCAS was added to avoid that. So MCAS should work and should not have a single point of failure, as long as 737 MAX flies. MAX is indeed less stable in higher angles of attack.
All Boeing claims "they can simply turn it off" are misleading. The plane is actually more dangerous without properly functioning MCAS. But to properly function the sensors have to be redundant and reliable, and the control that activates it too. And the control software which deactivates it should also be smart enough that "activate/deactivate" cycle isn't itself the crash cause, which is what it looks like was what directly caused the last two crashes:
- the sensor used was only one, i.e. was not redundant.
- the control software blindly trusted it.
- the software, apart from blindly trusting the input of the sensor, was not even properly tested in the condition of the faulty sensor, specifically, the impact on the pilots.
- the whole feature of MCAS was intentionally downplayed, and even hidden initially, to hide the fact that the pilots would have to train for the conditions in which MCAS fails (it can happen, as it at the end depends on mechanical and computer devices) -- the pilots have to be trained to "save" the plane without MCAS functioning, even if the plane is less stable. Note: MCAS should properly function as much as possible to minimize the chance for any small error causing big crash, but in the case when MCAS is not functioning the pilot still has the chance to save the plane only if he is trained exactly in the simulator which simulates the plane with no MCAS (when the controls don't behave "normally", which is what MCAS provides when working). That kind of training was not made at all because the selling point of MAX was "it's the same old, no need to pay for pilot's training." (Or maybe, then the pilots would know that the chance to save the plane was so reduced that they would complain more about the overall plane design?)
- the decision to "just let pilot turn it off" was based on the false assumption that the faulty MCAS behavior is "obvious" to the pilots so that they turn it off easily.
All that was not implemented in Boeing 737 MAX.
By the way, the sensor looks like this:
https://aviation.stackexchange.com/questions/2317/how-does-a...
And the need for the redundancy was commonly known also before the crash:
"The AOA values are never averaged. Depending on the AOA computer, logic is used to determine if one of the vanes is giving bad data"