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> Even today you can tell that mediocre programmers are earning good wages

Today mediocre programmers still provide value, that's because there are not yet good enough tools that would make these developers obsolete. These tools are coming within the next 10 years.

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Speaking as a competent but unexceptional programmer, I find this an alarming claim. Have you any links to worthwhile articles/research on this topic? If I really am going to be thrown on the developer scrapheap, I guess I should start thinking now about how I'm going to keep a roof over my kids' heads.

I'll believe it when I see it. So far none of the website builders, low code platforms, rapid app development tools, etc. made a dent, and not for lack of trying.

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