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Comment by raverbashing | Hacker News Reader

That reasoning logic is the kind of strawman that we can expect from frequentists :)

Both crashes have been explained and it's bleeding obvious that they do not relate to the plane in itself.

Have they been expained within days of the crash? Last I heard the exact circumstances of 370's crash is still unknown. 17 took several years for the official report to come out.

In the case of MH17, there were strong indications it had been shot down within days at most, and once the Russian-backed rebels let investigators into the area, one found pieces of wreckage showing shrapnel damage. Hardly consistent with a defect in the airplane.

Official doings take time; if I went out in the street and killed someone in plain view of lots of witnesses, it would still take years for a final verdict to be passed in the courts - yet there would be no doubt as such as to what had happened.

In fact, potentially for political reasons, an intercepted communication between Russian rebels in Ukraine and Russia based military was released within hours of the crash on youtube

It was released so quickly that some even thought it was Western propoganda, but all evidence points to the plane being shot down by a BUK

Yeah the exact circumstances are not known but it was clear after a couple of days that MH370 did not fly its designated flight plan and instead flew a different path and actively avoided detection.

The plane was shot down on July 17th 2014. The day after several reputable Dutch newspapers (MH17 was a Dutch/Malaysian code share) already reported strong suspicions of the plane having been shot down.

One day.

Of course the official report took longer, but there was never any suspicion of technical failure (except on Russia Today).

It was obvious on the same day, as Russian media touted the video of falling airliner debris (which they thought was a Ukrainian military cargo plane).

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