Average comment karma of the poster plays a significant role in determining comment order.
Based on the formula you just gave, my average should be 3.27, but it still shows 2.55.
I realize it's a bit of a meaningless metric, but it's something I've been idly pondering for a few days.
"There's a background process that runs every 45 seconds and picks a random loaded user to update the average of. Empirically, not more than every couple days, at best."
Maybe I wasn't as confused as I thought I was.