Sentencing guidelines for Aaron were 6-7 years. A single wire charge on max penalty could be 20. All you need is one judge who saw WarGames to want to make an example out of the kid.
I don't know what the probability is. You don't either. Likely no one did. But that probably has weight.
It's disturbing: the callous indifference to that weight by those who question the exact kilos from an arm chair expert point of view.
This whole thing has parallels to other situations:
A Powerful Group is responsible for a system that perpetrated an injustice.
Members of the powerful group are confronted with the injustice. Members have the following reactions:
Denial (high dissonance)
Disgust
Apologists
Apologists do the same thing: They minimize, deny, question and speculate.
What apologists of all kinds don't realize is that even if they are right, they are wrong.
The callous indifference shown, instead of the guttural understanding of something wrong being needed to be made right... is what is so hard to understand. Even if your argument that the official numbers are overblown by x%.