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> millenials will be paying for the older generation's retirement and healthcare via Social Security and Medicare

My guess is younger generations, once better politically ensconced, will flip the script on boomers by funding broad social benefits out of social security and Medicare. (For example, by reducing Medicare benefits while making them available to all age groups.)

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This won’t happen until the boomers numbers are much smaller then the milliennials.

The boomers will be a unified block all voting for social security and health care for the elderly.

Everyone else will be split around various special interests.

So maybe in 20 years?

> Everyone else will be split around various special interests

I think you’re overestimating the probability of this factor. Twenty years isn’t a bad estimate, but I’d guess closer to 10.

I think you're underestimating the fact that the boomers will be a bunch of sick old people literally relying on millenials to take care of them in nursing homes.

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