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I'm just an armchair general, so take this for what it's worth. I view US vs China in the same way I view Japan vs US in WW2. At the start of the war, we're going to start with the maximum amount of resources. We have more "Kinetic" energy. But I personally think China has more "Potential" energy. Unless we win in the first volleys of the war, I think China could very reasonably extend the length of the war, and ultimately win.

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> China has more "Potential" energy

America mines its own minerals and pumps its own oil. China cannot. This was the same weakness Japan had. In an American-Chinese conventional or proxy war, among the first Chinese targets would be its ports, pipelines and oil tankers.

> America mines its own minerals and pumps its own oil. China cannot. This was the same weakness Japan had. In an American-Chinese conventional or proxy war, among the first Chinese targets would be its ports, pipelines and oil tankers.

Russia also pumps oil for export and shares a land border with China. It's also relatively friendly to China and relatively antagonistic to the US.

China has no blue water Navy and can't feed it's own population without importing billions in food.

US would blockade Brazil and stop exports of soy and corn to China. China would starve within months if not weeks

China has zero force projection ability

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