TAE says net power from fusion in two years, commercialization in five
forbes.com
forbes.com
He said if that worked out, they had no more unknowns, all they had to do after that is increase the temperature more and that was easy, just add more heating. There'd be no more barriers to commercialization.
I guess it worked out.
Their first net-power reactor will be D-T fusion. With the boron fusion they're ultimately shooting for, there's an insignificant amount of neutron radiation, and they won't need a turbine to extract energy, which will be mostly in the form of fast-moving charged particles. That would make it a very cheap and practical reactor.
Mind you based on their claimed timetable shouldn't Lockheed be producing a working prototype about now?
TAE has the largest fusion reactor in the U.S. They've been at this for 20 years, present at fusion conferences, and get papers published in serious journals. They achieved stable plasma several years ago.
The actor was one of their earliest investors, but others have included Paul Allen, Goldman Sachs, and the Rockefellers, totaling $700 million so far.
Why did Forbes break with tradition?
In any case, the estimates come from the company CEO.