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I think Mark Shuttleworth is taking bold steps to ensure that Ubuntu is well positioned for the future. He's creating differentiation between Ubuntu and other debian-type distributions and he's potentially mapping out a route to new platforms.

It does seem like he might be a gambling man though.

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Maybe gambling is too strong a word. He's not in it for the money, but to create a viable competitor to Microsoft. So not taking this "gamble" and sticking to the status quo would be actually be the riskier strategy for him.

If it backfires, it doesn't take him that much further away from achieving his original goal.

It may seem bold but is well supported by Nokia (and Intel). MeeGo will use Wayland. Qt is being ported to Wayland. Nokia has firmly moved all its dev money squarely in this space. Recent moves show this is not an experiment or a side project for Nokia.

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