Sedans Aren’t Dead, American Sedans Are
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
Profit margins on US made trucks have been much larger than autos for a long time(mostly due to this tax) and I imagine that all the marketing of the US auto companies over 40 years to get people to buy them instead of sedans has had quite an effect. Once a large number of people are driving tall trucks and SUVs, driving a car is much less comfortable, as you can't see past the truck in front of you from a low sedan.
[1]https://www.automobile-catalog.com/car/1965/787220/ford_coun...
This all combined to kill off the station wagon.
They had a scene once where he drove a jag, and the top bezel around the windshield was right at eye level.
Safety regulations make cars heavier and efficiency requirements make them more aerodynamic. End result is that I cannot physically fit in an Accord without reclining the seat.
Germans, Dutch, even the Spaniards are taller on average than Americans.
So Americans are either more muscular or more fat than Germans, either of which would make them larger.
Personal anecdote, my 6'3" friends have no problem fitting in my Porsche Cayman with several inches of headroom to spare, and that's about as short as German cars go. I think the Germans just prioritize vertical space in their cabins more than the Japanese.
if you're in your car for 2 hours a day commuting, driving the kids around, etc, then bigger is better and more comfortable
Overall, driving a truck is much more stressing than a car.
Germans are slightly taller on average than Americans, and the Dutch are pretty well-known for it. Both are countries where the VW Golf is the median vehicle, and the Focus is one of its main competitors.
$6-7/gallon gas probably does cause people to put up with stuff that they wouldn’t if fuel were commonly $2.50, though.
Worse though, are my tall kids. One is expected to be 6'10" soon. Does he just have to buy a bus? Getting a car would be preferred.
Cars that are compact/economy cars on the US market are midsize/midmarket here, and that might be why little things like very height-adjustable seats are in them. The Golf/Focus (plus Auris, Astra) segment is extremely competitive in the EU.
Huh. Just realized that most cars here don’t have prominent grab handles.
I've heard this position from a number of people and never really understood it. It's usually related to the ability to see over other vehicles, but in times of higher traffic density where that would be most useful, there are almost always numerous larger vehicles on the road that still significantly limit vision.
I've made cross-country trips in everything from a sports car to a 1-ton van, and definitely didn't find the van's height to be an asset in terms of comfort.
The Fusion was a joy to drive; the Expedition was a chore. Squishy driver's seat, soggy handling, and of course, three times the fuel consumption of the Fusion hybrid.
If I recall properly, the North American Fusion is a slightly reworked Mondeo, which is considered a nice-ish car over here, and would also explain why I thought it was nice: we have a Fiesta and just sold my diesel Focus wagon.
Sorry to see that just when Ford seemed to have figured out that their European division designs decent small cars, they’ve given up on bringing them into the North American market.
(I'm not referring to height)
36.2% obesity, 12th place. Beaten mostly by small island nations. It's still the 1st most obese western country.
Americans are big. They also have more fat people than other western nations.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/earthnews/9345086/The...
BMI doesn't account for muscle mass. If you have decent muscle you're overweight according to BMI.
weight only < BMI < caliper measurements
Any article that equates fatness with weight is not accurate.
In this article[1] "Measuring Adiposity in Patients: The Utility of Body Mass Index (BMI), Percent Body Fat, and Leptin" you can see this dramatically illustrated in Figure 1 [2]. The upper left quadrant (different colors for men and women) is the most populous. It contains the people who are obese by body fat percentage but not BMI. The lower right is the least populated. It contains the people who are not obese by body fat percentage but who are flagged as obese by BMI.
The small fraction of the population that have devoted such attention to the cultivation of muscle over other goals, such as athletic performance, are surely well aware of their body fat levels and are unlikely to be impacted by this edge case in BMI measurement. (Their excess muscle may also not be healthy for their cardiovascular system.) Dismissing the utility of a easily applied and highly sensitive screen like BMI is a mistake, both for individuals and for public health.
[1] https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal... [2] https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/figure/image?size=...
> Men and women in the United States also experienced a growth spurt, but to a lesser degree. In 1914, U.S. men were the third tallest in the world, and U.S. women were the fourth tallest. But despite increases in height of 2.2 inches and 2 inches (6 cm and 5 cm), respectively, U.S. men are now ranked 37th and women are ranked 42nd, the study found.
https://www.livescience.com/55580-tallest-shortest-people-in...
Obviously - one gets used to these things. In India - typically for example whole family does not go to pick one up from Airport. Babies don't have to be ferreted around in cars that much. Furniture delivery is almost always free in India whereas in US either you have to pay extra or pick up.
The Avalon probably has 80% as much noise on the freeway and if you set the cruise control to 80, the sedan is going to get 2x-3x better MPG and the Avalon costs half as much as the Tahoe.
What's the adage about a fool and their money?
The chicken tax and the "cool" factor / branding must play a role over and above the raw utility of hauling lots of people, surely?
But really it's a longer story than that. Minivans had previously replaced station wagons, and the crossovers of today tend to look like a cross between a minivan and a wagon.
Their aero isn't as good as a car but it's better than a truck based SUV.
Fold the seats and you've got a trunk only slightly smaller than a minivan without the 3rd row.
AWD SUVs are readily available and generally the standard. FWD is generally reserved for people who want to go out of their way to be economical about it.
Trailer hitch is solved with $300 and a trip to Uhaul (or for the mechanically inclined: $120, Amazon and a 30% chance of needing a drill). With modern horsepower and brakes you can comfortably tow some stupidly large stuff with crossovers so long as you've got a weight distribution hitch to take some of the weight off the rear axle.
Crossovers do nothing great but they do everything passably well, just like the station wagons of the 1950s-80s they replaced.
A lot of whitewater paddling friends actually favor minivans because they find them more convenient for lots of gear and shuttling people than SUV configurations.
I would NEVER recommend a minivan to anyone, ever.
I have two kids, and we're thinking about a third, so we're looking around at options to replace our sedan. Here's what I've decided:
- SUVs with a third row suck for anyone in the third row, and they get horrible gas mileage - few sedans and SUVs are big enough for two car seats and a booster - minivans are expensive and frequently have annoying mechanical issues
I think I've settled on the Mazda 5 because:
- three kids + cargo (fold down one back seat) is doable - reasonable gas mileage - comfortable for six adults (going out with friends with a babysitter at home)
Unfortunately, they aren't making them anymore. I really have driving SUVs and trucks, but sedans are too small for my family now. Minivans, while completely "uncool", are the best option for people who need to haul people and stuff at the same time.
Store extra rows of seats in your garage until you need them.
I like being elevated from the ground, especially in bumper-to-bumper traffic. It's comfortable to sit up. But it's big and consumes gas, and we also have a subcompact. So the van mainly lives in the garage and we use our bicycles for getting around when we can.
People have told me that they got a "crossover" or SUV because the minivan carries the soccer-mom stigma. But damn, talk about utility.
The average family size in the US is a hair over 3 (two parents, one child, roughly). In 2017, light truck sales were roughly double the sales of cars.
You measure average and no one is average.
1 - http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2015/05/07/family-size-among-...
And sure, technically you can fit five people in a sedan, but it ain't comfortable in the slightest, especially when you have carseats. An SUV or minivan is much more practical for this 40% chunk of US families.
And as mentioned elsewhere, it's not always just the mom/dad and kids. You might have the family dog, band instruments, friends, non-core-family relatives, a month's worth of groceries, etc.
Plus, even as one person, I've gotten a lot of good use out of my Highlander because I can fold down the seats and haul relatively-large things (like furniture) and keep the seats up and drive people around without having to own two separate vehicles to do it. As a bonus, AWD and all-terrain tires means that I can do these things during snowstorms and/or on unpaved mountain roads with relative safety and ease compared to your run-of-the-mill FWD (or - worse - RWD) sedan (the latter activity is niche, for sure, but the former is typically routine for vast majority of car-owning Americans living north of the Mason-Dixon Line).
And if you want to be able to transport anyone else (kids have a friend coming over, give someone a ride, etc, etc) you need a 7 passenger vehicle?
How is that "quite small"?
I feel this is part of what's changed in the US: the 70s station wagon worked for 3-4 kids in a row, but to fit 4 enormous small-person seats you need a minivan.
We have two kids (oldest is four and still in a booster) and we're considering a third, which is also making us seriously consider a larger car. We'll either need a larger car or a smaller car seat because we cannot currently fit three seats in our sedan (or at least, I don't think we can).
Kei cars only seat 4 people, but people do squeeze 5 in on occasion, especially when it comes to kids.
Of course the sacrifice is the complete removal of crumple zones...
So, there are regulations pushing people in the direction of large homes and large vehicles.
So just don't tailgate the car in front of you and then it doesn't matter. If the only way you're going to be able to stop in time is if you can see past/through the car in front of you then you're not driving safely to begin with.
The proper following distance is around 100 yards, and at that distance you should have no trouble seeing around an SUV.
- seeing around trucks/SUVs parked near an intersection - turning right at a red when there's a truck/SUV next to me - finding parking spots in a parking lot dominated by trucks/SUVs (Costco is the worst) - seeing at night when there's a truck/SUV behind me (headlights)
It's quite frustrating, especially since I'm in a part of the country with tons of lifted trucks and massive SUVs (Utah).
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ford_Transit_Connect#Tariff_ci....
But if this same tax discourages (say) Toyota from importing SUVs, then they must count as trucks always, even when configured for passengers. So this loophole doesn't help them.
I thought CAFE was a major factor, as (if I understand right) it discourages big powerful cars, but is silent on trucks including SUVs.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/10677911017828311...
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/10677926101804564...
I think it may have more to do with selling fuel efficient compact cars and sedans at a loss in order to sell enough to offset the poor economy of the American Truck™ and meet CAFE requirements.
I suppose it helps American manufacturing and creates jobs. I don’t like “trade wars” but import taxes are not all bad.
In my opinion US trucks are the best SUVs are great but too large for what folks use them for. Japan is good with both cars, suvs, and trucks but they are lackluster on the inside. German cars are my favorite but they are expensive to maintain and unreliable. American cars are terrible unless you like muscle cars.
Sad.
EDIT: I should add that really the Volt is not a 'sedan', but a 'liftback'. Far more utility out of the trunk than a typical sedan. My medium sized dog even fits back there.
They also just don't seem to want to make enough of them or ship them to markets where people want them. Canada was starved for inventory all last last year. None went to Europe. Asia, where they'd make a lot of sense, got only a smattering. And they don't seem to be improving on this.
The fate of the Volt and Bolt together makes me entirely skeptical of GM's claims to making a transition to EV production. I used to be a big advocate of GM's EV designs -- they're technically excellent -- but I don't think I can get behind the company at all. I'm somewhat tempted to sell my Volt and get a Honda Clarity PHEV.
(I rather like the styling of the Bolt, actually)
The new Prius models look like somebody took a spaceship from an 80's B-movie and decided to model a car from the concept.
The Clarity looks as if they took an Accord but then punched it in the lip. And then they tried to make the back look like a Prius for who-knows-what reason.
The Bolt and the Leaf look like they're just trying to scream "Don't take me on the highway!" at the top of their lungs. But then since that's basically true--they're made to be an efficient commuter car--the styling was probably never going to hide that.
Even the Model 3 has a bizarre look to it, but I'm not sure if it's just because I'm used to expecting the hood to look a certain size which is simply not justifiable if you don't have to fill it up with a gas engine.
Then you get the other end of the spectrum, where they try to retain the styling of the gas equivalent as much as possible, so you've got the Kona EV continuing to have a grill but it's actually closed and painted.
It's probably somewhat lose lose. People are used to styling that makes sense for gas cars and so practical decisions for EVs lead to "abnormal" styling. As they become more popular we'll probably get used to them.
I don't really find the Clarity or Prius or other EV's offensive looking. They look just as boring and uninspired as most other modern cars to me.
Prius like shapes are associated with hybrids (they were one of the first), so there is some part of the market that says I want people to know I'm environmentally conscious. Hatchbacks are pretty convenient however...
For the other automakers, my cynical opinion is that they dont wan't people to like EVs. "Don't make me change my business model, EVs are ugly. See this EV? Ugly. Buy this beautiful car over here instead, which happens to not require retooling of my production line."
They lose several thousand dollars on each car, so the reluctance to expand production is perhaps unsurprising:
https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1107604_gm-loses-9k-on-...
Yes, there's no way it's as profitable as a Silverado or Equinox. But the only really expensive part in them is the battery pack, and volume production of that could bring it down.
GM _did_ sign a deal with LG Chem to open a big new battery plant in Michigan. Not sure what the status of that is. I believe battery supply is the fundamental constraint on Bolt production, not demand.
Couldn't agree more.
To add - my parents were in the market for electric cars and were evaluating the Bolt as a serious option. GM turned them away, including refusing to take a reservation and said "check again in 6 months when the new model year comes out". Seems like the production was very intentionally capped, and there was little effort to retain their business.
The cars exist because various governments have made electric/hybrid/whatever quotas that need to be met. The minimum required number will be sold. In some jurisdictions that number is zero. Each one of these cars is sold at a loss, until you consider that the manufacturer is able to avoid fines or being entirely banned from selling vehicles.
The fate of the Volt and Bolt together makes me entirely skeptical of GM's claims to making a transition to EV production
Supposedly, the shutdowns are expressly so that GM can devote more capital to the Bolt & it's future brethren. If they have Bolt supply problems, cutting production lines to free up capital sounds like a good move.
Personally I am excited about plug-in hybrids, but allegedly a lot of the industry is starting to think PIH's will be but a flash in the pan, being totally eclipsed by all-electric by 2025.
Heat will destroy the battery. This is why on the previous generation Leaf the battery temperature gauge was so prominent (I haven't seen the latest one).
From the 2011 keynote:
> .. the package—which includes heated seats, a duct to direct warmth to the back seat, temperature management for the battery pack
I don't think GM wants people to like the Bolt, just like they kind of shuffled away their previous EV platform. Not sure why, though—it seems like a pretty nice car, and the few people I know who bought one really like it.
It doesn't have the fandom of the Tesla Model 3, but it's a good little car if you want an EV.
https://drivegreen.greenenergyconsumers.org/form_cars.php
So after subsidies prices end up at something like $22,000 vs. $37,000 -- it's a real gap.
Goes to show how much worse (or, at least, less appealing) the Bolt is, if it’s being so heavily discounted and is still barely selling.
The one feature I was really hoping a legacy car manufacturer would include was a spare tire, and they don't.
the issue is availability, in the US it is expected to be a CARB state car only for awhile.
When I decided to move from my 2017 Volt to a pure EV I really wanted a sedan which led me to the TM3 I did buy but I did try to give the Bolt a chance but simply put, the killer app of the TM3 is the super charging network. That and i have found the spartan dash has made me rethink the need for dozens of buttons most cars have.
Recent Kona review https://youtu.be/LATZ0g-Sz2s
However, AWD / 4WD address different problems than winter tires do. As I understand it, winter tires are useful for traction on ice or packed snow, but won't help significantly in unpacked snow, where 4WD helps immensely.
Around here, it's hilly and there are many streets which won't get plowed immediately. This makes 4WD pretty vital for getting around sometimes. Plus, 4WD helps with vehicle control at speed in slick conditions.
Something fun to read from a few years ago: http://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/remembering-snowmageddon-201...
That was from 2 inches (5cm) of snow.
Americans in general don't buy what they need or will use. They buy what they want.
Most of those people, like in the Atlanta story, never drive in more than a 1/2in of snow.
> and don't care to use snow tires.
Snow tires are expensive, and usually not worth the expense beyond all-weather tires, especially for people in the south.
> They want perfect handling and acceleration in any condition and not having to switch tires or use traction aiding devices.
Is that not something you'd like from your car? Seems like a nice feature to me, and my car isn't even close to that.
If GM started the Bolt at $25K and offered nicely equipped ones for $28 or $29K, there would be an interesting competition against Tesla. But they don't.
BTW, like some other posts, I think the Volt is a brilliant car: https://jakeseliger.com/2018/11/29/steve-levines-the-powerho... and it's unfortunate that it's not proven popular too.
They seem to be in no rush to make it, but seem to be living with the PR that it somehow exists already. That people can make a statement like "why get a Bolt when I can get a M3 for around the same price" is beyond belief to me, considering there is no available configuration of the Model 3 that is anywhere close to $36k.
The M3 is a luxury class vehicle in all actually-existing configurations. The Bolt is available at the price you state _now_.
It's just GM seems entirely unwilling to market and sell it in volume.
https://www.inverse.com/article/32239-why-gm-loses-money-che...
It makes sense that a huge car company would be able to take a loss on an electric vehicle that they don't advertise much but which, by slowly accumulating in the market, convinces people that "GM can build affordable and good electric cars" so that when they do actually market a car they make money on, people will be less skeptical. However, according to this hypothesis, GM doesn't have a serious technical advantage over Tesla - they just have a fatter stack of cash. But sometimes that's enough.
Spending an extra ~25% for a much, much better product isn’t outrageous.
If you've not been coddled with the "luxury car" interiors, you'll find the Bolt's interior to be perfectly fine. It's not Audi/BMW/Benz/Tesla level, but IMO it's not as "plasticky" as other commenters have mentioned: it's not the 90s Malibu crap that GM pumped out back then. The screen is nice and big (not Tesla-big), and integrates just fine with Apple and Android Auto.
For 90% of the trips made by 90% of the people in the US, the Bolt is a perfectly fine car.
It has an MSRP starting from $44,000 Canadian Dollars. This is affordable?
It's like the other manufacturers are rushing to cede the entire market to Tesla.
In many ways the Volt is too good to be true, and I think that makes buyers skeptical.
Biggest fault is insufficient cabin space.
Having just test driven a whole bunch of these cars and just bought a Volt in 2018, I can tell you:
1) The Volt has really good power 2) The Volt is really quiet 3) The Volt has really good range
Nothing else even came close at the same price point.
I saw that as great news: moving beyond the hybrid stop-gap towards real electric cars. The Bolt is still for sale and I hope that the platform and their technology move into other GM vehicles.
FWIW, in 30 minutes I will be at the local chevy dealer purchasing a Bolt.
I understand your reasoning for seeing the removal of the hybrid as a good thing, but I can't agree with that. I would much rather see hybrids stay around and see gas vehicles phased out. Gas vehicles and hybrids still have the huge advantage of distribution over electric. It doesn't matter where I am in the US, I know that a gas station will be a common site in pretty much all towns or major roadways. If I need to drive 150 miles in one direction for something and then come back the same day (not uncommon where I live), I don't want to do that in an electric vehicle!
The volt is so appealing because I know it could do that using so much less gas than the average gas vehicle. And for those days I don't leave town, it would be in practice an electric vehicle.
Why not? One way of your leg should be well within the capabilities of any modern EV(the full trip is even achievable by some). Are you going to go 150 miles and immediately return?
> And for those days I don't leave town, it would be in practice an electric vehicle.
The beauty of the Volt is: you are in an EV all the time. The drivetrain is all electric and it doesn't care where the electricity comes from.
That's a little extreme, but it's not at all uncommon for me to make the same drive with a half a day or so before I come back. But in general it's too hard to find a place to charge an electric vehicle away from home to really count on it.
Not entirely true, though it certainly gives you the impression of that. When out of battery and in Gen 2 especially the combustion engine does in fact transmit power to the wheels in most hybrid driving modes. It doesn't just generate electricity, it also provides motive force.
It takes a large amount of number crunching to determine that an old small Japanese car has the cheapest TCO.
The same follows across the categories (e.g. the article's specific focus on sedans).
A whole bunch of mid-market brands seemingly exist for no reason other than for some groups of not-wealthy people to waste money in an attempt to impress other groups of not-wealthy people.
e.g. the German cars which seem to exist as some sort of indicator that someone can afford to burn money maintaining a depreciating asset.
It's basically the (non-smart) watch market, right. You wear a Casio-level watch if you don't care, a Rolex-level watch if you're signalling, and other stuff is basically an enthusiast market.
But have you ever driven a Mercedes, BMW, Porsche or Audi? The driving expierence is superior to everything else! Tesla gets close...but I can’t think of any other brand that does.
I (regrettably used to) own a 2002 BMW M3 -- relatively cheap to buy, and compared to anything else in its year or price category was unequivocally better as a "driver's car". But, many people don't really care about a driver's car -- they index higher on other things like electronics, safety, styling, etc. That's fine, it's only preference, but for raw performance nothing similar could compare.
My experience is that a lot of people equate "expensive car" or "german car" with "nice car", and for them "nice car" means something specific other than raw performance numbers, like comfort, safety, features, or Consumer Reports ranking. For enthusiasts, it means something totally different, and those qualities are indexed on by BMW/Merc/Audi (and some rare American and Japanese exceptions to be fair).
It would be better to state that the car market is not primarily based around the simple act of transportation. Which should be pretty obvious anyway.
Indeed. And the more of these you can check, the happier and more satisfying your life is likely to get. Why maintain an unused mansion when a small, cozy place will do? Why follow the latest fashion trends when your four year old OCBD is in fighting form? Why eat lobsters all the time when beans are so nutrient-dense and cheap?! Why sit on your ass wasting away at the behest of a mediocre film when you could read a book instead?
The other major difference, of course, is that there are few irrational decisions quite as expensive as buying an idiot pickup truck to show off. Maybe a boat or an aircraft, but not much more.
Mercedes hasn't been kenown for driving dynamics, but perhaps their solidity is great. Porsche is absolutely renowned for the driving experience they provide.
There are plenty that can match these in every class. If you only consider brands based on an overall perception, then sure, maybe not.
The Cadillac ATS and Alfa Romeo Giulia are almost universally regarded as dynamically superior to their 3-series equivalents, for a common example.
Exactly, my 2017 Focus RS is so much fun to drive and has a lot more power than any German car of equivalent price. I mean where else can you find AWD, 350 HP and 350 ft/lb torque with a 6 speed manual for under $40,000?
Not Ford, anymore.
I like the RS a lot, but not $40,000 a lot.
> The driving experience is superior
Driving experience only goes so far in bumper-to-bumper traffic. Those aren't cars that people "need". Most lux car owners will also have a "beater" car that they use for real life.Status is an important motivator and should not be dismissed.
No way in hell is a C-Class Benz worth it's price. Tesla drives way better and is much more fun.
I think it's about TCO, status, reliability and maybe fun-factor.
Nobody buys an Audi or Benz for 'fun-factor'. Especially not when they get AMG or i versions.
mini, owned by bmw, is.. mini.. theyre the car parents get their daughters
I've found that the best driving experience in my commute conditions is a $500,000 bus because I can get some work done or relax so the length of the commute doesn't mattter so much.
The sales trends observed in the article seem to be explained by a mass shifting of tastes.
It's a car - it needs to get me reliably and comfortably from point A to point B with a minimum of distraction, look presentable and connect to my iPhone for music.
The TCO on VWs, in my experience, is very low, mostly because they don't have complex add-ons that break constantly.
I daresay that the TCO on Volkswagens is higher than "very low."
Some would argue that the extra tools you have to buy is a factor, but you need special tools for every car anyway. So long as you know you need them it isn't a big deal.
There's just something about German car design that is sizing magic. I could even fit behind my 6'10" friend driving his A4, which for all intents and purposes (in the US, at least) is an entry-level/compact luxury car.
Recently, I started including carplay as a must have feature when renting, and since Toyotas are lagging in that respect, I started looking at US cars again, and I must say that the Chevy Cruze has about as big a trunk for its size as anything I've seen.
European customers on the other hand are more likely to think nothing of a car that needs regular care and feeding, including using manufacturer-specific fluids and consumables, in order to achieve higher levels of other things like efficiency or performance.
It seems like 87.4% of this discussion revolves around differences in definitions of "better".
Exceptions can be found of course, but this is overwhelmingly the rule. Even Japanese cars that /should/ be big are not made to accommodate larger occupants - see the Lexus LS series for instance, their largest luxury sedan - for some reason the front seat stops well short of sliding back and occupying all the room it could, therefore my knees are crammed up into the dash. Same goes for Toyota Avalon, Sienna, various Acuras I've tried, Honda Accord, etc. etc.
Contrast my experience in Japanese cars with the smaller Audi A4, or my (much, much smaller) 1984 5-series BMW, where the front seats are able to run back as far as touching the back seat, resulting in ample leg room when needed.
For American vehicles, at least when you pony up the $$ for the larger models, you actually get occupant space to match - in my experience all American vehicles based on a half ton or larger truck frame offer ample interior space even for someone of my stature - this is Silverado, Tahoe, Yukon, Escalade, Expedition, etc.
Consumers aren't known for their rationality.
Is there some way to include the environmental cost as well? A 10 year old Honda Civic is going to cost less in that regard than a 10 year old BMW 318. But what about a 10 year old Prius?
Buying a less polluting car that costs more is effectively a charitable donation.
Most individuals don't make charitable donations of $1000+.
Incidentally, this is one of the reasons Tesla are so great. It's fun to drive, so the extra cost isn't purely charitable.
It's completely rational to want to enjoy your time driving a vehicle if you spend a lot of time in the car. Driving a chevy cobalt is just awful compared to driving a higher quality vehicle.
You're also far more likely to be able to avoid an accident when you have better handling and more powerful brakes. Even horsepower/torque can be a safety feature for certain accident avoidance situations.
In some ways, the Ford Focus is more "comfortable", but the control and precision that the sports car offers even when just cruising through normal traffic through the city is amazing. The Ford, again not a bad car, feels like "swimming" in comparison.
This is, to some extent, similar in the difference between, say, driving a Chevy and driving a BMW. Subjectively, one just drives much better than the other one, and given how much time you are forced to spend in a car in the US, why would I not opt for a car that implements the driving aspect better?
The counterpoint to that is Audi ( A4 in particular ); dreadfully unbalanced whale-like FWD with the engine hanging out over the front wheels. Objectively dynamically inferior to the humble Ford Mondeo. But sold in droves in spartan-spec because of badge cachet.
They have recently started to tidy up their handling but still lag more humble brands.
Our new-used '13 Audi Q5 is made in Bavaria. So we shall see how its quality compares. So far no problems.
Since the engine in the Fusion is mounted transversely with an inline transaxle the majority of the weight is in front of the front axle.
The A4 has a longitudinally mounted engine with the transmission and PTU (output to the rear wheels) behind it, which means the weight straddles the front axle.
Audis used to be extremely nose-heavy but their engineers have spent a lot of effort over the past few generations to move the drivetrain's center of mass backwards. They also offer things like differentials with electronically controlled multiplate clutches that allow torque to be transferred to the wheel(s) with the most traction in a matter of milliseconds to improve traction in cornering or in wet/snowy conditions.
So "badge cachet" is definitely not the only difference.
How do you explain away the people like an old high school friend of mine that was so brand loyal to the concept of a european luxury car that they got the only such model they could afford (purely in cap-ex terms) which was aging and constantly being maintained (could have easily leased a late model asian economy car instead, with money to spare) and from which all of the subjective experience features were gone (sounded awful, felt awful, smelled awful, and had little remaining intact interior materials)?
Also, there are cars that manage to have both terrible TCO and lack any positive subjective experience features but manage to make it onto the roadways regardless.
There should be an elastic luxury portion of the market where you have the typical dealership experience -- but it should be a tiny minority. The rest of the market should be very concrete, where you show up and just pay a simple price for a simple commodity vehicle that competes with the others through simple metrics (fuel economy, cargo capacity, crash test performance, power-to-weight ratio, warranty terms, etc.) I get an independent party's TCO estimator where I can fill in my average miles per year, how often and how much I might haul, number of years I plan to own it before selling, etc. and they use past data to project costs of ownership (down to considering things like "this model engine has been in use for many years so we can be very confident about its cost of maintanance) to get a TCO for all the models in this segment to easily consider before ordering, and no grubby salesmen are required -- it's mostly between me and the engineers that conspire to build a reliable machine -- no executives to decide that the model line needs to be segmented in such and such a way to trick me into paying more to get much less with by putting a single economy feature (like durable LED headlamps) in the top of the line model with a bunch of other things I really would rather not have (wood texture details and crap).
1. low torque at low RPMs.
2. suspension is too soft.
3. it beeps at me constantly. Lock/unlock door, open door, start car, etc.
4. complicated (too many buttons) screens and radio.
5. doesn't allow me to do things I want: a) open door while in drive, b) turn off all my lights when i turn light switch to off, c) use certain screen functions when i drive.
6. hatch door doesn't open if battery is dead.
I'm sure I'd have more if I actually owned the vehicle. The BMW I own doesn't treat me like an idiot.
Car controls should be predictable and easily accessed through muscle memory.
As a fellow driver, I wish there were more cars on the road like this.
Performance Hondas are great cars, sure, but not for low-end torque.
My car doesn't have an electric-only trunk lock, but if it did, I could just fold the seats down for access to the trunk... and I could crawl in and pull the emergency release if I really needed to open it.
My mother drives the Venza short distances. Since the Venza is so electronic, the battery dies constantly on her since it doesn't charge enough while driving. So much so that I bought an external battery to boost the car for her - probably once a month if I forget to drive it myself (longer distance). Multiple mechanics say battery and alternator are fine.
> I could just fold the seats down for access to the trunk.
In the Venza, the lever to fold the seats is accessed via the trunk. But you can't open the trunk when battery is dead. Luckily the Venza is a station wagon, so I did crawl over back seats to get the battery.
I find japanese products to have excessive electronics, buttons and beeping. I'm happy to pay for a higher priced German car (in response to the lower TCO comment)
I'd like to add "reliability" as another dimension that does not seem to have been mentioned yet.
I just exited a beloved "old small Japanese car" (1998 Civic), partly because parts were starting to break down. Usually it was nuisance stuff, but it takes time to fix. The TCO of the old car was well less than (say) the payment on my new car, but I couldn't deal with the unpredictability and the lost time.
How so? It's trivial to get the average maintenance costs of a car based on model and year. It doesn't take an excel spreadsheet to conclude that something like a 2010 Toyota Corolla would have lowest TCO
If you're buying a sedan -- Toyota/Honda/Kia.
If you own a BMW/Audi/Benz, you're not wealthy and you're just signalling to other non-wealthy individuals. It's interesting because most of the BMW/Audi/Benz look terrible and are way cheaper than most expect yet still a terrible, arrogant waste of capital.
Only a few brands don't match this. Tesla and Range Rover. The former for obvious reasons. The latter because no comparable high-end SUV exists.
If you bought a Ford/Chevy, you're asking for reliability issues.
Err, the median income of a 2017 Mercedes-Benz E-class buyer was nearly $200,000 [1]. That qualifies as pretty high income. The numbers are similar for BMW and Audi.
You can argue that they aren't "wealthy" (as this isn't a measure of net worth), but people with high incomes are more likely to be wealthy than people without. Someone making $200K a year certainly isn't the stereotypical person "faking being rich" you portray them as here.
"Look terrible and are way cheaper": well, "look terrible" is all about personal taste. If it doesn't float your boat, then fine, but it apparently floats enough boats that the companies sell a lot of them.
"Way cheaper" is almost objectively false. Most reviewers like the cabins of the luxury brands far more than they like the cabins of the non luxury. You may think they aren't worth the extra dollars, but when someone is wealthy, the marginal value of those extra dollars is lower.
[1] https://www.jdpower.com/cars/expert-reviews/powersteering-20...
E-Class = Poor people
If you consider these cars expensive, that’s your problem.
Don't know how what you consider "high income", but if "more than 94% of the population of one of the richest countries in the world" doesn't qualify, then there is basically no one who does.
When I went shopping for a new hatchback moving on from the 20 year old Hold Civic, I did look at Honda Civic, VW Golf and tons of other small hatchbacks and I ended up with the WV which wasn't even the most expensive choice.
"Once Americans began driving Hondas and Toyotas, they discovered that these cars had a lot more going for them than just gas mileage — they broke down infrequently, could last for hundreds of thousands of miles, and were even fun to drive."
If the US sedan makers can't compete then they should deprecate those cars. Why make something that people aren't buying? Cars are too expensive these days to have to pay for frequent maintenance or fit-and-finish issues. Never mind the fact that "American" cars are not as American as they used to be and the Camry isn't distinctively Japanese.
American automakers seem to make some great stuff when they are actually pushing the envelope- the EcoBoost line I hear is very solid, and the aluminum frame in the F150 seems to be doing great (notice: lots of FUD when it launched, silence ever since). The Volt & Bolt have had many great things said about them.
Whether it's conservative engineers, or tight purses, or unrealistic schedules, or even just myopic American Exceptionalism, I do not know.
Also note that fuel pumps may not be the best example. American manufacturing of mechanical components has gotten a lot better over the past couple of decades. But electronic components are the new opportunity to repeat the mistakes of the pasts.
[1] Watch https://youtu.be/qg8bbFwZLMA?t=1760 through about 44:20, which is an decent overview (although the explanation of Kaizen focuses too much on efficiency). Compare the description of the Japanese relationship with labor to how labor is usually treated in the US. Also notice from 36:40 on how much focus is put on technology versus process (although that may be forgiven since it is a TV show).
[2] For example, in theory you may say your employees have the authority to stop production if they notice an issue. But if the line workers are graded on how many parts they produce, and the engineers are graded on how much downtime there is, nobody is going to report anything.
Isn't doubling down on the higher profit margins of SUV/Trucks an admittance that GM and Ford (and their more powerful shareholders) can't see far enough past the short term to compete in the sedan market? What happens if a correction happens in the SUV/Truck market that the time horizon starts to reflect sedans (again)?
I guess GM and Ford would just start making sedans again?
They could switch back. A lot of the crossovers are built on lifted sedan platforms anyway.
The chicken tax, as discussed elsewhere in this thread. 25% tariff on imported trucks means domestic trucks have almost no foreign competition.
The one place they do, the compact/mid-size market, is totally dominated by the Tacoma (which sidesteps the chicken tax with domestic assembly), which is coincidentally famous for being an exceptionally reliable truck...
This resonates with my experience so much I couldn't help but write this. After my previous Japanese car saved my life in an accident, I went ahead and bought the new model, about a decade later.
I am seriously impressed. Things which were premium a while back are now standard. And the look-and-feel of the car, the comfort and driving feel is just amazing. I could go with a bigger more powerful engine but I mean the mileage is hard to beat. And I won't even mention the abundant safety features (which decreased my insurance premium!).
Although I can afford it, I have absolutely no interest in the premium brands.
Japanese cars became bestsellers because the Japanese automakers started making better American-style sedans than the American automakers.
To GM's credit they claim they'll be putting a lot of the short term savings into EVs and AVs, but time will tell.
Sedans simply do not offer enough utility or fun per dollar to stay relevant. In France, where I'm from, sedans have been utterly dead from as long as I can remember. People just buy hatchbacks instead.
Sedans stayed alive in the USA thanks to wider roads, larger parking spots, and a persistent notion that hatchbacks are tiny cheap econoboxes that you wouldn't want to be seen in (which, to be fair, is often the case, even though there are very good hatchbacks like the VW Golf).
CUVs and SUVs have overcome this stigma and are set to accomplish what hatchbacks failed to do in the US market: kill sedans. I expect very few people to go back to buying sedans after having owned CUVs or SUVs, unless it's a somewhat niche sedan like a BMW M3, Mercedes S-Class, Tesla Model 3, etc.
> Sedans simply do not offer enough utility or fun per dollar to stay relevant. In France, where I'm from, sedans have been utterly dead from as long as I can remember. People just buy hatchbacks instead.
That's one side of the story and France is just a fraction of the market for sedans. The road configurations, parking styles, etc.. probably favors hatchbacks but that's not the case in Canada (for example) and that definitely doesn't mean that sedans will be dead.
Where I'm from, it's the same as France for reasons related to utility and fuel consumption but even so, people who wanted 'fun' went for the German large sedan or for the Japanese small but souped-up sedan.
The point is that a classic three-box four-door sedan is not super practical as your only car, and I believe that's true for almost all markets. Americans still bought sedans because the alternatives (wagons, minivans, hatchbacks) were seen as uncool, but CUVs and SUVs don't have this problem at all.
So, yes, sedans will still exist but with a fraction of their previous market share, and in this sense sedans will be "dead" (since that's how the article uses the word).
If I have five adults/teenagers to fit, there is no hatchback/wagon option that seats them comfortably. I can either spend $30k on a minivan, $30k on a larger SUV, or $22k on an Accord/Optima/Camry size sedan. If they'd box the back of that sedan and sold it as a wagon, I'd buy it.
This also assumes that ride height is not an anti-feature. if you've got elderly or disabled passengers, they aren't hiking themselves into an SUV.
Just about every Ford sedan platform and engine was built on top of Mazda or Volvo designs. It's not surprising that Ford lost access to those designs when it sold off Volvo and then Mazda.
Similarly, GM designs were from Suzuki and Opel. They've been divesting from Suzuki and Opel for a better part of a decade now. It seems like they also reached the point where they've been cut off from platforms and engines.
Chrysler luckily still has Fiat to borrow car platforms and engines from. They also have partnerships with Hyundai group. So I think they'll keep making sedans, just because they still have access to that tech.
The American sedan is being killed off because they were never American in the first place.
In the 80s a lot of US-Foreign partnerships sprang up as domestic manufacturers scrambled to develop competitive products to compete against the Japanese. But GM had an ownership stake in Opel from the 1960s IIRC (they just recently sold it to the French PSA group) and Ford has been experimenting with bringing over cars designed by Ford Europe since the 80s (look up Merkur).
Chrysler is really no more; the shots are called by FIAT and aside from Jeep and Dodge trucks everything else is an import (the Jeep Renegade and the FIAT 500x are the same under the skin and are built in the same factory in Italy).
Ford made a big bet on "global cars" in the 90s, and we see the benefits of it today. The Escape and the EcoSport were both originally designed for Europe.
GM and Ford did learn to make great cars for the US market, but too late. The Impala & CT6, for example, are on a platform designed for the US/China market (no way the European market would want a car that big that isn't an S-Class, 7-series, or A8). And they're great cars. But as the original article said consumers demand for big American sedans has been in decline for almost 50 years. Ford/GM can't seem to stop skating to where the puck just was.
The Imapla is on GM's Epsilon platform, which was originally designed by Opel. CT6 is on a completely homegrown platform, which is probably why it's the last car in GM's discontinuation lineup to be discontinued.
They may have had platforms that were designed for the US market, but they weren't the designer.
I grew up in a rural area, and a lot of the trucks in town rarely carried anything of note in the bed, because their owners didn't want the paint to get scratched.
If you go 60 miles outside a metro area anywhere, pickups start dominating. Southern metro areas have a lot even within the city.
Visit the south and you'll have your aha moment.
I dread taking my truck into the city, but for average day to day life its much better then what id choose as a daily drive if i lived in the city full time. About the only thing a small car has an advantage on is parking and getting into and out of tight places, and MPG.
My wife's response was "when am I ever in a parking garage?"
Once you leave the city/suburbs, there's essentially infinite free space for vehicles, so these things cease to be issues.
... and sometimes "need" isn't the right question... why do people "need" a Tesla model S when a 3 will do just fine (or a Volt/Bolt/Leaf/Fusion!)? Why do people need a Mustang GT when the v6 or inline 4 would be just fine...?
However, it was mainly (a) we needed a truck for general purposes, and at $4,500 for an 8 year-old full size pickup with a massive 7.3L diesel engine, it was a steal, even after putting a few more thousands into it.
Personally, I prefer the room and higher ride of SUVs to sedans, but own a truck b/c no SUV is tow rated high enough to trailer my boat.
A lot of people in the country live off dirt roads or have dirt driveways that might get muddy in the rain or when snow is melting, so I imagine that could be a factor too.
It's not nothing, but a ~$46k medium range Model 3 is not so terribly far from that, and in fact hits that on the nose if you manage to buy one in the next 14 hours in California (or a state with even better state-level incentives like Colorado). :) (Tesla is 'promising' delivery before end of 2018 if you order in November; I only know this because my in-laws are looking at it right now).
[1] https://mediaroom.kbb.com/2018-02-01-Average-New-Car-Prices-...
* ASP for pickup: 47 fullsize, 32 "mid" size
* ASP for an SUV: 60k
* ASP for luxury SUVs 44k for a compact (wtf is a compact SUV?) up to 80k.
* ASP subcompact SUV is 24k
Vs. the low-end cars:
* 15k for a Kia Rio * 19k for a Toyota Corolla * 12-17k for a Nissan Versa * Honda low end 19k, the top end plugin: 33k * Hyundai 16k-22k * Mitsubishi 14.5k * Ford Fiesta 14.2k, taurus: 27.8k * Chevy cruze: 17-24k * Buick starts at 25k
This ignores compacts/hatchbacks which seem to be on average around 5k less.
So a Tesla isn't a few grand more expensive. It's 2-2.5 times more expensive.
This seems more like the companies saying "What products have the biggest profit margins? Lets just make those."
This is fine so long as the government is willing to say "no" when the next oil crunch happens and people start scrambling for efficient or electric cars instead of big trucks and SUVs and the big 3 find themselves in trouble in exactly the same way the did last time.
Or they'll just blame it on the unions and move everything to China.
http://carsalesbase.com/us-car-sales-data/ford/ford-fusion/
http://carsalesbase.com/us-car-sales-data/tesla/tesla-model-...
2 American cars sit in my driveway; a BMW Z3 M Coupe that was built in Spartanburg, South Carolina, and a Tesla Model 3 sedan that was built across the bay in Fremont, California.
Though I will say, I generally hate the sedan form factor (from a styling and practicality standpoint), and of the ~10 or so cars my wife and I have owned, the Tesla is the first sedan.
I've bought 7 new Hondas since. Why? Every American car I had owned got at least one tow-truck ride to get repaired. The Ford had to be towed to the dealer for service _three_ times.
The Hondas have never left me stranded.
The above contains relevant numbers.
I'm seeing a lot of cars on the road that fit the wheel-base of a sedan, but are larger. Here are a few models that come to mind: Hyundai Kona [0], BMW X2 [1], Nissan LEAF (though this is an all electric offering) [2], and I'm sure there are more.
My point is, there are vehicles that are roughly the same size that fill the needs of people who would have purchased a sedan.
I'm guessing that if we refactored the numbers in terms of wheel-base and interior volume we'd see people are buying similar wheel-based cars with more interior volume.
[0] https://www.hyundaiusa.com/kona/index.aspx [1] https://www.bmwusa.com/vehicles/x-models/x2/sports-activity-... [2] https://www.nissanusa.com/vehicles/electric-cars/leaf.html
[edit] AND it looks like I missed a crucial piece of the title, so here are some 'murican cars that fit the description above: Chevy Trax [3], Buick Encore [4].
[3] https://www.chevrolet.com/suvs/trax-compact-suv [4] https://www.buick.com/suvs/encore-small-luxury-suv
[/edit]
Now most of the small town dealerships have gone under as part of the restructuring from the recession, so people are going to cities to buy cars anyway now. When they get to the city, there are dealerships for the foreign car makers, so I'd guess people end up more likely to buy one.
Looking at the best selling vehicles in the US for October 2018, there’s an American sedan in the top 20, but it’s not made by the Big Three.
I simply got more for my money buying the Honda. I wasn't the least bit interested in an SUV or pickup truck.
I wonder if this wasn't intentional. That is, were there bean counters at Ford etc. that were worried that sales of the small sedans would cannibalize sales of their higher-margin autos? Seems to be the way of things in the past four decades or so....
I bought a Japanese vehicle that ended up being a lemon. The dealerships were generally polite to me when I brought it in for repairs.
(Against my better judgement) I bought an American plug-in hybrid that randomly stops charging. The dealership is flat out rude and constantly blames my charger. (The charger worked fine for 4 years with my old Leaf)
I've looked at American cars in the intervening years but I haven't seen anything to change my initial bad impression. They always seem like they're a step below in both form and function.
And it's not just Japan. My 2 most recent "foreign" sedans, one Hyundai and another VW – were manufactured in the US.
(of course, there is my pipe dream of importing a mid-'90s Toyota Chaser Tourer V from Japan, but I know that's a pipe dream)
SUVs are a total hard pass for me. I have a bad ankle, and when it's flaring up, there are almost no SUVs I can climb into, not even most crossovers. I have a friend with a 2018 Equinox, and getting into and out of his vehicle was physically painful. The only crossover I've been able to deal with when my ankle is acting up is my coworker's Jeep Cherokee (and from some Googling, it appears the 2WD models of the Cherokee have the lowest ground clearance of any crossover sold in the US).
Because I use Lyft all the time, I have something of an interesting perspective, because I've ridden in a much wider variety of cars than someone who just drives their own car most of the time. I've been in a lot of different sedans and SUVs, and I know what I like and what makes me extremely uncomfortable.
I tend to cancel on pickup trucks nowadays when I get one on Lyft. Even when my ankle isn't painfully flaring up, entering and especially exiting one makes my ankle feel like it's about to collapse. Crossovers aren't quite as bad, so I don't cancel on them unless my ankle is flaring up, but sedans and hatchbacks are far more comfortable.
I'm also afraid of heights, The elevated seating position in SUVs really bothers me. It's not high enough to completely induce a panic response in me, but it's high enough that I'm constantly on edge and nervous the entire time I'm in the vehicle.
The upright seating position really makes me uncomfortable. This is because A) SUV seats are elevated off the ground more than sedan seats and B) the seat bottoms are level in SUVs but tilted back in sedans. I cannot stand sitting upright. I am very uncomfortable sitting unless I'm tilted backwards, and I prefer having my legs splayed forwards instead of hanging down. When I get an SUV on Lyft, I pray it's a fully-loaded model (or a luxury brand) with a 6-way or better 8-way power adjustable passenger seat. The first thing I do when I get one of these is to lower the seat as much as possible and then if it's 8-way adjustable, I tilt the bottom of the seat all the way down. With an 8-way seat adjusted the way I want it to, it feels like riding in a sedan, but SUVs with 8-way seats are extremely expensive and I only see them on Lyft very rarely.
Also, I despise how SUVs are designed to expose valuables to thieves. Sedans have a trunk area that's not visible through any window. If you put valuables in the back of an SUV, they will get stolen because any chucklefuck can see what you have back there and perform a quick smash-and-grab. It's for this reason that unlike most other SUV-haters I'm not fond of station wagons, either. I do love me some liftbacks, though (like the aforementioned Kia Stinger GT), as liftbacks tend to have shelves that slide into place when the hatch is closed, and they serve to obscure the cargo from view (and it honestly pisses me off when someone makes a liftback that doesn't come with a shelf, because it defeats the whole point of having a liftback).