Deep learning pioneer Yoshua Bengio is worried about AI’s future
technologyreview.com
technologyreview.com
-- Nathaniel S. Borenstein, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nathaniel_Borenstein
Ah, first, a duty flows from a moral position, so perhaps the master misspoke. Second, I submit you can strongly trust military organizations to do their duty. They will stop at nothing to kill their enemies with extreme prejudice. And the people who lead military organizations, in most cases, have thought quite long and hard about their moral positions. It is the nature of the business, when sending people to die, to question everything about yourself.
Now, that doesn't mean war is a civilized affair. It is awful, insane. And I frankly don't know a lot of senior military leaders who have ever been eager to go to war, except in cases where they believed the operation truly met the standards of jus ad bellum. What you often find in histories are senior officers getting replaced when their advice to not enter war is not in line with the positions of their civilian leadership.
I would really appreciate it!
As for reading up on the general principles upon which the Western world built its world order, how to know when a war would be just, the collected works of Plato, starting with The Republic, and the stoics would be a good start. I would advise Irvine's Guide to the Good Life as an introduction to the stoics.
I would also add Errol Morris's The Fog of War, including McNamara's separate 10 lessons (1), and, as counterpoint, Ken Burns' Vietnam series. The two together are an unparalleled view of the entry into war, and its consequences.
(1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Fog_of_War#Ten_additional_...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Just_war_theory#Jus_ad_bellu...
I actually already read "A Guide to the Good Life" and was planning on re-reading it this winter.
But as anyone who's been in an organization of more than ten people can attest, what the leadership says it's doing, what the leadership thinks it's doing, and what the organization is actually doing are three very different things. In most organizations the mismatch usually just ends up in money leaking everywhere and stupid things being build. In militaries, all sorts of atrocities can happen, and this is amplified because the boots on the ground and the cogs in the machine are trained to not think too hard about the ethics of their actions. So I think that quote is a perfectly reasonable take on the matter.
My experience has been that a great many officers think very hard about the ethics of their actions. War is mainly vast expanses of boredom punctuated by short periods of terror. And thinking is about the only thing left to do in those vast expanses.
And so too for atrocities in war. The non-zero number of atrocities in no way suggests that people just blindly follow orders, as a matter of fact. You need to compare these numbers to what would happen if people gave no consideration to morality whatsoever in their execution of orders. And what are those numbers? I'm not sure, but I expect vastly higher than the relatively few atrocities we can reference.
The disconnect, I believe, is what one considers duty another may consider blind faith. There is a vast amount of room for ambiguity here.
We see this sort of attitude when it comes to discussions of police brutality. Many police officers view the use of lethal force through the lens of self-defense in high stakes scenarios. Others view the use of lethal force through the lens of "police are not judge, jury, and executioner".
When people get shot as they run away from the police, even if each side of the debate might be rational in their own world-view, the conclusions are completely opposed.
None of this will be declassified for years, it's technically still not over yet, we'll be waiting a long time to know some of the things we still don't know now.
There is a point at which we have to consider whether war is worth the atrocity. What is so important that entire civilizations would condone the slaughter of their 'enemies'?
I have some of my own opinions on the above question, I only ask because I think the question should be considered carefully.
Hardly.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tixOyiR8B-8
> On the third day I was there, this guy who had picked me up in the Jeep, a corporal who I was ultimately going to replace, he and I were in the battalion intelligence section, we were sent down to the tractor park, the amphibious tractor park to meet a bunch of detainees. It was our responsibility to take care prisoners, and detainees were a classification of civilians, they were not combatants; they could be detained for questioning, which is why they were called detainees.
> And Jimmy and I went down to the tractor park and two tractors came in, they had a whole bunch of Vietnamese up on top high flat-topped vehicles about eight or nine feet tall, and as the tractors wheeled into the park the Marines up on top immediately began hurling these people off, and they were bound hand and foot, so they had no way of breaking their falls, and they were old men, women, children, no young men, and I couldn't believe these guys were treating these people this way, and I turned to Jimmy and said, I grabbed him by the arm and said "What are those guys doing? We're supposed to be helping these people." And Jimmy turned to me and he looked at my hands on his arm, I sort of took them off, and he said "Ehrhart, you better keep the mouth shut until you know what's going on around here." I think it was at that point that I realized things were not quite what I was expecting.
> [..]
> None of that distilled itself into the clear kind of expression that I'm presenting now. What I began to understand within days and which became patently clear within months was that what was going on here was not what I had been told, what was going on here was nuts, and I wanted to get out. I knew if I was still alive on March the 5th 1968 they'd stick me on an airplane in Danang we used to call it the freedom bird and I could fly away and forget the whole thing. Turned out not to be quite so easy to forget it, but that was the notion, and certainly my last eight to nine months I ceased to think, I quite literally ceased to think about why I was there, or what I was doing. The sole purpose for my being in Vietnam at that point was to stay alive until I could get out.
> And the reason for that is, you know, the kinds of questions that began to present themselves were just.. the questions themselves were ugly and I didn't want to know the answers. It's like banging on a door, you knock on a door, and the door opens slightly and behind that door it's dark and there's loud noises coming like there's wild animals in there or something. And you peer into the darknees and you can't see what's there but you can all this ugly stuff.. do you want to step into that room? No way, you just sorta back out quietly, pull the door shut behind you, and walk away from it. And that's what was going on, those questions, the questions themselves were too ugly to even ask, let alone try to deal with the answers.
That in turn does away with the implied claim that we can "trust" people to think about what they're doing, because there it's the only thing they can even do.
It's like saying the only thing you can do when you're in a gang is to consider your actions and discuss them with others, so just from first principles (we pulled from thin air) we can make this deduction about gang life.
I mean, the context of this is taking issue with the statement that a person doesn't "completely trust" military organizations, that's bad enough. But the claim that being bored a lot between periods of terror means people genuinely reflect, that's stunning.
Do you have any data backing up this claim? To me, it sounds like wishful thinking. The detailed and well studied cases that I can think of, eg: Mylai Massacre, the murder and subsequent coverup of Patrick Tillman, the murder of Laveena Johnson, indicate that the people who lead military organzitions, and the systemic structures within these organizations typically have a very questionable (if any) sense of morality.
The last 24 years of my life and the great many excellent enlisted and officer members of the armed services I have worked alongside.
We study My lai, and Abu Ghraib, the Vincenes, and other failures of leadership. I'd count those as the exceptions that prove the rule. We also study failures of civil and business leadership, but those are so plentiful they occupy every newspaper every day.
Could you give a few examples where our military leadership took an action that backs up your claim of exhibiting a strong sense of morality?
The untold hours NCOs and officers spend sweating details to reduce moral ambiguity in operations.
If you want is to see men take bullets for innocents, there are plenty of them but, unfortunately, there aren't many people around to tell those stories. A few have made it out, and you can find some of them in the Medal of Honor citations (1)
General Dean's delaying action at the outbreak of the Korean war (2).
More subtly, General Shinseki testifying to Congress against administration dogma on the number of troops needed in Iraq, and sticking to that despite intense pressure.
Admiral McRaven's life in general.
(1) https://smile.amazon.com/Americas-congressional-recipients-o...
(2) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_F._Dean
(3) https://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/12/washington/12shinseki.htm...
To use an extreme example: I can ask for a examples where someone has committed murder, but it would be unreasonable to ask for examples where someone hasn't committed murder.
There's an asymmetry to showing morality or immorality. Exhibiting a sense of morality is the standard case, and it's hard to show it. Being immoral, however, can be trivially shown by pointing out the mos or law being broken by a specific behavior.
How could one reasonably produce publicly available documentation where someone refused to execute an unlawful order? Why would someone issue such an order in the first place?
Think about what could possibly motivate a soldier's action: the consequences of questioning an order are far less severe than the consequences of executing an unlawful order. "I was only following orders" has long been discredited as a legal defense.
> Parent is sceptical because of priori contrary evidence that military actions and morals conflict frequently.
Morals are not universal. To which morals are you referring specifically? Some people are morally opposed to violence in principle, the military obviously is not.
[Edit]
I'm still in disagreement as to the logic of the question, but I am beginning to think that the mere existence of court martials in the interest of upholding military law (ie, codified morals of the military) should be sufficient proof that a military body can exhibit a strong sense of morality.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2007/3/22/314933/-
"any plan that kills millions of Chinese when it isn't even their war is not a good plan. This is not the American way."
¹I realize they were worldwide, but we're talking about the west
I was talking about size of the story. (e.g. If the US kills 3,000 people in a far-off country, no biggie. However, 9/11 was a huge story.) The Australian media was largely, as usual around those times the US is preparing to invade somewhere or mid-doing it, echoing mainstream US TV opinion. Well, a lot of those US shows are shown here too. There was a lot of soul searching in the US about the extremely troubling Abu Ghraib scandal, which went on for some time, and left some kind of permanent mark. The protests were covered when they happened, but I don't think they produced the same moral....pseudo-crisis at all, and quickly disappeared. They could be ignored.
That the excesses of war, rather than war itself, can considered the problem is a success for policy since it allows a wedge to be driven once the public sours on war. "No more Vietnam Wars", a slogan the vast majority embraced after Vietnam, was a slogan that could morph to "no more unsuccessful wars fought with conscripts who discipline breaks down, next time we'll do it right!".
And in answer was given these 'failures of leadership', which seem to be PR disasters (the problem was not that they happened but that people found out about them - "simply the troops indiscipline becoming known to the public" - things that couldn't possibly be spun as the greatest country on Earth doing God's work) or people not doing their duty.
The moral dimension has entirely disappeared, which rather supports garyhunt's suspicions. Maybe questioning everything about your country is more important than 'questioning everything about yourself'. More important for the hundreds of thousands that were killed, at least.
If anything, that doesn't make these examples moot, but the red herring of how military leaders supposedly think long and hard about stuff.
in most cases
I doubt the current American commander in chief has thought long and hard about his moral positions. That being said, the authoritarian regimes of the world will undoubtedly not hesitate to use AI in their military, so some form of deterrence will presumably be required.Not all militaries are meaningfully accountable to political leadership, and not all political leadership cares about morality anyway (cough Russia cough). In free democracies yes, the military is at least to some extent held accountable to the government and the people, but we still end up with atrocities only a few of which are ever held to account, such as the Balkans war. Or in places like Chechnya or eastern Ukraine (so far) nobody is ever held to account. A few is a heck of a lot better than none, because it can act as a deterrent and an encouragement to the organisation to do better next time though, of course.
Realistically, the decisions about what weapons the military should have, how they should be designed and what safeguards should be in place are all political decisions. Only how they are employed in war is really in the hands of the military, and in liberal democracies even that is sometimes a political decision (e.g. using a submarine to sink the Belgrano in the Falklands War.)
I also think obligatory tasks is unfortunately the way that duty is commonly used in our degraded age.
I can't speak for them, but I'd say obedience would be a better word here.
> the people who lead military organizations, in most cases, have thought quite long and hard about their moral positions
Then that just proves that there are leaders in military organizations that even after thinking long and hard about something, come up with abysmal results, which they never quite seem to be capable to even own up to.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_J2VwFDV4-g
> except in cases where they believed the operation truly met the standards of jus ad bellum
Oh, so I can trust they believe that, and when it's instead a war of aggression, I'm to be comforted that they believe it's not? And then exactly those people who already can't seem to use their brains responsibily are supposed to be allowed to build machines to make "decisions" and kill autonomously?
All you said is what everybody said, historically. Everybody is either the good guy, or when they fuck up, they're not obedient to evil, they're simpling making "mistakes"... but at least they thought long and hard, it's not always smooth sailing for those who kill others.
As if that perspective is the only one that matters, while ignoring the people who were murdered by militaries through no fault of their own, and any duty a person might have towards them.
To whom does the soldier have a greater duty, the government elected by the citizens of his country, or the citizens of some other country?
Let's say I take a 4-star general, and strip him of all rank. Put him in a platoon and tell him to follow the orders of the lieutenant in charge. No matter his geopolitical insights and experience, he is now dependent on the information of the lieutenant. It's no longer theory, now it's specifics. He is told to knock down that door and shoot the first person he sees. How can he possibly make any decision other than to execute the orders he is given? This is the terrible responsiblity of the lieutenant: he is the last source of information and direction the soldier has. Would you want your soldiers to die for a lie? As the result of misdirection? Do you want them to know to kill an innocent?
Civilians can be politically active, convince other and refuse to work, or quit on case by case basis without criminal penalties.
In military you can only refuse to follow obviously illegal orders and even then it's a huge personal risk. Refusing to follow morally wrong but technically legal orders will lead to criminal punishment.
For example. Targeting civilians is illegal. If every male above 16 years of age is considered combatant, then it's legal to kill unarmed children from the sky. Refusing on the principle will lead to military court. Military court is extremely unlikely to rule that refusing to follow orders was the right action.
It seems like we’re hell bent on making this reality. I mean, military AI is basically an inevitable future for us at this point, and while it’ll probably take a few years to leak into private hands, it eventually will, and the world will be a little more shitty for it.
Aside from that I’d rue the day the Americans get AI murder drones, especially if I was living in one of the 7 or 9 countries they are currently assassinating people in with the use of the current drone fleet. As terrible as a murder assassin drone is, it’s at least controlled by a supposedly moral being.
(Playing devil's advocate here, so please take this with a grain of salt ;))
Where his opinions are more interesting is the last questions, outside of the articles agenda of "stuff to freak out about."
Asked what new progress areas he's excited about, Bengio (charmingly) responds with slow progress areas he's frustrated with.
Anyone know (or can guess) if he's refering to anything specific when he (I'm connecting dots) using deep learning to "learn causality?"
I don't think "real" military AI is that close because things on the battle-field have to be robust and current AI seems to be inherently fragile - not always reliable and less reliable in chaotic situations.
But semi-military applications like deciding who a drone will kill have potential ... to do even more harm than drones have already done.
Just because you don't automate the step of actually launching the missile doesn't mean a machine can't be the originator of the order.
If the target list is wrong it won’t help the targets but the human in the loop may help to avoid blowing up a school accidentally, depending on the amount of collateral damage that can be accepted for a given target.
Do you think the military contractors pushing their military AI solutions care about that? Do the people approving those solutions (usually those in Congress that assign the budgets) know enough to make the distinction between "highly effective AI" and "poor/broken AI that won't achieve its promised objectives during battle"? Do they even care, or do they care more about their campaign donations?
The CIA and NSA have already used awfully inaccurate algorithms to send drones to kill "targets" (like people who they thought used a certain phone number). Why do you think it will be any different with AI killer robots?
The algorithms will likely be just as inaccurate based on the biased/flawed data the AI will be fed, but the damage (civilian casualties) will be multiplied 10-100x due to how much easier/cheaper it will be to create and operate AI killer robots.
Having recently read the Book of Why by Judea Pearl, I found particularly interesting his remarks on causality. Pearl’s approach is based on causality being a testable assumption that requires domain expertise to be expressed. Having done that, it provides powerful techiques to address causal questions from data.
Any efforts towards a general AI capable of causal reasoning should instead be able to create causal assumption from experience and “reasoning”.
I have not seen around (have not looked much) discussion on how to combine general purpose AI approaches such as DL with domain specific approaches such as the Causal Inference techniques described by Pearl. Anyone has references to share?
Anything we invent or discover can and will be used by the military or intelligence agencies and even law enforcement agencies who are doing real human right violations. Hell, there are graduates that go work for the government because it's stable, or even unwittingly be writing RAT or researching zero days.
The truth is, as researchers, engineers, our guesses are as good as touching a part of the elephant. Everyone thinks the part they hold are the whole, and make the claim, this is what an elephant should be.
When in fact, if you follow the authors logic, we are all complicit. Every walk of life is influenced by the military and for the military. Internet? Designed for resilient military comm against nuclear attacks. Microwave? TV? Radio?
So the genie is out of the bag and now is going to work for the military. Should we feel outraged? Should we stop all AI research because of the authors view that the military kills people so its automatically evil?
What about the people who are ready to give their lives so these researchers can continue living and doing great work? It seems to me that beggars can't be choosers. It's good to have a strong sense of morality so you don't end up writing a RAT tool for a corrupt government that ends up torturing dissidents. But rarely will you even know who is using it and where it's being applied. It's simply designed so you don't have to be burdened with the moral dillemma of how a state should think and behave.
By large, a state is not a person, no conscious, no morals only national interests dictated by the few in power. This skewed power dynamics will remove the decision makers from the burden of making immoral decisions to further "national" agenda. ex) Do we torture an alleged terrorist to extract information that can stop an imminent attack on hundreds? It's certainly not the call of the people who wrote the software to manage torture and it's not the call of those who follow orders.
We are ruled by ideology, the one that sells to us constantly of an unknown, unpredictable threat. If the author has anything to blame, it is that people by far and large have already voted with their money and hearts-ignorance is bliss, gathering material wealth is priority.
The rockets go up, who cares where they come down / That’s not my department says Werner von Braun
Well it seems like the author of the article had the headline in mind before even talking to YB. The responses don't seem like well thought ideas on a complex topic, they seem like random off-the-cuff answers to a journalist's leading questions, and it isn't fair to criticize them.
A quick glance at the definition of moral gives, "a person's standards of behavior or beliefs concerning what is and is not acceptable for them to do" which suggests that they may be fluid. Are killer robots necessarily any less moral than killer humans? We seek to replace humans with "robots" in many cases under the assumption that they perform better. I suppose in the case of killer robots this could mean more effective killing, or perhaps it could mean more accurate strikes and less civilian casualties? (I'm not saying I am an advocate for military AI, just posing some questions).
Finally, suggesting that we need to focus less on incremental progress when DL still isn't completely understood seems premature. I'm not sure another great leap in AI is on the horizon until a leap in computational power or a new framework is discovered.
Risk assessment is a massive part of waging war. If the risk to one side is reduced by using robots (or other weapons-of-cheap-destruction) instead of humans, then the likelihood that side will favor war as a conflict resolution mechanism is (all other things being equal) increased.
On the other hand, if the risk is too high, then alternative options are more likely to be favored. This seems to be the thinking around things like nuclear disarmament and why proliferation is generally seen as a bad thing despite nukes being hands-down the most cost-effective way to end a war (at least against an enemy not similarly equipped - see the Cold War). The reason given for the US bombing of Japan was to save lives by shortening the war - though I'm not about to get into whether that decision was justified.
And that's before we introduce AI, which has had notorious bugs like failing to identify dark-skinned faces relative to light-skinned faces (https://www.bostonmagazine.com/news/2018/02/23/artificial-in...) or driverless car crashes. As uncomfortable as I am with proliferation of killer tech in general, introducing AI actually makes my skin crawl.
Even without the unpredictability of AI, "precision strikes" are not necessarily as precise as their name implies: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2014/nov/24/-sp-us-drone...
In 1945 the United States became the only nation to ever launch a nuclear strike on another country. In a two moment's flashes we killed hundreds of thousands of individuals - the vast majority being innocent civilians playing no direct role in the war whatsoever. But that act of arguable amorality not only immediately ended a world war, but has since led to a great fear of war among any nation with these weapons which has led to an unprecedented period of relative world peace. This [1] great video shows the borders of Europe throughout time. The sudden lapse in that constant warfare and transition, the one we now still live in, that occurs just shortly after the more widespread development of nuclear weapons is striking.
But nuclear weapons will not remain the ultimate weapon and deterrent forever. And whichever nation is able to develop appropriate defenses against nuclear weapons and offenses beyond nuclear, will be the same nation that decides the direction of our species moving onward into the future. Again, it's a lowest common denominator problem - but it's one that's ultimately unavoidable by any means other than by ensuring that you yourself are always the most militarily capable nation. And ideally multiple nations will develop these weapons in unison. I'm not particularly fond of e.g. China having unopposed reign throughout the world, but neither am I fond of the idea of an unopposed reign of e.g. the United States. I think we find the best outcomes when we have multiple balanced powers, and in this regard it is our responsibility to never fall behind.
Edit:
About asymmetry in the battlefield, yes, but then you should say the same of all advanced weaponry, right? Each side is aspiring for asymmetry in war technology.
About the army refusing to carry out orders. That's a good point that I hadn't thought of. I'm not super sure that current humans are really that great, but it's a fair point.
About the cost of war. High end military technology is very expensive and something this sophisticated probably won't be cheap. But even disregarding that, I would prefer thousands of machines being destroyed to humans dying.
We went from slaughter of millions to hanful of extremely professional soldiers to, eventually fight of machines. (MGS4 depicted it in striking details years ago).
I do not believe that if we get AI robots involved we will not see bombs land on bridges,as recently as the war in Yugoslavia bombs were droped on economic targets:
"NATO bombed strategic economic and societal targets, such as bridges, military facilities, official government facilities, and factories, using long-range cruise missiles to hit heavily defended targets, such as strategic installations in Belgrade and Pristina."
Are you imagining 2 robot teams fighting each other and the winner gets the loser resources and impose it's politics, the population will accept that their robots lost ?
-- Joseph Weizenbaum
Also, there's the more practical worry of the Skynet scenario. Once a machine is empowered to make judgement decisions to kill humans it's a real possibility that even something as innocuous as a bug or design flaw could turn the world into a sci-fi cliche.
I don't really know where I stand honestly, but I do find the prospect paralyzing.
So let's be frank, Real Humans are here making decisions to kill people. Only that delegation of non-critical decisions is transitioned to programs.
Think of it this way - war isn't a game. Each side has a strong incentive to make the other side fear to go to war with it. Killing people is a necessary part of this. The progression of technology has generally resulted in an advantage for the attacker over the defender. So two armies in conflict aren't going work by "may the best robot win while we humans watch" Rather, it seems much more likely a robot war of the future would be something "my swarm of death bots kills your people while your swarm kills mine".
We already see this in drone warfare which is practiced in semi-legal fashion, without civil society having a clue of who is being targeted or when. We face the danger of slipping more into some sort of shadow realm where private actors and intelligence engages in war without democratic legitimacy.
Then there is the issue of the technology being abused to target vulnerable populations, like immigrant or refugee groups, again lowering the barrier of using violence or surveillance.
Also, recent developments in machine learning have seen computer programs outperform humans on certain tasks. Granted, those tasks currently are very specific, but if we extrapolate 30 or 40 years into the future, we may have killing robots which can't possibly be defended against by people without comparable technology.
I think it's also simply a matter of imagining the particulars of a world with sophisticated killing robots. Imagine some kind of hunter drone tracking you, finding you, and dispassionately killing you. Do you want to live in that kind of world? Would you want to suffer that kind of fate?
I generally agree, especially if the bar is "taking pause", but playing the devil's advocate, is this _really_ true.
They pay lip service to it. They weigh the politics of it. But I feel that between the Vietnam war and the 2nd Iraq war we can at least question the degree of their concern.
Project 100,000 is a specific example I'd point to: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_100,000
I can't imagine it, but they do exist.
In this case, you need to surrender and become slave to survive. It'd be dumb to fight that killing robot.
But it's your fault to lose your own freedom. You should have developed the killing robots before your adversary.
Imagine the first Gulf-War if the USA didn't have to care about how many of their own people were dying. It makes it easier for scorched-earth policies.
... Then take one more step. Many military advances are then handed down to the services like the police.
It doesn't matter if you have the right to bear arms if the rather cheaper machines outnumber you, and can outgun you.
Governments have a serious problem with scope creep. They promise things will only ever be used for one thing, and definitely not the other thing... Until the next government takes over. Or in the case of the current US government, tomorrow.
A government with an AI army is free to suppress its populace. A government with a human army may suppress its populace, but the army can refuse to do so.
Civilian control of the military, and a military that is composed of citizens (particularly in a democratic republic) may not choose to obey an order to suppress fellow citizens. An AI army would (presumably) have no conscience.
(Yes, there have been plenty of horrors with mass participation.)
It's an argument about sending machines to conduct an incredibly asymmetrical and highly efficient method of dispatching humans with reduced oversight and ability to determine if particular orders are controversial or not (Arkhipov comes to mind https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vasili_Arkhipov)
- in a democracy you need to convince the society that they should give their lives so you need to have or invent a good enough reason, this means you can't start a war easy.
- humans trust computers too much this days, one example was a person that almost drove over a cliff because Google map told him to do it, he noticed for a while that something is not right but trusted the computer more then himself.
- humans can think and most of the time take good decisions and avoid pointless deaths, I am thinking at a Russian soldier that could have launched a nuclear strike because some faulty "sensors" a computer would have just done it.
- there was a case posted here on HN where a german pilot decided not to destroy a damaged enemy plane because he saw the enemy pilot and he could not just kill, aka most humans do not like killing where a killer robot would have no problem killing children, wounded soldiers,doctors.
The prefatory clause comports with the Court’s interpretation of the operative clause. The "militia" comprised all males physically capable of acting in concert for the common defense. The Antifederalists feared that the Federal Government would disarm the people in order to disable this citizens’ militia, enabling a politicized standing army or a select militia to rule. The response was to deny Congress power to abridge the ancient right of individuals to keep and bear arms, so that the ideal of a citizens’ militia would be preserved.
People conflate militia now a days with military, but they are not the same. The "militia" are the armed citizens of a state. And similarly the security of a free state is talking explicitly about security against government itself - not foreign invaders, which was the domain of the federal government. An armed population can prevent the imposition of tyrannical rule, an unarmed population cannot. In verbose modern text the amendment might read something like, "A well regulated and armed population being necessary for the protection of a state against tyranny, the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed."
"Autonomous Military Robotics: Risk, Ethics, and Design" By Ethics + Emerging Sciences Group at California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, sponsored by the Department of the Navy
In this report, we will present: the presumptive case for the use of
autonomous military robotics; the need to address risk and ethics in
the field; the current and predicted state of military robotics;
programming approaches as well as relevant ethical theories and considerations
(including the Laws of War, Rules of Engagement); a framework for technology
risk assessment; ethical and social issues, both near- and far-term;
and recommendations for future work.
http://ethics.calpoly.edu/ONR_report.pdfand "Malak" by Peter Watts
Inside the mind of an autonomous drone with a conscience, but as usual with Watts it all goes wrong.
> and it has proved incredibly powerful and effective for all sorts of practical tasks, from signal processing and signal processing to signal processing and a dubious application of deep learning
I worked with Bengio for a couple of years, and he's a classic example of a not-particularly-talented mid-level prof who's been elevated by the bubble of hype in his field, attracted some talented students who publish papers on which he ends up as a coauthor... and now thinks he is a voice of authority in AI (and many other fields).
Those who disagree with me -- can you name a single important contribution to the field he has made, that wasn't in fact done by one of his students?
Hinton did backprop, leCun did convnets, Schmidhuber did LSTMs, and Bengio did ... ?
>>> The best students want to go to the best companies.
If you're a parent, maybe it's time to teach your kids that "going to the best company" may not be the best outcome for a citizen of the world.
Yeah, I think there's a lot of space for advances, if we can combine different backgrounds and intuitions. I'm working on a project where I try to combine some programming-language semantics and Bayesian learning to learn structures.
Now maybe this weapon fires by you telling it to shoot that guy over there, or it's programmed to shoot anyone who enters through that door over there, but in the end it's still a weapon under control and responsibility of the owner.
How is it treasonous?
The default situation with rights for people is essentially "everything is permitted unless it has been explicitly forbidden by the laws", with the added restrictions of what the government shall not ever forbid.
If the government does nothing, autonomous non-human entities have the right to bear arms - it doesn't need to be given, it's sufficient if it hasn't been taken away. Since the second amendment does not apply to such entities, the government can freely restrict these rights if it chooses to, but currently it has not.
It is not going to be your robot army fighting a human army. Instead, it will be your robot army fighting another robot army, perhaps less sophisticated.
They'll supplement their disadvantage with humans. You want to be the army with more advanced robots. Otherwise you'll need to put humans on the line. Always better to equip yourself with better fighting capability.
I don't think there are any current conflicts[1] that could reasonably be described as being between two armies. It's more often between one group of armies from several countries working together and several groups of [terrorists|freedom fighters|"unlawful combatants" ] using guerrilla tactics to attack them.
The exception are the ongoing civil wars, but they tend to be an army fighting rebel groups in that country - would rebels ever get their own robots? How would that happen?
It's obviously possible that we'll see two armies of robots fighting in the future, but that's not really what war is right now.
[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ongoing_armed_confli...
One side or many sides. You can be sure that the other sides are not fighting with their bare hands.
Feel guilty?! The man may have contributed greatly to the field of AI, but that kind of comment just comes across as very naive about how the world works.
"Shouldn’t AI experts work with the military to ensure this happens?
If they had the right moral values, fine."
The military adheres to the laws of war and is lead by a civilian politician, not a pope. A nation's military carries out the policies of the civilian leadership. If you want a moral military, get moral politicians.
I don't understand why the distate at one's own military forces. These people are not aliens, they're fellow Americans, or French or Japanese or wherever you're from. At least for the major democracies, these men and women are volunteering to defend your ass. They don't get to start wars, the politicans you vote for do.
I very much want the military forces of my country to kick the ass of any threat, and if some tech such as AI could help eliminate that threat faster and with less blood than brilliant.
Unless they're a threat that needs its "ass kicked", of course. Which is an euphemism for killing them dead. But that's somehow not worse than simply critizing people, wanting them to be more alive, by connecting their deeds and the consequences of those deeds?
Any teenager can realize this: Militaries only positive use is to defend against other militaries, it's like a debugger that can only debug bugs in itself, but it can also be used to slaughter civilians, and does that quite a bit too much already.
> They don't get to start wars, the politicans you vote for do.
Then how come George Bush wasn't booed of that aircraft carrier when he declared mission accomplished? If you want respect, if you don't want to be ashamed, don't get caught in situations like that. If you want respect, instead of shame, by the time something like Abu Ghraib reaches the public it should include details about the ruckus that caused in the military, and how people got beaten up by their comrades for partaking in the torture of people, long before the police could get to them. And so on. Instead, we get these uncanny valley stories about honor and duty and whatnot, by people who don't quite remember what being human is, but also can't quite leave humans alone so they can find a solution for this mess.
When I opted against military service I didn't just say no, I wrote them a kinda fiery letter. If 19 year old me can do that, others can do it, too. But now I don't even get to criticize the military because I'm not in it, because they "volunteered to defend me"? Nah. I see the ads for the Bundeswehr, they volunteered because they're not right in the head if they responded to any of that. They want power, importance, comraderie. Anything BUT personal deep responsibility, which is why all the promotional material is about how joining the army is "stepping up", just like you repeat the old chestnut of the military protecting us, rather than leeching off and killing us. By "us" I mean humans, not $country, since as I said out that country stuff cancels itself out.
If people want respect, let them be respectable. If they do shameful shit, they get shamed. If you are for the swift elimination of threats you should welcome that.
And yes, I do feel for soldiers, I just hide it very well. The thought of kids getting sent off to be made murderers for the protection of the wealth of people who couldn't give a shit about them, that doesn't make me think "serves them right", it breaks my heart. But that doesn't mean I buy into all those rationalizions that always get trotted out. They don't hold up, and at at this level of technology we simply cannot allow that level of foolishness anymore.