Please do not downvote this comment. mikro2nd is expressing something that I've also felt and I have heard from multiple other engineers in the hallway track at conferences and in 1-on-1s. As such, even if you disagree with the opinion, it is still an important contribution to the discussion.

If you believe that there is a reliable method for producing time-measured estimates which a software engineer can learn -- a method which is not magic but is merely work -- it would be highly valuable for you to lay that out here.