Beware the Metagame

I think to understand such phenomena we have to ask another "why?" Why is it a profitable path for people who have no hands-on-expertise to be trite advice gurus spouting untestable platitudes at conferences and through blog posts?

And I think the reason is because there is a huge community of, for lack of a better word, "stupid" self-help consumers who are always looking for a new simplistic panacea, and forgetting the one they read 5 months ago.

Everybody wants a guru to give them a magic formula for success. But the reality is the reason a Zuckerburg suceeds is largely luck, or a Buffet succeeds is largely just innate skill and a methodical lifestyle of reading public financial statements. No number of blog posts will make you Steve Jobs.

This is straight Taleb.

But I'm not sure the examples fit.

Entrepreneurs aren't judged by the market?

Skin in the game is all about having a p & l and surviving.

Does that mean this article is in the metagame of the metagame?

Are there test cases for metagames?