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How often do these kind of deals really work out well for the cities involved? Often them seem like Lucy and Charlie Brown with the football.

A lot of the economic development policies passed in the name of HQ2 offered incentives in the form of stating, if you bring x number of jobs to y location, you get z tax break (where it wouldn't just apply to amazon).

Some of the cities had incentives that were at least partially linked to headcount; like there are rumors that Chicago/Illinois proposals would route Amazon HQ2 employees state income tax into the incentive fund.

I doubt that even spineless politicians would give up the same concessions for half the jobs and investments.

See Foxconn